nyblizz44 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 You are probably thinking of February 2013. If you add up the seasonal snowfall from all of the local first order stations for 2012, it might not total 24". Can't say I blame you for wanting to forget that winter. Thats the one I was refrencing yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 GFS maybe a hair more amped than 06z still nothing like nam through 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 12z GFS is flat, no surprises here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 12z GFS is flat, no surprises here. Splitting hairs its more amped and by the ever so slightest margin compared to 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Splitting hairs its more amped and by the ever so slightest margin compared to 6z Yep more amped than 6z but nothing big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 The gfs has taken small but important steps to something bigger. This is just like this winter when we're always chasing the big storm while the smaller storm sneaks under the radar and the big storm never materializes, but we still get 6-10" from the smaller one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 NAM says 2-4" event. http://wxcaster.com/gis-snow-overlays.php3?STATIONID=DIX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Canadian Bomb. http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/12_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_144.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Canadian Bomb. http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/12_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_144.jpg Wrong thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Wrong thread i thought this was the right thread - I could be wrong though about it being the right thread - everyone is right and wrong at various times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 The 12z Euro sticks out its tongue and laughs at the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Canadian Bomb. http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/12_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_144.jpg I didn't realize I was on the wrong thread until I got ready to ask people why they were posting SREFs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 SREF's ticked north again....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 SREF's ticked north again....... So we have the SREF/NAM liking this threat, i mean one could say its getting more support from another model.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 The dynamic duo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Wrong thread ooops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 NAM is way south, someone lock up this thread please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Yes, you need heavy rates even into the 20's in our blacktop jungle. The storm next week as currently modeled on the Euro would suffice. EDIT: Talking in terms of daytime. Even with temps below freezing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 NAM is way south, someone lock up this thread please. NAM shows 1-2 inches for Ocean and Monmouth counties, which as per maps you have posted in the past, are included in this sub forum for discussion. If no interest, I'm sure you can find other threads to keep yourself busy. Pretty much zero chance for your location and the city, but some of us do have interest in this event, even if it is a long shot. Red taggers have even chimed in that it is worth watching. Thanks to ZW for starting this thread in the first place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 NAM shows 1-2 inches for Ocean and Monmouth counties, which as per maps you have posted in the past, are included in this sub forum for discussion. If no interest, I'm sure you can find other threads to keep yourself busy. Pretty much zero chance for your location and the city, but some of us do have interest in this event, even if it is a long shot. Red taggers have even chimed in that it is worth watching. Thanks to ZW for starting this thread in the first place. The 00z NAM gives you nothing, satisfied now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 They should remove the 63-84 hour panels of the NAM they are truly worthless. Two phantom big events @ 84 hrs were insane especially the nor'easter that was predicted for Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 They should remove the 63-84 hour panels of the NAM they are truly worthless. Two phantom big events @ 84 hrs were insane especially the nor'easter that was predicted for Tuesday.It was so blatantly obvious with this event. No other model even came close to showing what the NAM did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 The 00z NAM gives you nothing, satisfied now? No way am I happy with a run like that. But it is that useless long range NAM so we toss. I am satisfied the mods did not lock this should future model runs warrant discussion however unlikely that may be. I am also satisfied with the March KACY has enjoyed. Compared to your local KMMU just unbelievable performances by Mother Nature this month. Boy have we been lucky. If next week outperforms for the southern part of the state vs. the north again there might be some weenie suicides. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 No way am I happy with a run like that. But it is that useless long range NAM so we toss. I am satisfied the mods did not lock this should future model runs warrant discussion however unlikely that may be. I am also satisfied with the March KACY has enjoyed. Compared to your local KMMU just unbelievable performances by Mother Nature this month. Boy have we been lucky. If next week outperforms for the southern part of the state vs. the north again there might be some weenie suicides. I didn't agree with starting this thread because the threat was absent on every model except the long range NAM and a handful of SREF members. Today's 12z NAM says congrats to the western NC mountains. It has shifted south roughly 600 miles since yesterday's 06z run. This is why we laugh at the NAM when it's all by itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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