ROOSTA Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 And who's to say one way or the other. Scott (cweat) going Historic. I'll take that as total sarcasm to offset the "only CC" Both seem ridiculous. I'll keep my expectations to a once more use of snowblower. My fix for Winter is done. Having a possible blockbuster to complete whould be perfect! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 The NAM is right there, clearly going to hook it back nw from there. Major hit after 84. Disregard the elongated nature we have seen most of the winter. Oh boy.....at 72 500h looks nowhere near as nice as 18z at 78 or even 12z at 84.......Runnaway is right....don't speak of this model after 48.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Nam is complete whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New England Storm Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Well I said I was not gonna get invested, but the chances of a big hit are not 0. If we could just get everything to line up it would be epic. I would still wait to call this a Major hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Guys are we for real? Let's take the OT stuff to the banter thread. This thread has gone to hell way too often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Guys are we for real? Let's take the OT stuff to the banter thread. This thread has gone to hell way too often. That's what happens when someone posts a three paragraph troll. NAM solution does not count in my eyes towards any trend. It was a complete mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Oh boy.....at 72 500h looks nowhere near as nice as 18z at 78 or even 12z at 84.......Runnaway is right....don't speak of this model after 48.... Nam isn't that much different than the 18z gfs. Neither were terrific. Screaming OE signature in both. Going to be an epic storm for March, one way or the other. Fun evolution coming up as we cross over tonight and into the morning from the "entertainment" runs to the "more likely to be closer to correct" runs. Best case scenario everyone away from the coast gets buried in one of the biggest storms of the year while the coast changes to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Wow the NAM was horrible, why do they even bother running it out past 48 hours. It must be having difficulty picking up the energy from northern Canada... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 The NAM has been ugly for a few runs now. I believe it was the HPC that advised earlier in the season not to use the NAM outside of 24 hours for winter storms... seems to be the correct course of action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 That's what happens when someone posts a three paragraph troll. NAM solution does not count in my eyes towards any trend. It was a complete mess. I can't favor the extreme solution? Have you been reading some of the biggies? Even some of the usually more conservative forecasters for around here are calling it severe. "ECMWF ensembles Wed AM 100 miles nw of yesterdays idea, but not as moist yet as operational. Trend NW should continue IMO" "High probability of major event with blizzard conditions in Rhode Island and southeast ma" It's late in the year why would the nw trend stop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 NAM is a total joke solution. None of you should be even wasting your time with that model. Good night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 NAM is a total joke solution. None of you should be even wasting your time with that model. Good night. I'm getting into an argument with some kid on Twitter about the NAM. I need a new hobby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 I can't favor the extreme solution? Have you been reading some of the biggies? Even some of the usually more conservative forecasters for around here are calling it severe. "ECMWF ensembles Wed AM 100 miles nw of yesterdays idea, but not as moist yet as operational. Trend NW should continue IMO" "High probability of major event with blizzard conditions in Rhode Island and southeast ma" It's late in the year why would the nw trend stop? Are you being genuine, facetious, or just venting frustrations out? I can't tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 I'm getting into an argument with some kid on Twitter about the NAM. I need a new hobby. Hey, youre a professional.. You cant! Youre doomed to argue with weenie kids forever more... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 I'm getting into an argument with some kid on Twitter about the NAM. I need a new hobby. I enjoyed that post.....delete it if you must before the GFS comes out....but that was choice.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Are you being genuine, facetious, or just venting frustrations out? I can't tell. Mostly genuine, little dramatic on the extent. Now that I just looked at the rgem 0z vs the 12z much less confident/gnps. May have caught the wrong train. It's going to be a mega storm in the nw Atlantic. Take a look at the tweets etc of the prominent and often quoted pros. Extreme late season event in the cards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 I'm getting into an argument with some kid on Twitter about the NAM. I need a new hobby."Forecaster elitism" That's a new one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Mostly genuine, little dramatic on the extent. Now that I just looked at the rgem 0z vs the 12z much less confident/gnps. May have caught the wrong train. It's going to be a mega storm in the nw Atlantic. Take a look at the tweets etc of the prominent and often quoted pros. Extreme late season event in the cards. Details on the RGEM? Bruins are amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Just tuned in after hours... Seriously the 0z NAM beyond 48hrs should be firmly part of the "dead zone"... nothing to look at between 18z GFS ens and CMC/0z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 "Forecaster elitism" That's a new one Weather brings out the whackjobs. I bet the 00z GFS isn't that exciting but I'm more interested in the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 GFS is going to be a good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 GFS is going to be a good one. How can you tell this? I'm only out to 54 on NCEP...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 GFS is going to be a good one. Looked better but it overall isn't much different from 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Looked better but it overall isn't much different from 18z.Plenty of time, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurr_Tracker13 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Plenty of time, though. Plenty of time? The storm will be forming and beginning to come north in like 60 hours. That is not plenty of time, this one is close to over for a big powerful storm to affect land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Plenty of time? The storm will be forming and beginning to come north in like 60 hours. That is not plenty of time, this one is close to over for a big powerful storm to affect land.Whoooooshhhh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 No major changes from GFS vs. 18z, but somewhat less precip across the interior. Similar SFC low track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 he's being sarcastic.Folks keep carrying on about how we "have no clue at this range".....guess what, sometimes we do. The models have been pinned on a scraper for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 0z GFS coming in same as 18z... southeast of 12z actually looks more similar to 12z at H5, but leading wave still shoots out further east before capture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Folks keep carrying on about how we "have no clue at this range".....guess what, sometimes we do. The models have been pinned on a scraper for days. And although, It looks better at H5 (lol), It does not translate to the surface and looks to continue a scraper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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