JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Wow the rgem sucks. Just when you think.. And the guest users drop like flies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 GFS is exactly the same track but deeper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 GFS looks like it pulled the precip east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Wow...what a storm. Yeah GFS cut back a bit on the western side. Can't get over how many freakin isobars there are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 The NAM giveth...and the GFS/RGEM taketh away! Gives the Cape like 2-3 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 What a waste of a good storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 What a waste of a good storm. From the looks of it would have been a great storm. Historic maybe... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 What a waste of a good storm. What a waste of an amazing storm, really. Nova Scotia is going to get wiped off the map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Agreed. An interesting storm. Thanks to all the mets that are contributing for us non-mets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Wow...what a storm. Yeah GFS cut back a bit on the western side. Can't get over how many freakin isobars there are. The nice thing about the lower-resolution GFS is that the isobars are nice and circular and concentric. Much easier on the eyes than the NAM (and ultimately reality)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 BOX (via Facebook): "New fcst data suggest heavy snow farther northwest into Bos-Prov corridor w/potential for 4-7". Need 2 review more data b4 making changes." The nam should have stunk. Will stick by my very initial impression of it. Everything that went on today to bring this back vanished at init with that run. And that followed with the rgem and gfs. It had a late save because it's the nam and is on crack. Euro is going to take a tremendous john candy esque belly flop yet again. I don't know why it got so bad this year modeling wise but it's just not worth it. We've had difficult patterns before. Something isn't right because all the models are wildly inaccurate at times even inside of 48 hours. It's like something getting in there is off, way off in the form of observations. This is a nothing event. Even PB will bust high potentially and he was the lowest. UGH I need a new hobby but thankfully only wasted 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 The nice thing about the lower-resolution GFS is that the isobars are nice and circular and concentric. Much easier on the eyes than the NAM (and ultimately reality)! I like to think that nothing the NAM spits out is reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Only this year you could get storms to not work out in a season with no blocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Only this year you could get storms to not work out in a season with no blocking hahaha. hey wait, stfu j/k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 hahaha. hey wait, stfu j/k They have either cut or went east for the most part, And no real deep Miller A's, Progressive has been the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Just like that a non event. Will be surprised if the UK and Euro don't move 50-75 east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Btw sorry on this one nick....but no Leftie no storm as there's nothing to yank it back. I'm actually shocked it broke that bad tonight. I remember the NGM being this erratic but never a time subjectively when we've seen repeated instances in one season of just nonsense solutions as it turns out by the euro/gfs/Cmc. Anyway time to get the clubs ready. Won't have to worry about snow on the course this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 This looks like one of those scenes at the end of a march madness game where the last second shot bounces out of the hoop. Players falling all over the floor devastated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Btw sorry on this one nick....but no Leftie no storm as there's nothing to yank it back. I'm actually shocked it broke that bad tonight. I remember the NGM being this erratic but never a time subjectively when we've seen repeated instances in one season of just nonsense solutions as it turns out by the euro/gfs/Cmc. Anyway time to get the clubs ready. Won't have to worry about snow on the course this weekend. Eh I wouldn't give up if I were you, GFS is on crack even more than the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 They have either cut or went east for the most part, And no real deep Miller A's, Progressive has been the way No I agree, I was saying that earlier this month and got chastised for it. +NAO for the loss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 No I agree, I was saying that earlier this month and got chastised for it. +NAO for the loss. And the Mid Atlantic had an awesome winter with a +NAO, Go figure, Thats where we got pooched by the PV on a few events, I am just hoping for a slow melt off up here so we don't have serious hydro issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 The polar vortex provides a different sort of blocking. The kind that destroys any hope of snow in NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Very interested in what the Euro will be spitting out in roughly 90 minutes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 The polar vortex provides a different sort of blocking. The kind that destroys any hope of snow in NE. Unless there's a major input error it's over. Blizzard watch to snow shower watch, coating to a few inches on the cape. I'm still amazed. Sure no blocking as dry slot said but that doesn't excuse what are really large run to run changes when very early in the cycle for all models. I don't know, really makes me wonder about what's going into them or maybe that we've reached a point in some patterns where we are trying to squeeze too much resolution for what's available data wise. 2013-2014 winter by and large was a significant step backwards in model reliability on a lot of levels. Maybe it just was the "pattern" but I'm really having doubts about that. It's just hard to understand that 6 and 12 hour forecasts can be this bad now across multiple models. Punching out before I waste part of the new day. Have a good summer everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Overcast Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HlNjC6JWy6o Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Unless there's a major input error it's over. Blizzard watch to snow shower watch, coating to a few inches on the cape. I'm still amazed. Sure no blocking as dry slot said but that doesn't excuse what are really large run to run changes when very early in the cycle for all models. I don't know, really makes me wonder about what's going into them or maybe that we've reached a point in some patterns where we are trying to squeeze too much resolution for what's available data wise. 2013-2014 winter by and large was a significant step backwards in model reliability on a lot of levels. Maybe it just was the "pattern" but I'm really having doubts about that. It's just hard to understand that 6 and 12 hour forecasts can be this bad now across multiple models. Punching out before I waste part of the new day. Have a good summer everyone Me too, and you too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 The mid atlantic might get more than NYC and Boston once again. SMH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nwbostonwx Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 We lost in a shootout to canadiens, we lose to the canadian RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New Englander Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 I keep seeing reminders of the early Feb 1992 monster that missed NE for the most part and clobbered Nova Scotia. It has been a pretty challenging winter with the models compared to other winters.It happens.... March has been tough. Snow or no snow from this look to be monster, been a good winter. We are going to have some serious backdoor fronts I would imagine in regards temp gradient with chilly ocean temps deeper into April/May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 We lost in a shootout to canadiens, we lose to the canadian RGEM Consensus has always been a brush/near miss. No shock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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