+SNfreak21 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 New RPM still showing a hit for NYC east: http://www.abc27.com/category/230536/precisioncast-future-radar-next-72-hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Yeah, but only IMBY matters. Why should only the NYC and Jersey folk be IMBYists? Yeah, but only IMBY matters. Why should only the NYC and Jersey folk be IMBYists? Yeah, but only IMBY matters. Why should only the NYC and Jersey folk be IMBYists? Damn straight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 2/6/10 was worse. Far worse. it was up to our backyard then stopped. Yeah but not a bust since we got what was forecast for the most part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 New RPM still showing a hit for NYC east: http://www.abc27.com/category/230536/precisioncast-future-radar-next-72-hoursKindly refrain from posting the RPM. It's worthless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Yeah but not a bust since we got what was forecast for the most part. Some mets had us at 8-12 in our area; we missed that by mere miles. I think up to South Brunswick had that much. I did go to the Camden Aquarium that Sunday; the place was open but deserted. Got pics of my kids with huge drifts and the Ben Franklin Bridge in the background. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Gotta tip my cap to WeatherX. Maybe he was right for the wrong reasons but, he was right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 If the 00z's bring it back west I'll cry real tears Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 50 minutes to SREFs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Craig Allen posted a map on Fb showing 10% chance of 4" for nj/NYC...40% chance for most of LI and 70% chance for eastern LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Craig Allen posted a map on Fb showing 10% chance of 4" for nj/NYC...40% chance for most of LI and 70% chance for eastern LI I would take Craig allen's forecasts to the bank; JB OTOH can safely be ignored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Kindly refrain from posting the RPM. It's worthless. That's interesting, since you are the spokesperson for every single model that comes out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 I would take Craig allen's forecasts to the bank; JB OTOH can safely be ignored. If JB scores a coup on this he'll be God. If he's wrong he should retire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 If JB scores a coup on this he'll be God. If he's wrong he should retire. If JB scores a coup on this he'll be God. If he's wrong he should retire. If JB scores a coup on this he'll be God. If he's wrong he should retire. Yeah he can hit the senior steroid circuit. He'd make for good testosterone commercials. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Craig Allen posted a map on Fb showing 10% chance of 4" for nj/NYC...40% chance for most of LI and 70% chance for eastern LI Good luck with that...most likely NYC sees zero-this will trend further east and the QPF shield will be more compact as the low will suck in all available moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 If JB scores a coup on this he'll be God. If he's wrong he should retire. Worst month for JB outside of Feb 12 where he said the cold and snow was right around the corner after models showed +10 for weeks on end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Craig Allen posted a map on Fb showing 10% chance of 4" for nj/NYC...40% chance for most of LI and 70% chance for eastern LI Seems like a reasonable map at this timeframe... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 That's interesting, since you are the spokesperson for every single model that comes outCalm down dude, notice you're the only one that's mentioned it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Good luck with that...most likely NYC sees zero-this will trend further east and the QPF shield will be more compact as the low will suck in all available moisture. 10% is pretty low. He is allowing for a small chance. Doesn't sound like a forecast that evokes a snow panic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Calm down dude, notice you're the only one that's mentioned it. You didnt post the CRAS yet so here: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 That's interesting, since you are the spokesperson for every single model that comes out He's right. RPM blows. Craig Allen posted a map on Fb showing 10% chance of 4" for nj/NYC...40% chance for most of LI and 70% chance for eastern LI That means a 90% NYC gets less than 4". 0" is included in that range. I think that's a good map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Calm down dude, notice you're the only one that's mentioned it. Yeah people are testy lately. Do they get this riled for summer thunder storms? I'm not here in the summer and I DO NOT like severe weather so I have no idea. Thunder, lightning, derechos, you can keep em all. Heat waves too, don't like em. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 That's interesting, since you are the spokesperson for every single model that comes out C'mon kiddo. I saw you post that model on twitter as well. Why confuse people? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Yeah people are testy lately. Do they get this riled for summer thunder storms? I'm not here in the summer and I DO NOT like severe weather so I have no idea. Thunder, lightning, derechos, you can keep em all. Heat waves too, don't like em. Actually yes.. Especially because severe threats almost never work out and when they do its for a relatively small area. Often times a great setup fails to produce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 I think we get 6" or more from inverted trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 You didnt post the CRAS yet so here: I take back my previous statement. the norlun trough isn't the last straw for a storm it is the CRAP, oops I mean CRAS model. now watch after I say this its going to score a coup rarer than me hitting the powerball Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 I take back my previous statement. the norlun trough isn't the last straw for a storm it is the CRAP, oops I mean CRAS model. now watch after I say this its going to score a coup rarer than me hitting the powerball It nailed the boxing day storm before any other model so maybe, just maybe....keeping weenie hopes alive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 It nailed the boxing day storm before any other model so maybe, just maybe....keeping weenie hopes alive It probably nailed that because it has a huge west bias, there actually was a storm in 09-10 that the CRAS nailed, I forget which one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 It probably nailed that because it has a huge west bias, there actually was a storm in 09-10 that the CRAS nailed, I forget which one. It is a rather poor model but does nail a storm from time to time before other guidance. I dont recall the storm u r speaking of. I wish they had verification stats for the CRAS....it may actually outperform the NAM at times! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 It is a rather poor model but does nail a storm from time to time before other guidance. I dont recall the storm u r speaking of. I wish they had verification stats for the CRAS....it may actually outperform the NAM at times! The NavGEM almost certainly ouperformed the NAM this winter, maybe even inside 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 SREF drifted even farther east with the slp.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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