famartin Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 8:08 PM, JC in CT said: Don't get sucked back in lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 It's almost closed off at hour 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Cool story, NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Some decent 700mb RH and Omega over NJ shore and East End of LI. on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Joe Bastardi predicted this yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 This run we caught the Hail Mary and then missed the extra point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 The interesting thing is, I don't think ALL that much is different than 12z, but the end result certainly is for sensible impacts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 I'm sucked back in.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 24, 2014 Author Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 8:13 PM, YanksFan27 said: This run we caught the Hail Mary and then missed the extra point. No. We can call it a Hail Mary when the good vertical velocities get to NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 24, 2014 Author Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 8:14 PM, Zelocita Weather said: I'm sucked back in.... It's like a never ending black hole of torture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 8:13 PM, +SNfreak21 said: Joe Bastardi predicted this yesterday no he didn't. He predicted 6-12 from PHL To BDR and 1-2 feet from BDR to BOS...this is an inch or two...big deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 8:14 PM, earthlight said: No. We can call it a Hail Mary when the good vertical velocities get to NYC. For now I'll just go with Hail NAM-y. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 8:13 PM, +SNfreak21 said: Joe Bastardi predicted this yesterday He predicts 6-12 in NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 8:15 PM, famartin said: He predicts 6-12 in NYC. I am talking about a west trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 It still manages to mostly miss Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 968mb low about 250 miles. east of ACY at 39hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 8:12 PM, YanksFan27 said: It's almost closed off at hour 36 How bout the direction of the 500 mb winds ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 8:14 PM, earthlight said: No. We can call it a Hail Mary when the good vertical velocities get to NYC. I think we take our 1-3" here and run with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 this is an off hour run of the nam, while good, I'd see to see something else also drink the kool aid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 this is what happens when a jumpy model is run 4 times a day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 It really tried this run to do something special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 8:18 PM, Weathergun said: 968mb low about 150 miles. east of ACY at 39hr You should re-examine your map skills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 I think one of the few legit ETA or NAM 18z surprises was 12-24-00 18z. Since then not so much... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 8:19 PM, forkyfork said: this is what happens when a jumpy model is run 4 times a day While I agree with you it wouldn't take much to give Long Island a decent snowfall. Stranger things have happened. And that's coming from someone who resigned himself three days ago to smoking cirrus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 It's down to 968mb but more like 250 miles east of ACY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 8:18 PM, ag3 said: I'd hit that. I don't buy it, but I'd hit it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 8:20 PM, bluewave said: I think one of the few legit ETA or NAM 18z surprises was 12-24-00 18z. Since then not so much... ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Damn that further east low, this would have been tucked right into the coast. Lot of coulda woulda shoulda with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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