Weathergun Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 The 12z GEFS mean is similar to the 12z op. Not much qpf. They show double low off NC coast. The move ENE and merge into one from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Nova Scotia is in for one crazy storm. We should charter a boat and go up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 I have an awfully hard time believing that the NAVGEM is correct. It's such a horrific model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 5:06 PM, NutleyBlizzard said: Can you imagine if the models start to focus on that second low as the primary? If that were the case, you would see a dramatic shift west at 00z. This forum would explode! Unlikely yes, but something to keep an eye out for at 18z. Talk about a long shot, if not miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 5:18 PM, YanksFan27 said: I have an awfully hard time believing that the NAVGEM is correct. It's such a horrific model. It's not coming up, what does it show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 11:36 AM, poleshiftnow said: I predict 12z ggem shows a nice hit from DC to NYC I called it first. Still waiting for that nice hit, so you fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 5:02 PM, poleshiftnow said: I told you ☺ Wait till 0z You said a nice hit. I call for your banning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 12z GGEM is further west. But it's sharp cut-off still. Not big hit verbatim for anyone except around Cape Cod, Nantucket: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 5:19 PM, SnoSki14 said: It's not coming up, what does it show? Sub 982mb wrapped up low brushing the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 5:02 PM, poleshiftnow said: I told you ☺ Wait till 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 24, 2014 Author Share Posted March 24, 2014 Takes a second of thought, but if one or two of the four winter storm threats worked out to some extent, we would've challenged the #1 winter snowfall record. And now you're frustrated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 GGEM for our area, is the same as the 12z GFS. Pretty much nothing. Only .10" to Brooklyn: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 5:20 PM, YanksFan27 said: Sub 982mb wrapped up low brushing the coast. Ha wow. The GGEM is pretty agonizing because it's not that far off from a much bigger deal. I'd rather see it be far east than a closer call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Nice little middle finger from Maine to NNJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 5:23 PM, earthlight said: Takes a second of thought, but if one or two of the four winter storm threats worked out to some extent, we would've challenged the #1 winter snowfall record. And now you're frustrated. This winter will be remembered for the cold and surprise snow events, but also for the number of teases and false threats. Every single threat we had 3-4 days out or more failed this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 5:27 PM, YanksFan27 said: Nice little middle finger from Maine to NNJ It's over, it's been over for a while now. Like I said, 90% chance this isn't an accumulating snow in NYC (by accumulating I'll take 0.5" or more, since a snow shower might bring Central Park to 0.1" or something). When even Cape Cod is riding on the edge of this, you know none of us have a chance. There will be huge waves for the surfers though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 This will be a monster storm though so wow impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGod Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 We had some sizable shifts south on the previous two storms last minute - any chance we see something similar to the west this time around? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 5:29 PM, jm1220 said: It's over, it's been over for a while now. Like I said, 90% chance this isn't an accumulating snow in NYC (by accumulating I'll take 0.5" or more, since a snow shower might bring Central Park to 0.1" or something). When even Cape Cod is riding on the edge of this, you know none of us have a chance. There will be huge waves for the surfers though. It's not over till I say it's over! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?!?!?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane11 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 5:27 PM, YanksFan27 said: Nice little middle finger from Maine to NNJ Ahhaha it's true. What a beauty though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Modelology more than meteorology, and some amateur psychology as well. The models seem close to having locked in on a solution, little wobbles 20 or 30 miles in each direction between runs, the difference between a tenth an inch of liquid that'll come down as snow but not accumulate, and the 2 or 3 inches of snow that will come down as snow, and maybe dust grassy surfaces, NYC/WEstern Long Island, will continue. Amateur psychology, each wobble closer means one more good wobble, and we're in business, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 5:31 PM, YanksFan27 said: It's not over till I say it's over! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?!?!?! You hack Ray`s account ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 5:31 PM, YanksFan27 said: It's not over till I say it's over! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?!?!?! Germans?!? Looking forward to the potentially last snowflakes of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 5:27 PM, jm1220 said: This winter will be remembered for the cold and surprise snow events, but also for the number of teases and false threats. Every single threat we had 3-4 days out or more failed this winter. This winter was awesome..any year this area gets 50 inches or more snow it's A+..we live on the south shore of LI,not in Fairbanks Alaska Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 5:32 PM, TwcMan said: Germans?!? Looking forward to the potentially last snowflakes of the season. Apparently you've never seen Animal House. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 5:33 PM, YanksFan27 said: Apparently you've never seen Animal House. Apparently not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 5:33 PM, TwcMan said: Apparently not https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q7vtWB4owdE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 5:33 PM, YanksFan27 said: Apparently you've never seen Animal House. He's too busy watching the weather channel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 ^^ That spontaneously posted. Each model that wobbles the other way, some near weenie suicide or it is a bad run. Even the 3 inches in Queens in late March, at least one pro-met will call a failure to troll the weenies. And, BTW, sure, I'm disappointed the once every two decades late March storm is very unlikely to happen, and hoping for a miracle down 7 points, 16 seconds, one time out left and the other team in the double bonus, but if the actual storm drops 3 inches, and coats the lawns for a day, I'd call that a victory. Like the #11 seed taking the #3 seed to OT before losing, sort of. Painful, but nothing to be ashamed of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 On 3/24/2014 at 5:35 PM, YanksFan27 said: Forget it, he's rolling. Thanks for the laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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