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REMEMBERING 97-98 EL NINO WINTER


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Looks like the winter of 1997-1998 was warm in the SE, but especially warm in the Midwest and Northeast.  Looks warm from sea to shining sea, for the most part.  Looks like NC was 1.5-2C above normal (pretty warm) for DJF while GA was closer to 1C.

 

Bvq3RojMVC.png

Looks pretty good to me, rather have than watch everyone arounds get jackpotted, LOL

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Is this a possible scenario for 2014/15 winter? Just wondering what brought these years up in particular?

 

1997-1998 featured the strongest El Nino on record, so probably not.

 

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ensoyears.shtml

 

 

Looks pretty good to me, rather have than watch everyone arounds get jackpotted, LOL

 

You have a point.  At least there'd be no one to be jealous of!  We'd all be miserable!

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Unless it's 1) weak El Niño and 2) west based then I'd much rather take my chances on a pattern like this past winter. Elninos can flood the conus with pacific air for weeks on end. Despite how they get rave reviews for the SE, I remember the bad a whole lot more than the good produced by El Niño. The winter referenced in this thread is one of several reasons why.

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Looking at the moderate to strong Nino's it looks pretty good for snow, at least for RDU.  7 out of 10 years over the 30yr average and 4 of the 10 were double digit snow years.  

 

I picked the 10 strongest years based on URL below.

 

http://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm

 

1957-1958 - 7.9"
1965-1966 - 12.3"
1972-1973 - 11.3"
1982-1983 - 11.8" 
1986-1987 - 10.8" 
1991-1992 - 0" 
1994-1995 - 2.2" 
1997-1998 - 2.4" 
2002-2003 - 7.4" 
2009-2010 - 7.9"
 
Avg = 7.4"
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That was the first time I can ever really recall the term El Nino being brought up in the news and just about everything else. If something went wrong, blame the El Nino...lol. That winter was very warm and wet. Alot of rain. We did have some snow in January,but it melted a couple of hours after it stopped.

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