NycStormChaser Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Will wait for the 0z runs to see if this threat is real. Big storms can have surprises. You threw in the towel this morning and said something like "oh well, this storm is a miss" I forget the exact words. Now you are back in the game? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 I rather have a QPF monster OTS then passing to the west of NYC up the Hudson Valley. But Yank27 has some good instincts, NYC/LI NE Jersey aren't getting 24 inches plus with 70mph winds, but at the end of march, a couple of inches, nobody will mind that. I feel there will be one rogue snow threat in April then it's done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 I wonder how this thing will deepen, would be amazing to get to around 950 mb at such a low latitude with a non hurricane type storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 You threw in the towel this morning and said something like "oh well, this storm is a miss" I forget the exact words. Now you are back in the game? Lol The NAM sucked him back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYY_2 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 The NAM sucked him back. Out of curiosity, between the GFS and NAM, which has the best handle on the storm at this range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 I rather have a QPF monster OTS then passing to the west of NYC up the Hudson Valley. But Yank27 has some good instincts, NYC/LI NE Jersey aren't getting 24 inches plus with 70mph winds, but at the end of march, a couple of inches, nobody will mind that. I feel there will ne one rogue snow threat in April then it's done. I'm looking at day 5-6, looks like some coastal is trying to form on the gfs. Been showing a wave around this area for several runs now but so far it's too warm. Will keep an eye out since there is a nice High to the north. Just something to look out for. The overall pattern looks fairly active, but of course by then things appear to be too warm for snow. For me I don't care, I'll take some activity over none in what is typically the start of the weather doldrums this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Are there any rogues Mets or weather enthusiasts who still believe NYC can still pull of the impossible and get a blizzard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seth.P Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 What Are there any rogues Mets or weather enthusiasts who still believe NYC can still pull of the impossible and get a blizzard? Only if they are on drugs. We would be lucky to get an inch at this juncture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Out of curiosity, between the GFS and NAM, which has the best handle on the storm at this range? If you are comparing the 18Z runs, I would go GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYY_2 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 If you are comparing the 18Z runs, I would go GFS. Yes sorry I was referring to the 18z runs, thanks for answering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueSkiesFading Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 that's a sting jet. wild to get two storms like this nearby in the past three years forky, How can you tell from looking at this image that there's a sting jet present? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 forky, How can you tell from looking at this image that there's a sting jet present? it's not just that image. the models also develop a warm seclusion... powerful warm seclusions like this often have sting jets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 euro 850 mb temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 somewhere Anthony is crying for what could've been mikehobbyist must be heartbroken as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Only stating the obvious, and honestly, do we truly need a catastrophic event? I experienced Sandy like everyone here, and I thoroughly believe most don't want to repeat that experience again in their lifetime.I do from the 4th floor of the apartment building on Lincoln blvd In long beach with a set of flood lights and generator to see what really went down after the lights went out.Amazingly this storm will have very similar conditions to sandy way offshore A huge and potentially damaging swell headed to Puerto Rico Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Out of curiosity, between the GFS and NAM, which has the best handle on the storm at this range? That question I think was already answered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 By disaster do you mean weather wise or from a "Hit" perspective? The consistency of the models in almost every aspect with this storm could hardly be called a disaster. There was never a hit depicted solidly for the last 5 days so how could this not becoming one be a disaster? Or am I taking your statement incorrectly? He means the models just being entirely wrong inside 36 and the storm verifies nothing like what was modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 What is a sting jet? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 By disaster do you mean weather wise or from a "Hit" perspective? The consistency of the models in almost every aspect with this storm could hardly be called a disaster. There was never a hit depicted solidly for the last 5 days so how could this not becoming one be a disaster? Or am I taking your statement incorrectly? The way I understood his post was an outcome radically different from what was modeled. You wouldn't know that till tomorrow (night). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Ch7 said accumulating snow tomorrow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYY_2 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 That question I think was already answered. famartin answered me a half hour ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 What is a sting jet? Thanks. Yanks http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sting_jet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Ch7 said accumulating snow tomorrow lol That could mean 1/10". A dusting tomorrow night wouldn't be all that surprising, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 If I was in NYC, I'd expect somewhere between a coating to as much as 2 inches tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreeRain Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 The sight of snow will be nice to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 If I was in NYC, I'd expect somewhere between a coating to as much as 2 inches tomorrow. lol, you're consistent! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 SREF were east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 25, 2014 Author Share Posted March 25, 2014 The sight of snow will be nice to see. And now you jinxed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 lol, you're consistent! I'm actually a little less certain about Philly, they have a better shot at some sort of inverted trough feature than points north and east seem to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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