ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Figured we should start a thread for this one since there's going to be a period of wet snow for a good chunk of the region...esp from about Rt 2 region northward, but perhaps even a bit south of that for a time. The latest ECMWF has a moderate snow event from about CON northward into Maine...though even a chunk of interior MA starts as snow and some sleet/ZR too tomorrow night. Mesoscale models continue to be much juicier than the global models on this one....max qpf is more in the 0,4-0.5" range on the globals (up in Maine) while it is near an inch on the mesoscale models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 NAM reins it in a bit this run. Pretty much 0.50-0.75" in the jack zone through 12z rather than the 0.75-1.00"+ it had been advertising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2014 Author Share Posted March 19, 2014 NAM reins it in a bit this run. Pretty much 0.50-0.75" in the jack zone through 12z rather than the 0.75-1.00"+ it had been advertising. Someone could get a little paste bomb...nothing like 25-40 ub/s smack dab in the SG region to maximize anything squeezed out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 GYX seems to think that it will go to rain all the way to the mountains? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2014 Author Share Posted March 19, 2014 GYX seems to think that it will go to rain all the way to the mountains? I don't think so, in their AFD, they say this: IN THE MTNS AND FOOTHILLS THE PCPN SHOULD REMAIN SNOW AS MODEL TEMP PROFILES SUGGEST. Most of the coastal plain should go to rain eventually...even up to maybe IZG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Foothills and mtns could see low end warning snows depending on the model of choice, 1-3"/2-4" possibly here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 NAM reins it in a bit this run. Pretty much 0.50-0.75" in the jack zone through 12z rather than the 0.75-1.00"+ it had been advertising. It got a reality check, More inline with the other guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Nam qpf and snow map is 10 -12 here at SR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2014 Author Share Posted March 19, 2014 It got a reality check, More inline with the other guidance Still has a stripe of 1" near IZG and northeast in the interior...but its slowly coming back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Still has a stripe of 1" near IZG and northeast in the interior...but its slowly coming back. Sv map is not as generous but has the same stripe, Close to the same amount here as IZG on that map but will have temp issues on thurs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Sv map is not as generous but has the same stripe, Close to the same amount here as IZG on that map but will have temp issues on thurs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Sv map is not as generous but has the same stripe, Close to the same amount here as IZG on that map but will have temp issues on thurs When do you get back? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 thats hawwt,dont know where they would put it, they were pushing back banks all day here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 thats hawwt,dont know where they would put it, they were pushing back banks all day here lol, They better find more space, More saturday too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 When do you get back?Sat unless we ski Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Sneaky snow HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOKNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME1032 PM EDT TUE MAR 18 2014MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-NHZ001>010-013-014-200245-NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET-SOUTHERN OXFORD-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK-INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO-COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-COASTAL WALDO-NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-NORTHERN CARROLL-SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN-MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-1032 PM EDT TUE MAR 18 2014THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MAINE...CENTRAL NEWHAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE..DAY ONE...TONIGHT.HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME..DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY.1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST...WITH 2 TO5 INCHES POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE. ISOLATED 6 INCH AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLEAT HIGH ELEVATIONS..SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 lol, They better find more space, More saturday toooh my depending on the timing may need to book a room Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2014 Author Share Posted March 19, 2014 oh my depending on the timing may need to book a room Saturday morning looks pretty snowy...might want to wait until evening to drive back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Saturday morning looks pretty snowy...might want to wait until evening to drive back. sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2014 Author Share Posted March 19, 2014 RGEM is still nuking NH/ME Hard to buy that solution, but its like 3 runs in a row. GFS was pretty darn paltry...more like 3 tenths in most of that zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 RGEM is still nuking NH/ME Hard to buy that solution, but its like 3 runs in a row. GFS was pretty darn paltry...more like 3 tenths in most of that zone. like the RGEM NAM consistency probably end up like Euro.. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Would like a little more elevation but if we can get the precip to rip for just a little while overnight might pull of an inch here and 1-2" for MPM, Lurker, Hubba-Hubba. If not probably mix of sn/fzra here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Rpm has 6-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 WWA are up here, 2-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 North trend overnight as the atmospheric pattern since Feb 17 continues to be unfavorable in SNE...Rain ORH south. and zr to rain N Mass..snow to rain SNH..let's see how Saturday will screw us next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 I am hoping for 1-2" but expecting <1" here Looks nice for SR area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 North trend overnight as the atmospheric pattern since Feb 17 continues to be unfavorable in SNE...Rain ORH south. and zr to rain N Mass..snow to rain SNH..let's see how Saturday will screw us next Boy--whatever happened to optimistic Kevin? You're sounding like the 'woe is me" Kevin instead. I am hoping for 1-2" but expecting <1" here Looks nice for SR area Same expectation here. Fun times for Ginxy, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Boy--whatever happened to optimistic Kevin? You're sounding like the 'woe is me" Kevin instead. Same expectation here. Fun times for Ginxy, though. It's almost unimaginable in one of the coldest March's in history that SNE hasn't had a snowfall since Feb 17th. Absolutely mind boggling. Hopefully next week pans out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 It's almost unimaginable in one of the coldest March's in history that SNE hasn't had a snowfall since Feb 17th. Absolutely mind boggling. Hopefully next week pans outAt least your bet is looking better and better. Sat looks to be too far north now too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.