SlantStickers Anonymous Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 It's Thursday, isn't it a bit early to be making any kind of definitive statements about losing or getting this lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Well it looks like we're losing this one..tough pill to swallow WTF? It's 7 days away. Relax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 A little early for anyone to be giving up on this one...especially ENE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 lol @ the emotional bipolar swings this forum ejects. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2014 Author Share Posted March 20, 2014 WTF? It's 7 days away. Relax.We've seen this how many times the last 5 weeks? Fool me once shame on me.. Fool me twice, roll of the dice,, fool me thrice .. My weenies on ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 I'm not giving up on anything, merely speaking to what has transpired over the past 40 days or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 I can't exactly complain too much being almost 20" above climo here, but hindsight does look back at the missess, and wonder how much snow I could have received in my area. Maybe 100+"? It didn't happen to turn out that way so all I can do now is catch up on the model talk for next week every so often, while knowing that discussions of high dews and heat are closer than I realize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 We've seen this how many times the last 5 weeks? Fool me once shame on me.. Fool me twice, roll of the dice,, fool me thrice .. My weenies on ice You are foolish to write anything off 7 days out...I don't care if it is right or wrong. We all know what may happen, but good luck in the field if you write things off 7 days out because of bad luck prior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 We've seen this how many times the last 5 weeks? Fool me once shame on me.. Fool me twice, roll of the dice,, fool me thrice .. My weenies on iceWe must be up to fool you forty have a weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 We've seen this how many times the last 5 weeks? Fool me once shame on me.. Fool me twice, roll of the dice,, fool me thrice .. My weenies on ice Your reasoning should control your weenie, and not the other way around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2014 Author Share Posted March 20, 2014 You are foolish to write anything off 7 days out...I don't care if it is right or wrong. We all know what may happen, but good luck in the field if you write things off 7 days out because of bad luck prior. When the atmosphere wants it to not snow..it will find every way for that to happen. In this instance persistence is the way to go until proven otherwise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 When the atmosphere wants it to not snow..it will find every way for that to happen. In this instance persistence is the way to go until proven otherwise Yes, the atmosphere has a personality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Euro ensembles actually look pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2014 Author Share Posted March 20, 2014 Yes, the atmosphere has a personality. Well, I had me a date with a woman On the other side of this town But there came a rainstorm and it rained so hard And it washed the bridge right down. Bad luck and bad weather Seems to follow me Bad luck and bad weather Is all I ever see. Then I got me a job in the city Gonna make me a lot of pay But there came a snowstorm the night before And don't you know I got fired on my very first day. Bad luck and bad weather Seems to follow me Bad luck and bad weather Is all I ever see. I was buildin' me a house in Nashville I finished it on Saturday Come Sunday morning a big tornado Just blew my new house away. Bad luck and bad weather Seem to follow me Bad luck and bad weather Is all I ever see. Then I went down away to the desert I dug a well more a hundred foot deep Built up the windmill but the wind wouldn't blow enough The water washed my dirty feet. Bad luck and bad weather Seem to follow me Bad luck and bad weather Is all I ever see. Bad luck and bad weather Seem to follow me Bad luck and bad weather Is all I ever see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Well, I had me a date with a woman On the other side of this town But there came a rainstorm and it rained so hard And it washed the bridge right down. Bad luck and bad weather Seems to follow me Bad luck and bad weather Is all I ever see. Then I got me a job in the city Gonna make me a lot of pay But there came a snowstorm the night before And don't you know I got fired on my very first day. Bad luck and bad weather Seems to follow me Bad luck and bad weather Is all I ever see. I was buildin' me a house in Nashville I finished it on Saturday Come Sunday morning a big tornado Just blew my new house away. Bad luck and bad weather Seem to follow me Bad luck and bad weather Is all I ever see. Then I went down away to the desert I dug a well more a hundred foot deep Built up the windmill but the wind wouldn't blow enough The water washed my dirty feet. Bad luck and bad weather Seem to follow me Bad luck and bad weather Is all I ever see. Bad luck and bad weather Seem to follow me Bad luck and bad weather Is all I ever see... I had to google that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 WPC for next week MODELS AND ENSEMBLES HAVE CONVERGED UPON A MORE COMPATABLE/WELL CLUSTERED SOLUTION COMPARED TO YESTERDAYS GUIDANCE. THIS BOLSTERS CONFIDENCE IN EVOLUTION OF THE UPCOMING MEDIUM RANGE PATTERN AS AN ERN NOAM MEAN TROUGH AMPLIFIES WELL DOWNSTREAM FROM AN ERN PAC/ALASKA REX BLOCK...WITH RIDGING BUILDING AND WORKING INTO THE WRN US IN BETWEEN. IN THIS PATTERN THERE MEANWHILE REMAINS SIGNIFICANT POTENTIAL FOR UNUSUALLY FAR SOUTHWARD EXTENT OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION FOR LATE MARCH. THE BEST CONSENSUS FOR WRN ATLANTIC COASTAL STORM INTENSIFICATION TUE-WED GIVES THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST THE HIGHEST THREAT OF MEANINGFUL LATE SEASON SNOW/WIND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 I did note the 00z euro ensembles had a better look with the s.w moving SE across the OV. Also, you had a retreating high look which normally would argue for something a bit closer. Granted the high pressure moving offshore is more a function of the mid level pattern so that could change, but just noting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 I'm not giving up on anything, merely speaking to what has transpired over the past 40 days or so. I haven't had a snow fall over an inch since February 18! The fact that my yard is still 70 percent covered is a testament to the cold The boring dry cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 WTF is the NAM doing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 WTF is the NAM doing? I have no idea. But obviously you can see it, so why not share. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 I have no idea. But obviously you can see it, so why not share. Thanks. Decides to bring a s/w thru on late Sun into Mon. Well N of all guidance.Would be a S/SNE special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 When the atmosphere wants it to not snow..it will find every way for that to happen. In this instance persistence is the way to go until proven otherwise So it might seem. That was January up my way, but things can change... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 When the atmosphere wants it to not snow..it will find every way for that to happen. In this instance persistence is the way to go until proven otherwise this is like what we were saying for the 5 weeks of late Dec through January and early February. It's funny how we were saying these same things now it's moved into SNE. But can always respond with, "Aren't you above normal on the season?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 It digs the shortwave into the OV and lifts the precip north for sun night while gfs just sweeps the flow eastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Decides to bring a s/w thru on late Sun into Mon. Well N of all guidance.Would be a S/SNE special. That is a good sign for the potential mid-week, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2014 Author Share Posted March 20, 2014 So it might seem. That was January up my way, but things can change...well I don't think they change in SNE as you get into April and May and torch but hope you're right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Gfs bombs wed but its a miss. Frankly, i like it for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 this is like what we were saying for the 5 weeks of late Dec through January and early February. It's funny how we were saying these same things now it's moved into SNE. But can always respond with, "Aren't you above normal on the season?" Well you guys weren't that far from normal, meanwhile some areas of SNE have not even had an inch since Feb 18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 That is a good sign for the potential mid-week, no? Really no bearing at all. 12z GFS looks a tad less amplified than the 6z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Gfs bombs wed but its a miss. Frankly, i like it for now. It actually had a better look Down south and the energy is still pretty far west. Agree, not a bad look for 138hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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