TalcottWx Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Don't discount a NAM type solution with the snowfall as far back NW as it got that run. Look the the mid levels, in that *scenario* it has weight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 someone out on the cape should make some vids. going to be a sick experience for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 0z NAM: 1.5"+ for CC and Islands (2"+ for Nantucket?) 1.25 line up to PYM 0.75" line from UUU-GHG 0.5" line from PVD - just NW BOS 0.25" line from SE CT - Westford 0.10" line E CT - just W ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 On 3/25/2014 at 2:28 AM, Overcast said: It's the NAM, but it makes things interesting in the 128 corridor, and just crush job on the Cape. Congrats ACK. Wish I could road trip down there but I have school. Going to be in for a heck of a storm especially out towards Chatham.ACk sounding is insane 70 knots sustained 500 ft above the deck 53 on the deck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Tonight's Euro should weigh heavily on everyone's forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 On 3/25/2014 at 2:32 AM, ruNNaWayIcEberG said: someone out on the cape should make some vids. going to be a sick experience for them. ineedsnow is chasing out to Chatham from W MA. I would hope he will be shooting video if he's driving 150 mi. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Oh, and GFS, toss it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 146 users are reader this topic...must be the entire population of Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 On 3/25/2014 at 2:30 AM, OSUmetstud said: If I hear rightie or leftie one more time... Ok, this system is ambidextrous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 On 3/25/2014 at 2:37 AM, JC in CT said: 146 users are reader this topic...must be the entire population of Cape Cod. I hope James is okay, I know he had some health issues unusual for him to not be around. NAM was fun to look at, I think it's pretty much the 12z Euro a little more juiced. RGEM/Euro will tell the tale. I'd like to see the RGEM nudge NW a smidge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 On 3/25/2014 at 2:30 AM, OSUmetstud said: If I hear rightie or leftie one more time... Lol I knew ppl would be cringing... apologies, convenient tags for the setup and will be interesting to follow the evolution through the night. Though I'm wary of taking the NAM too seriously even this close in, the 12z --> 18z --> 0z changes seem like a real trend towards last night's 0z Euro. Consensus improving for a PYM southeast warning criteria, and further northwest looking more hopeful too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 On 3/25/2014 at 2:36 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said: ineedsnow is chasing out to Chatham from W MA. I would hope he will be shooting video if he's driving 150 mi. lol lol...i hope for his sake its not his smart phone. chase it like a pro or jump off the elbow into the atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 On 3/25/2014 at 2:41 AM, PolarVortex said: I hope James is okay, I know he had some health issues unusual for him to not be around. NAM was fun to look at, I think it's pretty much the 12z Euro a little more juiced. RGEM/Euro will tell the tale. I'd like to see the RGEM nudge NW a smidge. He could have reenlisted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Unbelievable to even be considering some of these totals on the cape in late March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 whats the Cape's season total so far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 On 3/25/2014 at 2:46 AM, ruNNaWayIcEberG said: whats the Cape's season total so far? I would imagine somewhere in the 60-70" range. I'm just under 60" and know they got like 10" more total in those two storms in Jan/feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Last week it was NNE in the spotlight and now this week who would've thought it would be the Cape + islands? Sent from my VS980 4G using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 On 3/25/2014 at 2:50 AM, SouthCoastMA said: I would imagine somewhere in the 60-70" range. I'm just under 60" and know they got like 10" more total in those two storms in Jan/feb I'd say that's about right. NAM was fun, now the real models roll. I like the box map for the cape still for now. Seems like a safe play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 On 3/25/2014 at 2:50 AM, SouthCoastMA said: I would imagine somewhere in the 60-70" range. I'm just under 60" and know they got like 10" more total in those two storms in Jan/feb Been a great year there. Beating quite a few locals i would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 On 3/25/2014 at 2:55 AM, PolarVortex said: I'd say that's about right. NAM was fun, now the real models roll. I like the box map for the cape still for now. Seems like a safe play. Yeah its been real steady..and it is very reasonable IMO. I think ACK has a good chance to double up on that however Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 RGEM blows. Much weaker than the 12z, about 9mb....967. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Overcast Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 On 3/25/2014 at 2:58 AM, PolarVortex said: RGEM blows. Much weaker than the 12z, about 9mb....967. Isn't that good for precip though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 On 3/25/2014 at 2:59 AM, Overcast said: Isn't that good for precip though? No, if the RGEM is right it's the revenge of Pete Bouchard storm. Maybe a couple of inches on the Cape per the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Actually that's generous, if the RGEM is right maybe 1-3" on the outer Cape? Just some snow showers near the canal and in SE MA. Little or no real accumulation. If I had to pick between the NAM and the RGEM it wouldn't be the NAM 99% of the time, but who knows. Either way I'm going to bed. Didn't love the NAM to start but it found a way to work some magic, the RGEM wasn't as deep, was quicker like the NAM...and off she went out to sea. I mean it's a non-event, eastern system dominates and it's gone. (Nick I didn't say Rightie) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Rgem is annoying. The fact it doesnt tick but jumps.....low confidence imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Anyway, that was fun. Night all, we'll see what the Euro does - the RGEM has had some bad moments on coastals this year but has mainly been rock solid. I have a hard time thinking it's off by 400 miles inside of 36 hours. That's about the normal margin of error with the NAM. The surprise would be the Euro totally failing at that range and HL, but stranger things have happened. Weird storm, weird setup. If this is how it ends it'd be a fitting exclamation point on the winter modeling. I hate these ricky bobby shake and bake scenarios where we rely on part of one system to sling the other here....I thought the NAM reversed course but we had a late save from the sling north, RGEM says no dice on that and because of it develops later, and nothing gets here. Doesn't seem bad based on how the NAM changed tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 On 3/25/2014 at 3:08 AM, PolarVortex said: Anyway, that was fun. Night all, we'll see what the Euro does - the RGEM has had some bad moments on coastals this year but has mainly been rock solid. I have a hard time thinking it's off by 400 miles inside of 36 hours. That's about the normal margin of error with the NAM. The surprise would be the Euro totally failing at that range and HL, but stranger things have happened. Weird storm, weird setup. If this is how it ends it'd be a fitting exclamation point on the winter modeling. I hate these ricky bobby shake and bake scenarios where we rely on part of one system to sling the other here....I thought the NAM reversed course but we had a late save from the sling north, RGEM says no dice on that and because of it develops later, and nothing gets here. Doesn't seem bad based on how the NAM changed tonight. The bigger takeaway from this storm in my opinion - welcome back Messenger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 BOX (via Facebook): "New fcst data suggest heavy snow farther northwest into Bos-Prov corridor w/potential for 4-7". Need 2 review more data b4 making changes." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 I'm out for now. Good disco all. Fella saw you lurking... was hoping you'd have reason to bump your post from days ago, but alas, we are deep in OT and we'll need a hail mary dance of these shortwaves to get it done. And I think that talk of mine Wednesday noon delayed from Feb 15 storm is gonna happen this time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Wow the rgem sucks. Just when you think.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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