40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Looks like presently we have a solid consensus for a non-event NW of the CC Canal -- and it may trend toward less for the Cape and Island, too, because said present consensus is really an east trend that began yesterday and has not apparently stopped. At leas as far as I can tell. At this point, it may be better for those that allow these things to guide their emotion, if this were to completely and utterly do nothing for anyone. I'm still impressed with how quickly we may warm up after this miss. It may only be transitory, but it does appear a couple of solid spring air masses will roll through. Yuppers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Snow overnight Tuesday, snowing Wed morning winds whipping total snow 4-6,sounds good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Snow overnight Tuesday, snowing Wed morning winds whipping total snow 4-6,sounds good to me. is that a lock though? I don't think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 The Cut off will be sharper than depicted, too....a lot of those moderate qpf numbers around the Boston area are likely illusory. JMHO. Non event for many, but fascinating display of meteorology over the fish. look before you leap, most of that is due to east and ne inflows before bombogenesis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 If BOS got 3-4" I'd be shocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Just to keep some small sliver of hope alive for you guys, the 15Z WSI RPM gives all of eastern MA over 2 feet of snow. Unfortunately this model is usually pretty bad beyond 24-36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Wow. The 12z suite is a crushing hit for Nova Scotia. Some on air mets here are mention the historic word. This could be the son of white Juan. I'm getting worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 is that a lock though? I don't think so.uh who said that,thought we were discussing Euro model output Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 That doesn't seem reasonable. I was thinking low end hurricane force sustained over the open water east and southeast of the low center. Oh yeah I am not saying it would verify, but yes, hurricane force winds are certainly on the table for the open ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 uh who said that,thought we were discussing Euro model output Your post made no reference to it. And no, it's not implied. Be specific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather.St Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 18-24" for Tolland? Someone watches the weather channel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Just because there is a monstrous CCB does not preclude accumulating snows on inflow and prior to consolidation. This is not a Les situation. Sure once it wraps tight its over but to just say there will be no precip outside of the CCB is wrong. With 1 inch of qpf less than 40 miles from a lot of peeps its worth watching until nowcast time. Peeps can say they bail until next winter will log in everyday until this ones done,who are they kidding. One thing for sure Jerrys warm March sun day ,cancel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aleckrohto Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Just to ask a stupid question, Is there still a chance we can see big snow in the Boston area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Just to ask a stupid question, Is there still a chance we can see big snow in the Boston area? Highly unlikely currrntly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Save for the snow totals, if the euro is right, could be a nasty wintry day in southeast ma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 What a joke...models bail on every threat when we get to 48-60 hrs this month...(although this one has been on life support for a couple of days) oh well. Onto next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 I think as of now you'd forecast 2-4 or 3-5 inches back to the CT River with lesser amounts west of there but still plowable Good luck with that, this still has another day to day and half to continue trending east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Just because there is a monstrous CCB does not preclude accumulating snows on inflow and prior to consolidation. This is not a Les situation. Sure once it wraps tight its over but to just say there will be no precip outside of the CCB is wrong. With 1 inch of qpf less than 40 miles from a lot of peeps its worth watching until nowcast time. Peeps can say they bail until next winter will log in everyday until this ones done,who are they kidding. One thing for sure Jerrys warm March sun day ,cancel Yes, We will see everyone at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Wow. The 12z suite is a crushing hit for Nova Scotia. Some on air mets here are mention the historic word. This could be the son of white Juan. I'm getting worried. Lots of pics would be appreciated if you can acquire them safely! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Yes Cape right now looks good.Blair looks great Not sure I want anymore snow. A lot of boat work to do. However I would love to see a 3/29/84 esq wind. Nothing like seeing the ocean gobble 40' chunks of beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Just to ask a stupid question, Is there still a chance we can see big snow in the Boston area? Yes... The 2010 Boxing Day Blizzard was all but entirely flattened to a no go in the models of the day ...even as near as 60 hours prior, then ... at 36 hours a bump NW heralded a giant leaping surge NW on the very next cycle, and next thing you know... boom. There's no reason something similar absolutely can't happen now. Just have to keep monitoring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Not sure I want anymore snow. A lot of boat work to do. However I would love to see a 3/29/84 esq wind. Nothing like seeing the ocean gobble 40' chunks of beach.yea I remember that,check Ewall Narr for those maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 If BOS got 3-4" I'd be shockedTo clarify.. in euro scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 yea I remember that,check Ewall Narr for those maps Thanks. Will do. Cheers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Yes... The 2010 Boxing Day Blizzard was all but entirely flattened to a no go in the models of the day ...even as near as 60 hours prior, then ... at 36 hours a bump NW heralded a giant leaping surge NW on the very next cycle, and next thing you know... boom. There's no reason something similar absolutely can't happen now. Just have to keep monitoring. that's a once in 20 year event...most of these when the models bail at 48 hrs, that's it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 It's hard for me to tell with this resolution, but the UKMET seems to refuse to budge on a bigger hit for SNE on this 12z run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 that's a once in 20 year event...most of these when the models bail at 48 hrs, that's it. From 12z, the key interactions with the shortwaves begin around hour 48 and continue through about hour 66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 We didn't flinch Jerry, we didn't flinch. Nor did I. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 that's a once in 20 year event...most of these when the models bail at 48 hrs, that's it.Not that I think it'll happen, but NWS did refer to this as a "10-20 year event" a day or so ago I believe lol. Pretty sure they were just referring to the strength of the low for the time of year though. From a practical standpoint, this seems to be done for anywhere outside the cape/perhaps DE Maine. Obviously changes can still happen, but I don't see any reason to expect a magical jump back to a big hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 that's a once in 20 year event...most of these when the models bail at 48 hrs, that's it. So -- what's the point? There's still no reason something like that absolutely can't happen now. And what science defined that as a 1/20 deal? Seriously -- just asking. If that is mere conjecture, it doesn't unfortunately mean anything. And I disagree anyway... I have seen more than 1 positive busts over the last 20 years... A lot more. Ironically, NCEP defined this system and it's attending parental patter as ding ding ding ... "ONCE IN A 10 OR 20 YEAR EVENT" just the other day. I'm not saying there is going to be a big storm, just that one's an idiot if they claim it can't come back/happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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