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Models report card for the winter ?


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Without looking at all the tech stats of exactly how well or poorly they performed this winter for the area.

 

My general consensus of how the major models did : 

 

NAM :  Very Poor.  One of the worst years on record.  It did better 3 years ago, than it's done this season.  (time to roll back the clock on whatever updates were done? )

 

ECMWF :  Fair to Good.    It undercut QPF with a few storms...and missed entirely with a few weak events.  But generally performed well...as is typical.

 

GFS : Fair to Good .  Slightly better than ECMWF this season?  I haven't noticed an event where it missed completely.  Seemed to do pretty well, if not slightly better than last winter.    There was an instance or 2 near the beginning / middle of the season where it trended towards the NAM..where the NAM initially had the right idea.  And then actually outperformed the NAM with that event.

 

thoughts ?  Feel free to add results from other models.

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