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Do We have one More in Us?


Damage In Tolland

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The same Pete who honked of the "non snow" storm a few days before we got slammed? The same Pete who on the air 3 days prior to pd2 which buried DC to BOS said "this little storm south of us will harmlessly pass out to sea"

 

That's usually a good sign for us.

Of course he could be right, but it seems crazy to make such a sweeping statement 5days before an event

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Nice trend on Euro Ens and yes its a trend closer and deeper MSLP,still a scrapper. I would feel confidant on the Cape for an advisory event at minimum and growing confidence of better.

If we don't get this hugging the coast, we may actually end up hoping for a weaker lp to spread the qpf love.

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Wouldn't you honestly rather see guidance just a tad closer to the coast as this point? Not a direct hit but a closer near miss.

Honestly no..All of our big ones always follow this same progression..They start as a hit..then models have them OTS and then as you get to like 3-5 days they start the trend NW. Go back and look at all our big ones..they always follow the same theme. This will get big snows back to NW of ALB

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Honestly no..All of our big ones always follow this same progression..They start as a hit..then models have them OTS and then as you get to like 3-5 days they start the trend NW. Go back and look at all our big ones..they always follow the same theme. This will get big snows back to NW of ALB

I think the Euro was giving us about 3" of qpf for Feb 2013 at this point.
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Newport

 

The most important thing to note last night was how far NW the Euro ens jumped NW..they normally don't make such big jumps like that

 

It was a sizable jump. The 6z GEFS mean also came northwest from yesterday. 

 

I don't think we'll really know until later today if it was a hiccup or a legit bump. 

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Hurricanes happen often enough in the northeast. Neither was exceptional other than Sandy's track

The Octobomb was highly unusual. What was the other October snow that you reference?

I don't see any correlation between any of them

What would you say the odds are that the pressure gradient exceeds 1978? 25%?

 

Looked back at my records and you are correct about having only one October snowstorm in the recent past.  I stand corrected.

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