REDMK6GLI Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Give me a storm where we aren't threading the needle? Even Boxing Day threaded the needle to some extent.We almost missed that one due to too much blocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 The GGEM is not, I repeat NOT OUT TO SEA This is not, I repeat NOT A DRILL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Give me a storm where we aren't threading the needle? Even Boxing Day threaded the needle to some extent. It stinks to live on the coastal plain. It's a crapshoot every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 GGEM fully closes off at H5 hour 141. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Give me a storm where we aren't threading the needle? Even Boxing Day threaded the needle to some extent. Every storm at this latitude "threads the needle" to some extent. There aren't types of storms that are automatic big snow producers here like SWFEs are for New England or cutters for the Great Lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 It stinks to live on the coastal plain. It's a crapshoot every time. Risk/Reward, no other part of the country gets the dynamic snow events like we do. Sure the mid-west has blizzards but they are more from over running or intense cutters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 The core of the CCB sits just offshore on the GGEM, fringes the twin forks and annihilates Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 The ggem could show a blizzard for many runs and i still wouldnt believe in it after last storm lol.. panic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 For one of the more experienced posters/mets here, does this have shades of March 01'? Saw some grumblings about it in the New England forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 QPF on the GGEM - Basically very little or next to nothing west of KMMU, 1"+ east of NYC. Honestly QPF breakdown isn't too dissimilar from Boxing Day, just a tick east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 For one of the more experienced posters/mets here, does this have shades of March 01'? Saw some grumblings about it in the New England forum. Unless this thing stalls and hangs around for 36 hours i dont think 01' IMO would be a correct comparison. Better comparison would be boxing day blizzard and 2/13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 The ggem could show a blizzard for many runs and i still wouldnt believe in it after last storm lol.. panic. Problem is, NO model has been good this winter. The last three storms that missed us for example; each one had a depiction at one time from a different model showing a HECS for our area, and each time it was dead wrong. Can only hope the canadian has a better handle on this, cause no model is riding the hot hand right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Unless this thing stalls and hangs around for 36 hours i dont think 01' IMO would be a correct comparison. Better comparison would be boxing day blizzard and 2/13 I said one of the more experienced posters j/k It has more to do with the upper air pattern over the Midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 GEFS some of them show a nice hit. which one is the mean though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Check out the 12z GGEM Ensembles. Some are monsters. http://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/charts_e.html?Hour=132&Day=0&RunTime=12&Type=pnm http://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/charts_e.html?Hour=144&Day=&RunTime=12&Type=pnm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 The mean track on the 12z GEFS is still way offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 I said one of the more experienced posters j/k It has more to do with the upper air pattern over the Midwest. Welp that means im out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Check out the 12z GGEM Ensembles. Some are monsters. http://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/charts_e.html?Hour=132&Day=0&RunTime=12&Type=pnm http://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/charts_e.html?Hour=144&Day=&RunTime=12&Type=pnm My favorite is the one showing a 972mb low kissing ACY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 My favorite is the one showing a 972mb low kissing ACY.Yea JP your area, surprise! Just found yanksfan favorite solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 My favorite is the one showing a 972mb low kissing ACY. Mine is 965 just inside the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Yea JP your area, surprise! Just found yanksfan favorite solution Why wouldn't I want the solution that benefits me the most? Just sayin... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 12z UKMET huge bomb just to bit too far east: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 This is a classic storm where the GFS is going to be useless, as a matter of fact I'm shocked to see it has a storm at all in this sort of setup at this range...this is definitely one where I'd ride the Euro/Ensembles the entire way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 12z UKMET huge bomb just to bit too far east: Yep, look how fast and progressive the pattern is and the neutral tilt on the trough. That has nowhere to go but the boot out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Why wouldn't I want the solution that benefits me the most? Just sayin... I dont care about your backyard to me it can be a bottomless abyss, i need the snow since severe weather season shafts me EVERY year. Spread the wealth yanks and dont be hog! i know this is banter btw mods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 This is a classic storm where the GFS is going to be useless, as a matter of fact I'm shocked to see it has a storm at all in this sort of setup at this range...this is definitely one where I'd ride the Euro/Ensembles the entire way.IMO the EURO and its entire suite makes it living on these big phasing miller A's. it nailed the 2/13 storm and that was a pretty sizable miller A as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 I dont care about your backyard to me it can be a bottomless abyss, i need the snow since severe weather season shafts me EVERY year. Spread the wealth yanks and dont be hog! i know this is banter btw mods NO SNOW FOR YOU, ONE YEAR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.