Juliancolton Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 God, what a convulated mess the lows are, lol. Lows, pressure tongues, inverted troughs galore. I think it may be over-resolving to some extent... if not, that's quite the meteorological gobbledygook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 It's oh so close to something better. Unfortunately, it's also oh so close to something much much worse. I like this storm, I've never been so interested by a whiff for my own backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Not terrible, it's backing the flow enough later, but it won't get precip as far west this run for sure so Harv's map would be in trough west of ORH and eastern CT if this is the way it ends up going. It's better than the 12z by a lot, not as good as the 18z, right towards the other models it would appear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 err...well similar at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdazed Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Honestly, I'd like RI to get over a foot. Not because the models support it, but because I have a meeting on Wednesday I really don't want to go to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 If you ignore the little difference in surface lows and look at the big picture the storm is overall a little further west than even the 18z thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Not terrible, it's backing the flow enough later, but it won't get precip as far west this run for sure so Harv's map would be in trough west of ORH and eastern CT if this is the way it ends up going. It's better than the 12z by a lot, not as good as the 18z, right towards the other models it would appear. Eh..it doesn't really look like the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Not terrible, it's backing the flow enough later, but it won't get precip as far west this run for sure so Harv's map would be in trough west of ORH and eastern CT if this is the way it ends up going. It's better than the 12z by a lot, not as good as the 18z, right towards the other models it would appear. CC, extreme SE MA look to get in the goods verbatim. Everything coming into line for a mod-high impact storm outer Cape/Islands, moderate impact storm extreme SE MA, light to moderate just SE of BOS-PVD, nuisance event NW of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 err...well similar at least Yeah it's splitting hairs. My initial dislike related to what is a trim on the left flank to the west of ORH. It's reached the left goalpost with this run and the multi-run trend that allowed it to move NW is done. Now we're contending with how far it can get slung north at the end. EDIT: Worse if your CT Blizz, better if your me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 There aren't many times when you compare 500mb maps and see higher heights over SNE...a sharper trough digging into the SE/MA and the storm ends up further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Heh, just a tad different than the GFS. But then again, what's an inch of QPF among friends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 WInds noticeably stronger on the cape this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 There aren't many times when you compare 500mb maps and see higher heights over SNE...a sharper trough digging into the SE/MA and the storm ends up further east. It's a weird deal. What I was worried about is it being able to wrap up but too late, hooking up towards downeast...you can see that play out if you're sitting in NYC right now looking at the 18z and then this run...which is a whiff. Or even the western 2/3 of CT or western 1/2 of MA that at least had something earlier. This is actually a much bigger hit in eastern/SE MA and is a blizzard here, but damn is it precarious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Of course...raise your hand if you think that run will be the final outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 WInds noticeably stronger on the cape this run Not only that, but we do better QPF wise... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 NAM to me is an overall improvement again at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 700 rh levels actually get further west this run..along with the CCB..though the surface looks a tad east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 a bit better for Boston too, it would appear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 NAM suggests 6" kisses Scott's arse in Weymouth. 2" back to LWM-ORH-E CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 All you guys didn't like the initial parts of the 00z NAM and in the end it went WEST Another 25 miles. Comma Head really hits the Cape hard and starts getting towards Taunton for a time. Still need the NAM to come 125 Miles to the West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 All you guys didn't like the initial parts of the 00z NAM and in the end it went WEST Another 25 miles. Comma Head really hits the Cape hard and starts getting towards Taunton for a time. Still need the NAM to come 125 Miles to the West. NAM upping totals on the Cape to 12-16 inches... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 All you guys didn't like the initial parts of the 00z NAM and in the end it went WEST Another 25 miles. Comma Head really hits the Cape hard and starts getting towards Taunton for a time. Still need the NAM to come 125 Miles to the West. To be fair, the surface low was considerably east at the 30 hr mark compared to the 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Epic blizzard per Nam outputs for the Cape,wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 This somehow gets a much better outcome Warning criteria into Bos-Pvd Foot+ Messenger southeast PV I see what you mean now re: Lowgate disco above. You're actually hoping for an earlier consolidation and in the process, East/Rightie gets pivoted northwestward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Nam looks like it is now 6+ for all bristol and Plymouth cointies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 This somehow gets a much better outcome Warning criteria into Bos-Pvd Foot+ Messenger southeast PV I see what you mean now re: Lowgate disco above. You're actually hoping for an earlier consolidation and in the process, East/Rightie gets pivoted northwestward. Yeah didn't quite work the way I was thinking though. As a result NYC gets boned of really any snow as does western MA and CT. But this does get tossed further north and as a result we get a 12z Euro solution. At least it seems to be pretty similar in where it drew the .5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Overcast Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 It's the NAM, but it makes things interesting in the 128 corridor, and just crush job on the Cape. Congrats ACK. Wish I could road trip down there but I have school. Going to be in for a heck of a storm especially out towards Chatham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 nice hit for the same folks. we are really talking semantics now....in the end, its gonna be a now cast time where a wobble here or wobble there makes a pretty sizable difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 If I hear rightie or leftie one more time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 anyway, that's probably way too much NAM analysis for the evening lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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