Huffwx Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Odd fact down here in no mans land, our second biggest snow of year is 2 inches. We have a legit shot to break that today. We've had 3 blown WsWarnings-- (with that, Jan 21 4-6 NWS was unwise at best) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Impressive frontogenesis. Could be some heavy snow bands setting up later in the afternoon and evening as the coastal low gets going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Mount Holly just updated their snow forecast map- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Wow, update? This looks good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 522 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 ..INCREASINGLY LIKELIHOOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TODAY AND TONIGHT... .THE COMBINATION OF AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING TOWARD THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST AND A DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA...VIRGINIA COAST...WILL BRING ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TO THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR THROUGH THE SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AND THEN ACROSS EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND OVERNIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL READINGS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO AS LOW AS FIVE BELOW ZERO IN GREENBRIER COUNTY WEST VIRGINIA. VAZ023-024-035-252100- /O.UPG.KRNK.WW.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-140326T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KRNK.WS.W.0008.140325T0922Z-140326T0000Z/ BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-AMHERST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA... AMHERST 522 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY AND ROANOKE VALLEY. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 4 INCHES...LOCALLY 5 INCHES. GREATEST TOTALS SHOULD BE ALONG EAST FACING SLOPES OF THE BLUE RIDGE. * TIMING...8 AM THIS MORNING UNITE 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADS AND SURFACES WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED... SLICK...AND HAZARDOUS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...LOWER TO MID 30S...FALLING INTO THE MID AND UPPER 20S BY LATE AFTERNOON. $$ URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 522 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 ..INCREASINGLY LIKELIHOOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TODAY AND TONIGHT... .THE COMBINATION OF AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING TOWARD THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST AND A DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA...VIRGINIA COAST...WILL BRING ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TO THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR THROUGH THE SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AND THEN ACROSS EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND OVERNIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL READINGS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO AS LOW AS FIVE BELOW ZERO IN GREENBRIER COUNTY WEST VIRGINIA. VAZ017-022-033-034-252100- /O.NEW.KRNK.WS.W.0008.140325T0922Z-140326T0000Z/ FLOYD-ROANOKE-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLOYD...ROANOKE...SALEM...ROCKY MOUNT... BEDFORD 522 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * LOCATIONS...ROANOKE VALLEY SOUTHWESTWARD INTO FLOYD COUNTY. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 4 INCHES...LOCALLY 5 INCHES ALONG EAST FACING SLOPES OF THE BLUE RIDGE...ESPECIALLY IN FLOYD AND WESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES. * TIMING...PRIMARILY BETWEEN 8 AM THIS MORNING AND 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADS AND SURFACES WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED... SLICK...AND HAZARDOUS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...LOWER 30S...FALLING INTO THE MID AND UPPER 20S BY LATE AFTERNOON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 522 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 ..INCREASINGLY LIKELIHOOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TODAY AND TONIGHT... .THE COMBINATION OF AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING TOWARD THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST AND A DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA...VIRGINIA COAST...WILL BRING ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TO THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR THROUGH THE SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AND THEN ACROSS EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND OVERNIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL READINGS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO AS LOW AS FIVE BELOW ZERO IN GREENBRIER COUNTY WEST VIRGINIA. VAZ046-047-252100- /O.EXT.KRNK.WW.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-140326T0000Z/ APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...APPOMATTOX 522 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * LOCATIONS...VIRGINIA PIEDMONT. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 3 INCHES. * TIMING...10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADS AND SURFACES WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED... SLICK...AND HAZARDOUS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S THIS MORNING...FALLING INTO THE UPPER 20S BY LATE AFTERNOON. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 522 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 ..INCREASINGLY LIKELIHOOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TODAY AND TONIGHT... .THE COMBINATION OF AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING TOWARD THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST AND A DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA...VIRGINIA COAST...WILL BRING ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TO THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR THROUGH THE SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AND THEN ACROSS EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND OVERNIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL READINGS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO AS LOW AS FIVE BELOW ZERO IN GREENBRIER COUNTY WEST VIRGINIA. VAZ032-043>045-058-059-252100- /O.EXB.KRNK.WW.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-140326T0000Z/ PATRICK-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STUART...MARTINSVILLE...DANVILLE... LYNCHBURG...SOUTH BOSTON...KEYSVILLE 522 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * LOCATIONS...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHSIDE VIRGINIA...AND VIRGINIA PIEDMONT. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 2 INCHES. * TIMING...PRIMARILY BETWEEN 10 AM THIS MORNING AND 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADS AND SURFACES WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED... SLICK...AND HAZARDOUS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S THIS MORNING...FALLING INTO THE LOW 30S DURING THE MID AND LATE AFTERNOON. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 503 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 WVZ038-046-047-251830- /O.NEW.KRLX.WW.Y.0017.140325T0903Z-140326T1300Z/ WEBSTER-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COWEN...MARLINTON...ELKINS 503 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT WEDNESDAY. * LOCATIONS...POCAHONTAS...RANDOLPH...AND WEBSTER COUNTIES IN WEST VIRGINIA. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. * TIMING...THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR TODAY AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BEFORE TAPERING OFF TOWARDS EARLY MORNING WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS MAY BECOME SLUSHY OR SNOW PACKED...RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER AND MID 20S. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 347 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 VAZ048-049-060>062-251600- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WW.Y.0010.140325T1100Z-140325T2000Z/ FLUVANNA-LOUISA-PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOUISA...FARMVILLE...GOOCHLAND 347 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. * AREAS AFFECTED: CENTRAL VIRGINIA PIEDMONT * HAZARDS: SNOW * ACCUMULATIONS: 1 TO 3 INCHES. * TEMPERATURES: UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S...RISING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. * WINDS: EAST 5 TO 10 MPH. * TIMING: LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP AROUND DAYBREAK WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW GENERALLY EXPECTED BETWEEN 10 AM AND 1 PM. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY RISE ABOVE FREEZING AND THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO RAIN BY THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS. * IMPACTS: ROADS WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY DURING MID MORNING. MOST SURFACES WILL BECOME WET AND SLUSHY THIS AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES RISING ABOVE FREEZING. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 347 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 MDZ021>025-251600- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WW.Y.0010.140325T2000Z-140326T0600Z/ DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...SALISBURY...CRISFIELD... PRINCESS ANNE...SNOW HILL...OCEAN CITY 347 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 2 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 2 AM EDT WEDNESDAY. * AREAS AFFECTED: THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE. * HAZARDS: SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS: 2 TO 4 INCHES. * TEMPERATURES: FALLING INTO THE LOWER 30S BY THE EVENING. * WINDS: NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST. * TIMING: RAIN WILL BEGIN TO MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SNOW LATE IN THE AFTERNOON OR EARLY IN THE EVENING. THE HEAVIEST SNOW CAN GENERALLY BE EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 PM AND MIDNIGHT. * IMPACTS: ROADS WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY WINDS MAY ALSO LEAD TO BLOWING SNOW AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 347 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 VAZ099-100-251600- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WW.Y.0010.140325T2300Z-140326T0600Z/ ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHINCOTEAGUE...WALLOPS ISLAND...MELFA... EASTVILLE 347 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT WEDNESDAY. * AREAS AFFECTED: THE LOWER VIRGINIA EASTERN SHORE. * HAZARDS: SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS: 1 TO 3 INCHES. * TEMPERATURES: FALLING INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S DURING THE EVENING. * WINDS: NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST. * TIMING: RAIN WILL BEGIN TO MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SNOW LATE IN THE EVENING. THE HEAVIEST SNOW CAN GENERALLY BE EXPECTED BETWEEN 9 PM AND MIDNIGHT. * IMPACTS: ROADS WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY WINDS MAY ALSO LEAD TO BLOWING SNOW AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 339 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 DEZ002>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ020>027-252100- /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0017.140325T2000Z-140326T0600Z/ KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT- CAROLINE-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH... CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...JACKSON... MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY... ATLANTIC CITY...LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST 339 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 2 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 2 AM EDT WEDNESDAY. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN SHORE OF MARYLAND, CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND SOUTHEASTERN AND EASTERN NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPES...RAIN AND SNOW TO ALL SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES. * TIMING...PERIODS OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL DEVELOP TOWARD MIDDAY. ANY RAIN OR MIXED RAIN AND SNOW WILL THEN CHANGE TO ALL SNOW BY EVENING, AND THE SNOW COULD FALL MODERATE AT TIMES THIS EVENING BEFORE ENDING OVERNIGHT. * IMPACTS...ROADWAYS SHOULD BE WET DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS TODAY AS TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING AS THE PRECIPITATION MOVES IN. AS TEMPERATURES DROP LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING COMBINED WITH A STEADY SNOW, UNTREATED SURFACES WILL BECOME SLIPPERY AND POTENTIALLY SNOW COVERED. REMEMBER, BRIDGES AND ELEVATED SURFACES TEND TO ICE UP FIRST. * WINDS...EAST TO NORTHEAST INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...RISING INTO THE UPPER 30S TODAY, THEN DROPPING INTO THE 20S TONIGHT. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS ONE HALF OF A MILE. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 251 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 DCZ001-MDZ004>007-009>011-013-014-016-VAZ030-031-040-042-050>056- 501-502-WVZ053-251500- /O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0020.140325T1000Z-140325T1900Z/ DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE- HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES- ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-WARREN-CLARKE-RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-ORANGE- CULPEPER-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX- ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA- NORTHERN FAUQUIER-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-JEFFERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...FREDERICK...WESTMINSTER... GAITHERSBURG...COLUMBIA...BALTIMORE...ANNAPOLIS...WALDORF... FRONT ROYAL...LEESBURG...CULPEPER...MANASSAS...MANASSAS PARK... FAIRFAX...ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH...FREDERICKSBURG... WARRENTON...CHARLES TOWN 251 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST NORTH AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 95. * TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN DURING THE MID MORNING HOURS. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE MID AFTERNOON. MODERATING TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL LIMIT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION. * TEMPERATURES...MID TO UPPER 20S THIS MORNING. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. * IMPACTS...ROADS WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY DURING MID MORNING. MOST SURFACES WILL BECOME WET AND SLUSHY THIS AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES RISING ABOVE FREEZING. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 251 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 VAZ025>027-029-036>039-504-WVZ055-502-506-251500- /O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0020.140325T0900Z-140325T1900Z/ AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-PAGE-NELSON-ALBEMARLE-GREENE- MADISON-EASTERN HIGHLAND-HARDY-EASTERN GRANT-EASTERN PENDLETON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STAUNTON...WAYNESBORO...HARRISONBURG... CHARLOTTESVILLE...MONTEREY...MOOREFIELD...PETERSBURG...FRANKLIN 251 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES...UP TO FIVE INCHES ON THE BLUE RIDGE. * TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN BY THE MID MORNING. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF DURING THE AFTERNOON. * TEMPERATURES...LOWER TO MID 20S THIS MORNING...WITH HIGHS AROUND 30 ALONG THE RIDGE TOPS ABOVE 2000 FEET TO THE MID AND UPPER 30S IN THE VALLEYS. * WINDS...LIGHT AND VARIABLE. * IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY FOR THE THE MORNING COMMUTE. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE THIS AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES RISING ABOVE FREEZING IN THE VALLEYS. HOWEVER... SNOW COVERED ROADS MAY CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING ALONG THE RIDGE TOPS ABOVE 2000 FEET. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 251 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 VAZ503-WVZ501-505-251500- /O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-140326T0400Z/ WESTERN HIGHLAND-WESTERN GRANT-WESTERN PENDLETON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIGHTOWN...BAYARD...MOUNT STORM... CIRCLEVILLE 251 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES. * TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP EARLY THIS MORNING...BECOMING SNOW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. THE SHOWERS WILL TAPER TO FLURRIES AFTER MIDNIGHT. * TEMPERATURES...UPPER TEENS THIS MORNING...RISING INTO THE MID AND UPPER 20S THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE FALLING INTO THE TEENS THIS EVENING. * WINDS...LIGHT AND VARIABLE...BECOMING NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AND ICY. DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 not putting a lot of stock in this but we may have to keep an eye on some of the frontogen late this afternoon - northeastern VA might get in on some of that BRIEFLY - if BL temps fall at the same time as sunset then things could BRIEFLY get interesting lol. not holding my breath but this storm will be pretty dynamic then again, I am probably just a bit too far west If you live in east MD and central Del better look out about 7pm damn I'm frackin' jealous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 First. snowing here..temp is 32 and cars have been topped. Second, have stated it before, not a fan of the cut and past for basic information we all have access too. My finger hurts from scrolling past Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 The Fairfax Co bullseye on the 09z RR is awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 RAP is crazy, in verbatims shows 0.5-0.6 QPF in a bullseye in Fairfax and Arlington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Handy1 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 NWS has upped the snow totals in the IAD area: ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NORTH AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 95. * TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN DURING THE MID-MORNING HOURS. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE MID AFTERNOON...TAPERING OFF THIS EVENING. * TEMPERATURES...MID TO UPPER 20S THIS MORNING...MID 30S THIS AFTERNOON...THEN LOW 30S EARLY THIS EVENING. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...ROADS WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY DURING THE MID-MORNING. MOST SURFACES WILL BECOME WET AND SLUSHY THIS AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES RISING ABOVE FREEZING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 The Mid-Atlantic March won't be denied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 We are rocking pretty good down here.. closing in on an inch, with moderate to ALMOST heavy at times snow falling. Temp is 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 0.7" QPF for Ffx co on the 11z RR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 We are rocking pretty good down here.. closing in on an inch, with moderate to ALMOST heavy at times snow falling. Temp is 29 Promising OB! thanks man... Atmospheric Memory FaithInFlakes!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 0.7" QPF for Ffx co on the 11z RR Too soon to start thinking about #2 spot for IAD? Only 13 inches to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Snowing at Buzzard's Point in SW DC but minimum stickage on grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Ocean City MD is the one spot on land with high risk of at least 4 inches lol. Cape Cod is barely on the edge of moderate risk. MA ftw! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 HRRR/RAP showing the pivot nicely. It's going to snow through most of the day if that verifies. Shutoff around 4-5pm for folks west of the bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 I'm not expecting much up here... Temp already at 35. Hoping to somehow get an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Just read this from WPC Heavy Snow Disco. Lots of radar watching today. THE SHORT WAVE DIVING INTO THE SOUTHERN STREAM POSITION EARLY THISMORNING WAS SHOWING SIGNS THAT IT WOULD DIG FURTHER SOUTH AND WESTTHAT PREVIOUS SOLUTIONS. SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHERN STREAMSHORT WAVE WAS ENTERING THE OHIO VALLEY EARLY THIS MORNING. THELIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORT WAVE MAY END UP BEING DISORGANIZED.THAT COUPLED WITH BOUNDARY LAYER ISSUES AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE...AS WELL AS THE LATE MARCH WARMING...COULD RESULT INPROBLEMS WITH ACCUMULATING SNOW OUTSIDE OF THE TERRAIN ACROSS THEMID ATLANTIC THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.THE IMPLICATION OF THE POSITIONAL DIFFERENCE OF THE SHORT WAVETHIS MORNING COULD BE TO ALLOW THE SURFACE LOW THAT DEVELOPS INRESPONSE TO THE NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH TO DEEPENING MORE RAPIDLYNEAR THE MID ATLANTIC COAST CENTERED AROUND 00Z WED. THERE ISINCREASING EVIDENCE THAT THE DEVELOPING DEFORMATION ZONE WITH THESURFACE LOW AND NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH MAY FOCUS ON THE MIDATLANTIC COAST AROUND 00Z. MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT MOISTUREAND LIFT IN THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE MAY ALLOW THE BOUNDARY LAYERISSUES TO BECOME NEGATED BY INCREASED PRECIPITATION RATES FROMEAST OF DC IN MARYLAND ACROSS DE INTO SOUTHERN NJ. INADDITION...MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN...ALLOWING BETTER LIFTINTO THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE. AN AREA OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOWWAS PLACED HERE...WITH MOST OF THIS OCCURRING AFTER 00Z WED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 25, 2014 Author Share Posted March 25, 2014 HRRR/RAP showing the pivot nicely. It's going to snow through most of the day if that verifies. Shutoff around 4-5pm for folks west of the bay. i wish i was in Tolland, CT for this storm...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 I'm very proud of the use of frontogenesis in this thread. Things that certain mets said last week that were dead wrong: 1. "There were convective feedback errors causing the depictions we were seeing." Looks like today's setup is going down just as portrayed. That high QPF with southern stream wave is actually strong frontogenetical forcing too. 2."It's going East because of lack of blocking." Yeah that huge Alaskan Block and low over SE Canada led to record/near record cold and a Mid Atlantic snowfall. Try again with your pattern recognition skills. 3. "The double low structure was model error." Nope, in fact they did a great job seeing the specifics of something more complicated than humans make it out to be. 4. "This was a certain hit/miss because of seasonal trends." Actually, the problem is the mid-level southern wave was just a hair ahead of the phased-up northern stream...the only thing that prevented a sub 960mb monster from destroying the Northeast. But this is why you don't make any certain calls in the medium range with waffling ensemble guidance. When every ensemble suite is shifting back and forth in the MR, there is no such thing as a "trend." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 I'm very proud of the use of frontogenesis in this thread. Things that certain mets said last week that were dead wrong: 1. "There were convective feedback errors causing the depictions we were seeing." Looks like today's setup is going down just as portrayed. That high QPF with southern stream wave is actually strong frontogenetical forcing too. 2."It's going East because of lack of blocking." Yeah that huge Alaskan Block and low over SE Canada led to record/near record cold and a Mid Atlantic snowfall. Try again with your pattern recognition skills. 3. "The double low structure was model error." Nope, in fact they did a great job seeing the specifics of something more complicated than humans make it out to be. 4. "This was a certain hit/miss because of seasonal trends." Actually, the problem is the mid-level southern wave was just a hair ahead of the phased-up northern stream...the only thing that prevented a sub 960mb monster from destroying the Northeast. But this is why you don't make any certain calls in the medium range with waffling ensemble guidance. When every ensemble suite is shifting back and forth in the MR, there is no such thing as a "trend." Thanks HM. I think most of us dropped the coastal stuff days ago so we didn't pay attention too much to the wobbles. Luckily the ul energy swinging through took over in here. Really fun feature to track and now watch what appears to be an over performer. I find this subforum really smart from both mets and hobbyists. It's been a great place for me to learn over the last 7 years and the disco is generally excellent. I probably speak for all of us when I say that it's great having you come by and share. I hope you make the MA forum your second home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Think I scored on the frontogenesis stuff but still hugged climo a little too much. I might always bust on late and early season events. Writing was on the wall last night at least that this tips boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Think I scored on the frontogenesis stuff but still hugged climo a little too much. I might always bust on late and early season events. Writing was on the wall last night at least that this tips boom. We're scarred from last year. I think it's that simple. Expect the worst mentality. Next time we have late season snow we'll be all cocky and bust high on our calls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 We're scarred from last year. I think it's that simple. Expect the worst mentality. Next time we have late season snow we'll be all cocky and bust high on our calls. It's a lot easier to boom late season if you get rates etc. Mentioned somewhere on CWG last night, well here too I guess.. and others pointed it out.. the cold air is quite available just off the surface. If this was nighttime we'd probably have taken all the qpf at 10:1+ ratios. There's not a ton of precedent for a decent snow during the day this late... moreso in the favored hilltops etc. It will be interesting to see how DC does the next 4-6 hours. The lowlands are probably kinda cooked at least.. tho we laid a good cover early which is a big help overall. May have already hit peak snow depth tho. Hi res keep us above freezing for the duration once above. We are good closers Matt would say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 NWS updated their forecast map. 2-4 area expanded. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/winterstorm/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 The title of this thread is Season Finale. We may have one more event in the wheel house if the 180-198hr EURO is correct. It is a Miller B but a nice negative tilt trough and timing is decent. I wouldn't rule out an early April Mid Atlantic snow (No Foolin ;-)) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 An early April snow whether it sticks or not would IMHO be the icing on the cake for this incredible winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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