GD0815 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 FWIW, Ray do the soundings support snow down the shore here? yes, maybe some mix to start. pretty much snow on all models down there, i believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 NAM is slower than gfs, after midday, which would help accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 GFS actually bumped West a bit, have to see 00z NAM first to see if it is for real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 GFS actually bumped West a bit, have to see 00z NAM first to see if it is for real. I dont know to me it almost looks the same as 12z with the position of the low, etc.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 24, 2014 Author Share Posted March 24, 2014 GFS actually bumped West a bit, have to see 00z NAM first to see if it is for real. In what way did it bump west? Its exactly the same with low track, and its drier over the Philly region than 12Z was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 RGEM has nothing for most of the region. Hard to take NAM seriously at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 In what way did it bump west? Its exactly the same with low track, and its drier over the Philly region than 12Z was. I'm sorry, west is a bad word...I meant to say it is wetter with that frontogenesis band or whatever you want to call it around DCA... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 I'm sorry, west is a bad word...I meant to say it is wetter with that frontogenesis band or whatever you want to call it around DCA... yeah, unfortunately doesn't help around here. That band is a good way to get accumulation even during the day....DC make sneak a couple of inches out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 1:12-1:21 sums this system (and the winter of 13'/14') up pretty well.... http://www.youtube.com/watch?annotation_id=annotation_823544&feature=iv&list=PL003158D0AC8E15DF&src_vid=OE8Tc1cvSYM&v=OeLnS8O08ng Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 According to my records we had 3.25" of snow here on 3/25/13....while it seems unlikely we'll get that here tomorrow, there seems to remain enough uncertainty with the details that for now, well, can't totally rule it out. My expectations are somewhere between a coating and 2", where have I hear that before? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Good luck up there...hopefully philly gets a few inches to cover up the ever-present sludge on area roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Good luck up there...hopefully philly gets a few inches to cover up the ever-present sludge on area roads. lol, thanks right back at ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Looks like a 50/50 chance for another Cape May County jackpot snow again. Interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 00z NAM juicy for southeastern Jrz again...SREF more qpf also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 00z NAM juicy for southeastern Jrz again...SREF more qpf also Yup, could be dusting off the Cape May webcam link tomorrow night. Are you down that way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Yup, could be dusting off the Cape May webcam link tomorrow night. Are you down that way? Yeah Dennis Twp off of Route 47. Got 10"+ last Monday and around 5" on 3/3. Been an incredible month for snow down here. Gfs not on board for this storm...yet ...don't think Euro is either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Can someone post qpf for RGEM and GGEM? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 25, 2014 Author Share Posted March 25, 2014 Can someone post qpf for RGEM and GGEM? Thanks! GGEM isn't out yet, here's RGEM snow QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Yeah Dennis Twp off of Route 47. Got 10"+ last Monday and around 5" on 3/3. Been an incredible month for snow down here. Gfs not on board for this storm...yet ...don't think Euro is either fwiw, looks like the 0z gfs did move the 0.25 - .050 line up into extreme south jersey, a little wetter than 18z for there and here too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 fwiw, looks like the 0z gfs did move the 0.25 - .050 line up into extreme south jersey, a little wetter than 18z for there and here too... yeah gonna be close but a little better now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 GGEM isn't out yet, here's RGEM snow QPF. Thanks!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 This might not be a very meteorological analogy, but looking at the 0z NAM and RGEM, they both have a 2nd low right off of obx which looks like it wants to move up along the coast, and we do get precip from it, but just when things start to get interesting, the main low grabs it and pulls it away from the coast, like okay, let's go now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 This might not be a very meteorological analogy, but looking at the 0z NAM and RGEM, they both have a 2nd low right off of obx which looks like it wants to move up along the coast, and we do get precip from it, but just when things start to get interesting, the main low grabs it and pulls it away from the coast, like okay, let's go now.JB still believes the opposite will occur..Push me pull you tug of war... (If open-minded) Only time will tell it appears!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 This might not be a very meteorological analogy, but looking at the 0z NAM and RGEM, they both have a 2nd low right off of obx which looks like it wants to move up along the coast, and we do get precip from it, but just when things start to get interesting, the main low grabs it and pulls it away from the coast, like okay, let's go now. Yeah exactly plus that cold front push like 3/3. Almost appears to "bounce" and then NE. But goodness what a beast of a low after it does!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 25, 2014 Author Share Posted March 25, 2014 0Z GFS is a bit wetter in south Jersey, otherwise not much different. 0Z GGEM is about identical to 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Thanks ray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 GFS crushes DC, that would be simply unbelievable. They have never even been in the game for this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Thanks ray I saw you asking for the GGEM (zwyts, lol), from what I can tell it's a little more generous around here than 12z, now 1" or 2" as opposed to 1" or less. Extreme south/coastal jersey is a little more, looks like maybe 3 or 4", but it didn't appear to change from 12z there much. edit: around here meaning general SEPA including Ambler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 GFS crushes DC, that would be simply unbelievable. They have never even been in the game for this Funny how (for now at least) with a totally different setup this is the 3rd in a row, with us riding the edge up here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Funny how (for now at least) with a totally different setup this is the 3rd in a row, with us riding the edge up here... On some maps it's starting to resemble a smaller version of march 3 and 17th for them. Maybe by mid april the suppression will relax enough for us northern folk no it will just be cold rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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