HoarfrostHubb Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 I can't recall to many events that have gotten people as riled up as this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 I can't recall to many events that have gotten people as riled up as this one it's cumulative...this is the 3rd flop in 3 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 I can't recall to many events that have gotten people as riled up as this one I know....but people just want a last hurrah and this is turning into a tease for many. I can't blame them..especially when this will be a beast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 it's cumulative...this is the 3rd flop in 3 weeks Eh, more like miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Good information, thank you. Albany's take is going to be centric to their CWA, but there was a lot of interesting points they made. My bad apologies the discussion was from KOKX/NYC not Albany.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMike Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 potential triple phaser for the cape and no sign of JamesNickles this past week.... Yeah, I hope he's OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 I know....but people just want a last hurrah and this is turning into a tease for many. I can't blame them..especially when this will be a beast. Yeah, missing a garden variety storm would just be whatever, it's missing out on such a monster of a cyclone, so close, that's annoying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Eh, more like miss. When major networks are using the B word and major forecasters it's a flop. Very few people read this board. People by and large think a major snowstorm is coming. Luckily there's a few days to temper expectations. This one was highly touted and anticipation was growing. Andy's post doesn't leave a ton of hope for many. Hoping that strength can be maintained earlier for at least a solid brush or this run might be a disastah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 All the TV Mets INCLUDING my close buddy and favorite TV Met TJ del Santo all think this could be as big as possible. http://boston.cbslocal.com/2014/03/23/midweek-snow-storm-could-pack-a-punch/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadomachine Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Who wants to talk about 3/29-3/30? Not as big, but a shift to the SE and we get fairly good snows. Or should the inside runners shift NW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 We could live somewhere that never sees storms like this. There will more-just not this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RoboMaine Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Emerging from lurker mode after a winter of chuckles. While a whiff for the tri-county area 50 miles wide that the New England Forum seems to focus on, the discussion from NWS Gray still seems to indicate a very decent impact for a large percentage of the New England Coastline. NWS Caribou is hedging the bets, but still prepared to pull the trigger on a Blizzard Watch for their coastal region. I thank you all for your wide-angled views here on the New England Forum, and will go gas up my snowblower here in Maine (A part of New England since 1640). Returning to lurker mode with tongue firmly frozen in cheek.... Robomaine. From Gray: BOTH THE EURO AND THE CANADIAN MODELS SHOW A DOUBLE STRUCTUREDSYSTEM...ALLOWING THE SURFACE LOW TO PINWHEEL BACK TOWARDS THEGULF OF MAINE BRIEFLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...BEFORE HEADING EAST ANDOUT TO SEA. FOR NOW...HAVE PREFERRED A BLEND OF THE EURO ANDCANADIAN QPF WITH THE NAM AN OUTLIER DEPICTING NO PRECIPITATIONOVER THE FORECAST AREA. THIS BLEND WOULD RESULT IN SEVERAL INCHESOF SNOW OVER SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL AREAS...WITH MORE SNOWFALL ALONGTHE MIDCOAST REGION. THIS WOULD MAINLY BE 5TH/6TH PERIODS WITH THEPRECIPITATION...SO NO HEADLINES WILL BE ISSUED THIS PACKAGE.WILL STILL CONTINUE TO UPDATE OUR PARTNERS THROUGH NORMAL CHANNELSOF THE STORM POTENTIAL. WITH SIGNIFICANT HEIGHTS BUILDING IN THEWEST...ANY PREMATURE CUTTING OFF OF THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WOULDGREATLY CHANGE THE SNOWFALL FORECAST. From Caribou: AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THATDOWNEAST AREAS WILL BE THE HARDEST HIT WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONSPOSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WASHINGTON COUNTY. THE NAM AND GFSHAVE BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS LATE TUE NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY OF 50 KNOTSACROSS COASTAL WASHINGTON COUNTY WHICH COMBINED WITH HEAVYSNOWFALL WOULD LEAD TO A BLIZZARD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Robo good spot, NNE has a thread too, Euro has 20+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadomachine Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Emerging from lurker mode after a winter of chuckles. While a whiff for the tri-county area 50 miles wide that the New England Forum seems to focus on, the discussion from NWS Gray still seems to indicate a very decent impact for a large percentage of the New England Coastline. NWS Caribou is hedging the bets, but still prepared to pull the trigger on a Blizzard Watch for their coastal region. I thank you all for your wide-angled views here on the New England Forum, and will go gas up my snowblower here in Maine (A part of New England since 1640). Returning to lurker mode with tongue firmly frozen in cheek.... Robomaine. From Gray: BOTH THE EURO AND THE CANADIAN MODELS SHOW A DOUBLE STRUCTURED SYSTEM...ALLOWING THE SURFACE LOW TO PINWHEEL BACK TOWARDS THE GULF OF MAINE BRIEFLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...BEFORE HEADING EAST AND OUT TO SEA. FOR NOW...HAVE PREFERRED A BLEND OF THE EURO AND CANADIAN QPF WITH THE NAM AN OUTLIER DEPICTING NO PRECIPITATION OVER THE FORECAST AREA. THIS BLEND WOULD RESULT IN SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW OVER SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL AREAS...WITH MORE SNOWFALL ALONG THE MIDCOAST REGION. THIS WOULD MAINLY BE 5TH/6TH PERIODS WITH THE PRECIPITATION...SO NO HEADLINES WILL BE ISSUED THIS PACKAGE. WILL STILL CONTINUE TO UPDATE OUR PARTNERS THROUGH NORMAL CHANNELS OF THE STORM POTENTIAL. WITH SIGNIFICANT HEIGHTS BUILDING IN THE WEST...ANY PREMATURE CUTTING OFF OF THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WOULD GREATLY CHANGE THE SNOWFALL FORECAST. From Caribou: AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT DOWNEAST AREAS WILL BE THE HARDEST HIT WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WASHINGTON COUNTY. THE NAM AND GFS HAVE BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS LATE TUE NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY OF 50 KNOTS ACROSS COASTAL WASHINGTON COUNTY WHICH COMBINED WITH HEAVY SNOWFALL WOULD LEAD TO A BLIZZARD. Lucky bugger. Next week is prolly yours more than ours, too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 We could live somewhere that never sees storms like this. There will more-just not this year. Don't give up April may have a couple or few surprises over the first 14 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Nam looks a ton better. Ncep stuff coming back to reality Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Don't give up April may have a couple or few surprises over the first 14 days.Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Heights much higher out west, more ridging on the east. It's a ton better but seeing as it was a total miss earlier.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Nam looks a ton better. Ncep stuff coming back to reality thru 42h h5 ticked west with more ridging west watching the lead vortmax energy... the weaker that is (and the more intense the hangback pieces), the less likely the eastern-most low steals the show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 positive trends thru 48h... whether this still ends up a complete whiff, i like that the lead vort energy is weaker and the energy rounding the base of the trough is at least 50 miles west vs. 18z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 positive trends thru 48h... whether this still ends up a complete whiff, i like that the lead vort energy is weaker and the energy rounding the base of the trough is at least 50 miles west vs. 18z run It's enormously better through 51 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Heights much higher out west, more ridging on the east. It's a ton better but seeing as it was a total miss earlier.... Noticed the better ridging west of the Divide but still looks like northern short is diving SSE while southern short is going ENE faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Noticed the better ridging west of the Divide but still looks like northern short is diving SSE while southern short is going ENE faster. Ultimately it's just coming towards consensus. Nice to see the "trend" east at least abated here. It's 50-75 miles now between an epic blizzard for some of the cape vs OE and subsidence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 The NAM has joined reality land. Will probably have a few more acid trips into fun world before 12z Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Ultimately it's just coming towards consensus. Nice to see the "trend" east at least abated here. It's 50-75 miles now between an epic blizzard for some of the cape vs OE and subsidence Don't discount the explosive deepening causing extreme isallobaric tendency/wind to the N by NW of the low cutting back on QP. Also too probably some ratgher intense convection to the S x SE of the LP also "robbing" moisture flux. Happened with the storm here a week ago from this passed Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 at least 50 miles shift west on slp center thru 60h another 50 miles west and Cape has itself a blizzard NAM coming closer to consensus of Euro / GFS still don't trust this run past 48hr... don't see the double-barrel solutions of Euro / GFS... bottomline how the timing and interaction of these pieces of energy rounding the trough is extremely critical and hugely impacts track. hence still not closing the door on dramatic shifts in the rest of the 0z suite or even later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 NAM Moved the Comma Head 50-75 Miles Due West form the 18z. FINALLY something good since last night's EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Another poster with a sore back from patting himself on it. Definitely not patting myself on the back, just going with the odds. No meteorology, just the gut with this. Time to move on, and deal with cold, and then a cool Spring, battling the moles in my yard, and eventually cutting the weeds that I call a lawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Definitely not patting myself on the back, just going with the odds. No meteorology, just the gut with this. Time to move on, and deal with cold, and then a cool Spring, battling the moles in my yard, and eventually cutting the weeds that I call a lawn. Go ahead and pat your back if you called it. I love how no one utters a word to the 00z EURO circle jerk of back patters last night, yet they lie in wait like piranhas for someone to acknowledge that they correctly called a whiff once the bottom falls out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 The NAM has joined reality land. Will probably have a few more acid trips into fun world before 12z Wednesday. When in doubt ride the outliers into never never land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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