NaoPos Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 tad deeper than 0z @ 108, but LP is in almost the same location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Southern stream low is too far south and east 108hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 50 miles West or same location? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 50 miles West or east or same location? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Lol I'm on phone I see west here and more progressive south and east on twitter which is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Yeah the trough actually ends up a hair more neutrally tilted, it's a stronger more consolidated low. We trended better out west but not enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 it'a almost in the same spot as 0z @ 6z wed, just deeper. maybe some more energy in the backside of the approaching trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 The low forms further west but ends up in the same spot down the road so it doesn't matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 There's an inverted trough at 114hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 To many people in here doing analysis. What a train wreck as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Southern stream low is too far south and east 108hr. The southern stream needs to slow down and allow the storm to form closer to the coast. If it's too fast it will sweep the baroclinic zone east and force the track out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Well, at least we are not in the Bull's Eye. Just kidding, but I know everybody says they don't want to be in the Bull's Eye this far out. I personally would like to be in the Bull's Eye all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 964mb well southeast of the 40/70 benchmark, we do get whiffed by the inverted trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 The low forms further west but ends up in the same spot down the road so it doesn't matter. Not worried at this point in matter of fact for the 0z and 12Z EURO to be this close is not a bad sign at this juncture. Its a downright intense LP system and if ticks slightly more west each run from here on out we're sitting pretty. The ensembles and control are going to be important here, i think quite a few are going to show some sub 970's again and even sub 960's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 964mb well southeast of the 40/70 benchmark, we do get whiffed by the inverted trough. Inverted troughs are very rare. I'd bet pretty big on it not happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 960 mb bomb too far east near 40/66 instead of 40/70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 To many people in here doing analysis. What a train wreck as usual No train wreck, with selected use of Ignore, this thread actually reads quite nicely wrt to model analysis. Bottom line is this Euro run isn't showing a crushing hit for the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 It's a tick west from 00z once it reaches Boston's latitude, this run could have been worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Things have to trend further west by tomorrow or I think it's a wrap, hopefully new data sorts things out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 960 mb bomb too far east near 40/66 instead of 40/70. 960? Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 It's a tick west from 00z once it reaches Boston's latitude, this run could have been worse. This was an improvement in a way from 0z, i hope no one in here expected a glorified HECS solution at this juncture. Tommorow is the do or die day IMO, this place is going to be a nuthouse! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 This was the first 12z run to follow the 0z more easterly runs of the last several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Inverted troughs are very rare. I'd bet pretty big on it not happening. Why do I have to bet on it happening by pointing out what it shows. This is what frustrates me. I state what the models show regardless of the likelihood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 the 12z euro takes the exact same track as the 0z euro. Here they are for comparisons sake... the 12z is on the left, 0z on the right. 12z amplifies earlier than the 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Things have to trend further west by tomorrow or I think it's a wrap, hopefully new data sorts things out.You do realize even tommorow its 4 days out? Where it is currently a 75 mile shift west and were in a powerful blizzard. The 12Z EURO was very encouraging to say the least my friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 This was the first 12z run to follow the 0z more easterly runs of the last several days. This run was not further east than 00z, it took a similar track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Why do I have to bet on it happening by pointing out what it shows. This is what frustrates me. I state what the models show regardless of the likelihood. That is what we call pitiful meteorology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm chaser Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Why are people not acting like this can't come west still ? Still holding the same position by this time Sunday or Further East than maybe time to give up but not yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Two consistent Euro runs back to back. Lets see what the ensembles say. Will be hard to go against an OTS solution if tonight's Euro stays consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 This was an improvement in a way from 0z, i hope no one in here expected a glorified HECS solution at this juncture. Tommorow is the do or die day IMO, this place is going to be a nuthouse! I think do-or-die will be Sunday. We don't need a huge adjustment for a major impact here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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