jm1220 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 It's not over till I say it's over! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?!?!?! Dean Wormer (the GFS) is going down!!! WHO'S WITH ME?!?!?!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Germans?!? Looking forward to the potentially last snowflakes of the season. http://www.collegehumor.com/video/6955666/the-guy-who-has-never-seen-or-heard-of-anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 It's just about time for the 12z ECMWF run to tick east and shatter hundreds of hearts in eastern New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 It's just about time for the 12z ECMWF run to tick east and shatter hundreds of hearts in eastern New England. You said that yesterday too. I don't think hundreds though. Maybe 10s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Here it comes, mega hit incoming on the 12z ECMWF For Nova Scotia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 You said that yesterday too. I don't think hundreds though. Maybe 10s? Have you ever heard of reverse psychology? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 What is NOAA NWS seeing? Tomorrow looks to be a busy day across the US! We've got two main systems to note: the developing coastal storm off the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast coast which could bring possibly significant snowfall to places from Maryland to Maine, https://www.facebook.com/NWSWPC?ref=stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 12z UKMET is not even that good for the Cape, outside of Cuttyhunk Island: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 What is NOAA NWS seeing? Tomorrow looks to be a busy day across the US! We've got two main systems to note: the developing coastal storm off the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast coast which could bring possibly significant snowfall to places from Maryland to Maine, https://www.facebook.com/NWSWPC?ref=stream They are using a blend of the 00z ECMWF and ensemble mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 150 west now and another 100 tonight... yeaaaaaaaaa buddy ! Letssss gooooooo Have to atleast root it on...LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 150 west now and another 100 tonight... yeaaaaaaaaa buddy ! Letssss gooooooo Have to atleast root it on...LOL If the low shifts west by maybe 5 mph, we could all have a blizzard11!1!!!1!!11111 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 JMA was never on board for this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 24, 2014 Author Share Posted March 24, 2014 Initial surface low actually looks more consolidated and farther west. Should be good news for Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Through hour 24 on the Euro - No major changes A tick more amplified with the western ridge and digging a bit more with the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Negnao complaint about too much banter in 3...2...1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Initial surface low actually looks more consolidated and farther west. Should be good news for Cape Cod. To me it looks more consolidated but I'm not sure if it's actually further NW or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Initial surface low actually looks more consolidated and farther west. Should be good news for Cape Cod. Depends, it's possible that also leads to more influence to the east towards 48 which would delay the consolidation vs the 0z and put it within the scope of all the other solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 24, 2014 Author Share Posted March 24, 2014 To me it looks more consolidated but I'm not sure if it's actually further NW or not. It's pretty obvious to me at 30 hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 So far the Euro is liking the idea of one consolidated low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 24, 2014 Author Share Posted March 24, 2014 Depends, it's possible that also leads to more influence to the east towards 48 which would delay the consolidation vs the 0z and put it within the scope of all the other solutions. The mid level height field northeast of the developing surface low is also farther northwest compared to 00z. So unless it develops additional convection on the southeast side, it should come a tick west of 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 So far the Euro is liking the idea of one consolidated low. I think the one low idea is better-these double barreled low solutions are usually driven by feedback, but feedback could be real this time of the year with the additional heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 24, 2014 Author Share Posted March 24, 2014 This is a classic example of the mid level jet streak responsible for the major cyclogenesis being delayed by 6 hours. That, combined with the baroclinic zone being so far south to start, is what killed this event for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 It's pretty obvious to me at 30 hr. I wish we had more time with this one, the PNA is forecasted to rise by the end of the week to near neutral. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 The mid level height field northeast of the developing surface low is also farther northwest compared to 00z. So unless it develops additional convection on the southeast side, it should come a tick west of 00z. Makes sense, appreciate the PBP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 24, 2014 Author Share Posted March 24, 2014 Makes sense, appreciate the PBP A lot less tension in the PBP when our area has no chance at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 This is a tick west at hour 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 It's throwing a good amount of precip well to the NW of the low track initially, then it falls apart as the low wraps up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 24, 2014 Author Share Posted March 24, 2014 Almost 1" QPF at Ocean City MD through 42 hours. Had barely .5 last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 we get nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 24, 2014 Author Share Posted March 24, 2014 The track of the surface low is west/southwest of the 00z run but it's become less expansive with the CCB which is not a good sign for Cape Cod. Still .5 to .75" QPF there through 48 hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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