Cheeznado Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Precip totals are 1" liquid extreme eastern LI to all of the Cape, almost 2" ACK. BOS about .3-.4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Its a cape special. No surprise at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Looks like 0.6 or so for BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 6:13 PM, DomNH said: Close the blinds outside of SE MA for anything remotely significant.Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 And this solution is by no means a lock. "Historic" system looks off the table. Minor/moderate system looks in ths cards but still a delicate interaction amongst s/w's could lead to error either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackjake Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 6:13 PM, Cheeznado said: Precip totals are 1" liquid extreme eastern LI to all of the Cape, almost 2" ACK. BOS about .3-.4". What sort of ratios are we thinking with this so far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 6:14 PM, CoastalWx said: Looks like 0.6 or so for BOS. Yup. Was hoping for west - but nothing we can do about it. The QPF on the western side is interesting... not sure if that actually happens. Should be a pretty sharp cut off I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 6:13 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its a cape special. No surprise at all. Outside of Euro weenie dreams that's been the most likely outcome since mid-week. Certainly will be anomalous storm forr CC given the time of year. Blowing and drifting in the dunes in late March. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 The Euro is going with 100 knot surface winds over the ocean east of the Cape at 78 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 6:12 PM, Nwbostonwx said: Nova Scotia will become a sandbar after that... I have a place in PEI, will need monitor this closely.. it's on the north coast so big NE's can flood the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 6:17 PM, eyewall said: The Euro is going with 100 knot surface winds over the ocean east of the Cape at 78 hours That's freakin' awesome. Love these seasonal transition storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 6:14 PM, ackjake said: What sort of ratios are we thinking with this so far? Still too early to discuss and it will also depend upon location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Barring a Summer hurricane...see y'all next October or so....have a great Summer everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 6:18 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: That's freakin' awesome. Love these seasonal transition storms. Yeah it is a small area of course but I do see a barb with 2 pennants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Overcast Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 How far west does the meaningful stuff get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2014 Author Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 6:16 PM, CT Rain said: Yup. Was hoping for west - but nothing we can do about it. The QPF on the western side is interesting... not sure if that actually happens. Should be a pretty sharp cut off I think. I think for reasons we discussed yesterday..there will not be a sharp cutoff..there appears to be either a norlun induced area of enhanced precip over CT or some sort of baroclinic interaction over land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 6:17 PM, eyewall said: The Euro is going with 100 knot surface winds over the ocean east of the Cape at 78 hourstotally incredible storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 6:20 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I think for reasons we discussed yesterday..there will not be a sharp cutoff..there appears to be either a norlun induced area of enhanced precip over CT or some sort of baroclinic interaction over land 18-24" for Tolland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 6:14 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: And this solution is by no means a lock. "Historic" system looks off the table. Minor/moderate system looks in ths cards but still a delicate interaction amongst s/w's could lead to error either way. Do we think this eastward move at 12z by the overall model consensus is the result of better sampling of all the energy ingested completely by this run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 The Cut off will be sharper than depicted, too....a lot of those moderate qpf numbers around the Boston area are likely illusory. JMHO. Non event for many, but fascinating display of meteorology over the fish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 6:20 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I think for reasons we discussed yesterday..there will not be a sharp cutoff..there appears to be either a norlun induced area of enhanced precip over CT or some sort of baroclinic interaction over land Wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2014 Author Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 6:21 PM, eyewall said: 18-24" for Tolland? I think as of now you'd forecast 2-4 or 3-5 inches back to the CT River with lesser amounts west of there but still plowable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 6:20 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I think for reasons we discussed yesterday..there will not be a sharp cutoff..there appears to be either a norlun induced area of enhanced precip over CT or some sort of baroclinic interaction over land Is Albany still on track for warning criteria? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 6:24 PM, Damage In Tolland said: So when I post a weenie you quickly delete it..but when you post one it's ok. I posted you were wrong. Your post makes no meteorological sense to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New Englander Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 I think it's a sharp cut off with the QPF as CT RAIN said...... I of course want snow, but not feeling this at all. The Cape...yeah probably they will do good. It looks to be an impressive storm but not here. As of right now at any rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2014 Author Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 6:24 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Is Albany still on track for warning criteria? Yesterday we thought 3-6 for them..today it's 1-3..Still a nice event for spring season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Looks like presently we have a solid consensus for a non-event NW of the CC Canal -- and it may trend toward less for the Cape and Island, too, because said present consensus is really an east trend that began yesterday and has not apparently stopped. At leas as far as I can tell. At this point, it may be better for those that allow these things to guide their emotion, if this were to completely and utterly do nothing for anyone. I'm still impressed with how quickly we may warm up after this miss. It may only be transitory, but it does appear a couple of solid spring air masses will roll through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 6:17 PM, eyewall said: The Euro is going with 100 knot surface winds over the ocean east of the Cape at 78 hours That doesn't seem reasonable. I was thinking low end hurricane force sustained over the open water east and southeast of the low center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New Englander Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 6:26 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Looks like presently we have a solid consensus for a non-event NW of the CC Canal -- and it may trend toward less for the Cape and Island, too, because said present consensus is really an east trend that began yesterday and has not apparently stopped. At leas as far as I can tell. At this point, it may be better for those that allow these things to guide their emotion, if this were to completely and utterly do nothing for anyone. I'm still impressed with how quickly we may warm up after this miss. It may only be transitory, but it does appear a couple of solid spring air masses will roll through. agree, especially on the emotion bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2014 Author Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 6:26 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Looks like presently we have a solid consensus for a non-event NW of the CC Canal -- and it may trend toward less for the Cape and Island, too, because said present consensus is really an east trend that began yesterday and has not apparently stopped. At leas as far as I can tell. At this point, it may be better for those that allow these things to guide their emotion, if this were to completely and utterly do nothing for anyone. I'm still impressed with how quickly we may warm up after this miss. It may only be transitory, but it does appear a couple of solid spring air masses will roll through. Inland will be 70+ .but we're afraid those coastal folks are going to get sea breezed terribly the next few weeks..and of course by 3-4:00pm those will work well inland. Those bitter SST's are going to punish the coast this spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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