ag3 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 It's a bit disturbing that we are once again too far north for snow for the 3rd straight time. In the month of March: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 You take a lot of jabs, but good on you for all the analysis and sticking this out Yanks. Optimists are a good thing in life. Also, the NAM still looks nothing like the GFS. Another run, another solution...and inside 36 hours to boot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Been a great winter but.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 This run may not have been 18z but it wasn't far off. A tick East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 This run may not have been 18z but it wasn't far off. A tick East.Well a couple problems with it all1.)the hope I guess was that 18z was the start of a trend to a solution MUCH further west, not a good solution for us as is. It would have had to continue that trend 2.) it's the NAM anyway ! But still, significant snow for SNJ and south Sent from my iPhone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Still rather interesting on the Nam. I'm going down with flames with this one. Last snow so why give up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 This run may not have been 18z but it wasn't far off. A tick East. Yea it just more focus on the other low, but the second low was actually even more west this run. If that one became the main low, eastern points might get interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Still rather interesting on the Nam. I'm going down with flames with this one. Last snow so why give up now. I with you bro ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Look at how close to the coast it closes off the 700mb center. Then after that it gets quickly shunted due east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 This is similar to that triple phaser in February 04 that destoyed Eastern Canada, iot hit Cape Cod, coastal SE NJ, and extreme ERN LI pretty good too...I can recall the radar image and it was pretty much as close of a miss as you could have, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 4k NAM is nice, says that SNJ gets close to an all out blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 If the Nam is right, places like Atlantic City and Cape May could see 6"+ again, which is almost unheard of for this time of year. Can you imagine if the western low does for some reason become the dominant one, the implications could be massive, especially for eastern areas. I know lows tend to favor the zone between the cold and warm waters, so I can't completely discount the possibility of the western low being the dominant one. Of course if that were to happen this close then we're talking a reverse March 2001 for eastern sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 By early tmrw afternoon, I have a feeling many will think that we are about to get hammered. It may look like a wall of snow only to not make it much further north and dissipate as the low pulls away and bombs out, focusing any remaining heavy precip over SNJ coastal sections Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYC Weather Lover Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 How does LI do on the NAM? By the looks of these posts, it seems as if the heaviest snow goes to SE NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 How does LI do on the NAM? By the looks of these posts, it seems as if the heaviest snow goes to SE NJ.Maybe 3-5" for eastern LI, and 4-8" for SNJ and BOS and 12-18" for cape codSent from my iPhone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Any webcams for Nantucket, they have the potential to get rocked with this if the Nam is correct or perhaps Nova Scotia webcams? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Eastern Atlantic and south eastern ocean counties are close to warning criteria for those areas. With 4 to 6 there. Southern Monmouth could grab 2 to 4 . Would be a gift all things considering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 And 186 users are reading this topic. From where??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 don't give up on the last snowfall until mid April...Some sneaky event like April 2000 or 1990 can happen...1983 had snow on 4/19...April 23rd 1986 had a slushy coating in spots...I would think April has the last gasp cold and maybe snow sometime in the first half of the month... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Any webcams for Nantucket, they have the potential to get rocked with this if the Nam is correct or perhaps Nova Scotia webcams? Ill be on the NE forum lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 don't give up on the last snowfall until mid April...Some sneaky event like April 2000 or 1990 can happen...1983 had snow on 4/19...April 23rd 1986 had a slushy coating in spots...I would think April has the last gasp cold and maybe snow sometime in the first half of the month... Pattern seems to shift after this bomb develops, which I don't think is unusual. I would be surprised if snow happened in April this year. Eastern Atlantic and south eastern ocean counties are close to warning criteria for those areas. With 4 to 6 there. Southern Monmouth could grab 2 to 4 . Would be a gift all things considering. That is warning criteria in S NJ where its only 4 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Eastern Atlantic and south eastern ocean counties are close to warning criteria for those areas. With 4 to 6 there. Southern Monmouth could grab 2 to 4 . Would be a gift all things considering. This , if it unfolds, would prove that its NEVER too late. SNJ wasnt progged to get anywhere near 1/2 a ft and now suddenly BOOM, this pops up. I know its a 5% chance or less but who says NYC cant suddenly pull a rabbit for 2-4 inches- inverted troughs arent easiest things to pick up on - even in his res Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 This is similar to that triple phaser in February 04 that destoyed Eastern Canada, iot hit Cape Cod, coastal SE NJ, and extreme ERN LI pretty good too...I can recall the radar image and it was pretty much as close of a miss as you could have, I remember that, picked up an inch but nova Scotia got 7 feet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 New England forum says this run was actually west of 18z with the actual surface low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Pattern seems to shift after this bomb develops, which I don't think is unusual. I would be surprised if snow happened in April this year. That is warning criteria in S NJ where its only 4 inches. Does Mt Holly go winter storm watch there. ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 don't give up on the last snowfall until mid April...Some sneaky event like April 2000 or 1990 can happen...1983 had snow on 4/19...April 23rd 1986 had a slushy coating in spots...I would think April has the last gasp cold and maybe snow sometime in the first half of the month... Since World War II, Central Park has had one April with five inches of snow or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 New England forum says this run was actually west of 18z with the actual surface low. That run was a bit better for my backyard. ( central bristol county in southeast ma) I think the cape gets it good. The question becomes the area south easy of boston to providence corridor. We are going to be painfully close to something big Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 New England forum says this run was actually west of 18z with the actual surface low. Don't think too much into that. If NYC is going to get into anything meaningful, it will be a total last-minute crapshoot like what happened with NE in March last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 This will be the end of the winter pattern, spring will start on Friday. I think the snow season will be over for NYC. It was a great winter until the middle of February when it became frustrating watching us missing storm after storm. I give this winter a A-. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 This is similar to that triple phaser in February 04 that destoyed Eastern Canada, iot hit Cape Cod, coastal SE NJ, and extreme ERN LI pretty good too...I can recall the radar image and it was pretty much as close of a miss as you could have, Here's an account of that storm: http://www.novaweather.net/Blizzard_2004/Blizzard_summary.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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