JC-CT Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 This one is totally, 100%, unarguably cooked. Persistence is the rule of the winter people, and she says that we will see YET ANOTHER dynamic late winter / early spring extratropical cyclone traveling NNE across 65/40 at sub 970mb with such a tightly wound pressure field that New England is only grazed with the precipitation shield for a light to moderate snowstorm. Persistence, folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 This one is totally, 100%, unarguably cooked. Persistence is the rule of the winter people, and she says that we will see YET ANOTHER dynamic late winter / early spring extratropical cyclone traveling NNE across 65/40 at sub 970mb with such a tightly wound pressure field that New England is only grazed with the precipitation shield for a light to moderate snowstorm. Persistence, folks. You can't be serious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 You can't be serious Context, my friend. Of course I'm not serious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 There may be parts of the Berkshires that have not had much over an inch since Feb 18th. That has to be close to climatologically impossible. lol That's impressive up there for sure. Same deal down here, but less impressive given the locale. Given the pattern at the time I would have thought you were crazy if you told me on 2/18 that I was done through the end of march and possibly the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Context, my friend. Of course I'm not serious. ok Josh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 That's impressive up there for sure. Same deal down here, but less impressive given the locale. Given the pattern at the time I would have thought you were crazy if you told me on 2/18 that I was done through the end of march and possibly the season. We have had a couple of small (1", 2.5") things imby since then... so, I might come in a hair below normal for the season Meanwhile, folks 50 miles away are 150%-200% of normal Kinda funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Check out the 12z GGEM Ensembles. Some are monsters. http://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/charts_e.html?Hour=132&Day=0&RunTime=12&Type=pnm http://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/charts_e.html?Hour=144&Day=&RunTime=12&Type=pnm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Check out the 12z GGEM Ensembles. Some are monsters. http://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/charts_e.html?Hour=132&Day=0&RunTime=12&Type=pnm http://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/charts_e.html?Hour=144&Day=&RunTime=12&Type=pnm Panel 3 is making me have nasty thoughts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 The amazing thing is always how Mother Nature likes her averages...the screwgies and jackpotters seem to rotate around, with the exception of Philly which must be ground zero this winter, lol. Payback for last winter....they got like 8 inches the whole winter while just barely NE of them did pretty well and of course SNE was getting destroyed. Climo sometimes pays back right away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Payback for last winter....they got like 8 inches the whole winter while just barely NE of them did pretty well and of course SNE was getting destroyed. Climo sometimes pays back right away. See '10-'11 and '11-'12 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Im going to be going with the EURO for this storm. the GFS is notorious for missing the boat with these miller A's till later in the game. That said im anxious to see what the 12z EURO will have to say about the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Im going to be going with the EURO for this storm. the GFS is notorious for missing the boat with these miller A's till later in the game. That said im anxious to see what the 12z EURO will have to say about the storm REDMK6GLI HAS DECLARED FOR THE EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 This season, I am not riding any one model until 2-3 days out. Euro would be the most likely I think, but we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 There are like 8 shortwaves interacting in that trough...how could the GFS possibly mess that all up??! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 12z GFS Ensm. look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 There are like 8 shortwaves interacting in that trough...how could the GFS possibly mess that all up??! Is that an Octophaser? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Is that an Octophaser? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Methinks euro is going CMC today from the look at 108. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Methinks euro is going CMC today from the look at 108. Bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Definite improvement from 0Z through 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Sharper trough and west of 0z at hr 132 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Methinks euro is going CMC today from the look at 108. That does look rather ominous doesn't it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Almost intensified too fast and occluded but that's a bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Wow then hooks left lol. What a weird evolution. Looks like one of those euro bomb runs where it occluded too quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Lol 968 mb at 144. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Wow then hooks left lol. What a weird evolution. Looks like one of those euro bomb runs where it occluded too quick. Left as in a cutter? Or a retro type deal ()? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Left as in a cutter? Or a retro type deal ()? No left as in gets heavy precip into SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Almost intensified too fast and occluded but that's a bomb Nice look. I'll take it at 138 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 yes plz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Nice diurnal cycle we've been on all week. 12z giveth triple phase monster, 00z taketh away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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