moneypitmike Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 This season I cringe at things beyond 3 days But fun to watch 1.5 days. I just want something substantial to quiet the "can't beat the suppresion pattern" crowd. Give me a big snow or give me spring. I'm done with the cold and dry at this point. 1-3" progged for tomorrow night. Perhaps the nickle-dimer season will continue. 33.5/3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 If this doesn't verify or over perform I'm blaming you!mother of god, please let that map verify lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New England Storm Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Eh, you know I love winter as much as the next guy. If we are going to get a storm it better be big. If not lets just go to a nice spring. No more cold weather with no snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 lol @ 200+ hrs. It's fun to look at for the lolz, but I hope people are not getting too invested in that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 I already locked it in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 No one should take any model or potential system seriously at this time frame. If it's still modeled come Sunday than we can start looking into the models more seriously, anything before than is pure fun/nonsense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 lol @ 200+ hrs. It's fun to look at for the lolz, but I hope people are not getting too invested in that. I thought these were the official NWS forecasts. Uh oh, I guess I have some corrections to Tweet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 No one should take any model or potential system seriously at this time frame. If it's still modeled come Sunday than we can start looking into the models more seriously, anything before than is pure fun/nonsense.Oh ok thx for the insight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 lol, That anyone should have to be reminded of this after the way this winter has gone or any threat outside 96 hrs for that matter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Oh ok thx for the insight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Oh ok thx for the insight thank you for your deep thoughts this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 thank you for your deep thoughts this season. I think we all know the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 I already locked it in I already punted it....but it was a fake punt that ran for a TD. An epic play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 I already punted it....but it was a fake punt that ran for a TD. An epic play. lol, We have a couple of threats to get thru before we move on to this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 lol, We have a couple of threats to get thru before we move on to this one Sneaky warnings possible tomorrow. Not for you or I, but Conway to Bridgton? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Sneaky warnings possible tomorrow. Not for you or I, but Conway to Bridgton? Those areas look close to making the criteria Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Sneaky warnings possible tomorrow. Not for you or I, but Conway to Bridgton?hi,you never welcomed me to your beautiful state, that would be a good start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 00z GFS blows it up too, just a tad right though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Good signal but op runs esp gfs are useless atm, but i still have to look. Im cracked out from this winter but if theres another rock laying around, gotta find the pipe n lighter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Crazy... screencapture image upload no size limit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 euro op was a fail. Ens have the low well SE of 12z and weaker just outside of the BM. An eternity to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 We manage to dodge an absolute blizzard on the 6z GFS by by the smallest margin to the SE next week. Seems about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Not even worth investing in, Just watching for a trend on the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 If anything Kevin, the ridge out west was better than 12z. It had more to do with s/w nuances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 The ensemble also looked a lot better than the op. it's way too early to worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Not even worth investing in, Just watching for a trend on the models Exactly. Just check in with the forum every so often between now and Sunday regarding this, but that's about it. Obviously if things trend in our favor the amount of time checking in this thread will be more. Anyone who is emotionally invested in this right now is a fool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Exactly. Just check in with the forum every so often between now and Sunday regarding this, but that's about it. Obviously if things trend in our favor the amount of time checking in this thread will be more. Anyone who is emotionally invested in this right now is a fool. I don't think anyone really gets emotionally invested, but I think sometimes people crush others too much for talking about threats in the 7-9 range. For the most part models are generally pretty good at sniffing threats in the LR. It is always stupid to talk about specifics, but for the most part all the models have a wave in the general vicinity during this range. Look at the last 2 storms, while they missed to the south, the models had pretty much nailed the idea of a storm 8-10 days out. In my opinion you can look at the model data and based on the wave lengths of the jet stream tell the range of days where a storm might fall. For me, tracking the storms is half the fun...I love looking at data in the LR, the ups, downs, the surprises...Of course it leads me to a lot of heartbreak, but I totally know this going in & usually around 3-4 days out you can jump ship if the data starts to look poor and move to the next threat. For me it is really fun to watch a storm evolve on the models. It is also pretty cool to see monster runs like yesterday's EURO, kind of gets your imagination running, and since my hobby consists of tracking storms where only a small % come to fruition, that adds to the enjoyment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 The ensemble also looked a lot better than the op. it's way too early to worry. Anyone who is "worried" about a 7 day storm needs to find a new hobby. Its been like November recently where people are getting emotionally invested in fantasy range threats...its ludicrous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Anyone who is "worried" about a 7 day storm needs to find a new hobby. Its been like November recently where people are getting emotionally invested in fantasy range threats...its ludicrous. Yeah and that goes for those who are in love with it, and those that just complain that it will find a way to screw us again. Just keep an eye on It and that's all you can do at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 I don't think anyone really gets emotionally invested, but I think sometimes people crush others too much for talking about threats in the 7-9 range. For the most part models are generally pretty good at sniffing threats in the LR. It is always stupid to talk about specifics, but for the most part all the models have a wave in the general vicinity during this range. Look at the last 2 storms, while they missed to the south, the models had pretty much nailed the idea of a storm 8-10 days out. In my opinion you can look at the model data and based on the wave lengths of the jet stream tell the range of days where a storm might fall. For me, tracking the storms is half the fun...I love looking at data in the LR, the ups, downs, the surprises...Of course it leads me to a lot of heartbreak, but I totally know this going in & usually around 3-4 days out you can jump ship if the data starts to look poor and move to the next threat. For me it is really fun to watch a storm evolve on the models. It is also pretty cool to see monster runs like yesterday's EURO, kind of gets your imagination running, and since my hobby consists of tracking storms where only a small % come to fruition, that adds to the enjoyment. I get what you're saying, but believe me, there ARE folks who do get emotionally invested this far out, but for the most part seem to be containing it thus far. The rest of what you say holds true for many of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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