olafminesaw Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Today's a better air mass than tomorrow. If we get heavy snow at like 33-34 it'll probably stick OK while it's ripping. Roads have almost no shot other than some quick slush maybe. During last years march bust storm, I got snow stickage at 33-34 on the road, but only during a very heavy band of snow. This was at like 8 am and of course in early march. The snow began to melt on the road soon after despite moderate snow. I really don't think any snow will stick to the roads, not even slush, unless you have elevation on your side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 One question for tomorrow may be dews are supposed to be quite low to start. MOS underdid that impact last time of course, but raw temps are above freezing as well in this case. It's possible both are too warm should heavy come together though I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 It'll be sad when OPM closes for wet roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowciopathic Snow Bro Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Wonder if the various DOTs will bother treating the roads in advance of this storm, given their blown budgets and marginal temps. There's so much sand and whatnot on the roads already that they shouldn't need to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Wonder if the various DOTs will bother treating the roads in advance of this storm, given their blown budgets and marginal temps. There's so much sand and whatnot on the roads already that they shouldn't need to. Doubt roads will be an issue unless temps are below freezing and more than 2 inches fall. If so, we may see another early December event where OPM closes for morning snow and people get mad because it is all gone by the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 start time will definitely be important. NAM doesn't get anything falling until late morning, while the GFS has light precip pretty much on DC's doorstep at 12z. The NAM has been a few hours slow with getting precip to the ground in several events this winter, and the simulated reflectivity product has often been a better tool in assessing onset. The 12z simulated reflectivity suggests a timing more similar to the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Wonder if the various DOTs will bother treating the roads in advance of this storm, given their blown budgets and marginal temps. There's so much sand and whatnot on the roads already that they shouldn't need to. It won't accumulate on the roads with or without salt. Sun angle and above freezing temps will take care of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 It won't accumulate on the roads with or without salt. Sun angle and above freezing temps will take care of that.Last mar 25 nothing really stuck to the roads in the city at least or it was gone by the time I saw it just after sunrise. No way Feds will close tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 15 SREF's look much wetter for most: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThreeRedheads Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Wonder if the various DOTs will bother treating the roads in advance of this storm, given their blown budgets and marginal temps. There's so much sand and whatnot on the roads already that they shouldn't need to. I saw a couple of roads in Western Fairfax which were already brined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Only issue I could see is a freeze of wet roads Tuesday night after 6:00 pm as temps retreat below freezing and solar energy wanes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 The last winter happy hour runs will be upon us soon. Might have to raise a toast in honor of this kick ass winter. Maybe we'll even get tossed a Fujiwhara bone or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Last mar 25 nothing really stuck to the roads in the city at least or it was gone by the time I saw it just after sunrise. No way Feds will close tomorrow. Absolutely no way, but I'd settle for a telework option day, as opposed to a 68-mile round-trip commute, since folks here drive like crazy-folk when it snows. But even a t-work day looks like a low prob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Congrats once again Incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 We be brined Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 0.2" something qpf on the NAM. Setting the model temps aside for a minute, the dew points hang around or just below freezing most of the day. Should be enough to whiten the grass and mulch. Ocean City, 6"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 ~24mb drop in 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreAce33 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Significant Ocean City snow this late is just nuts... Keeping a close eye on things this run and next for SBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 pretty significant shift west w/ heaviest qpf on happy hour NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Looks like our peak winds are late overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning. Gusts in the 30s and temps in the 20s, just as a reminder of which season just smacked us around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Congrats once again Incredible. It's crazy. It will be your year again soon. We are no Ocean City, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 NAM and Canadian seem to focus some good frgen forcing along the Delmarva and southern and eastern NJ as the coastal starts to crank later tomorrow. Maybe some heavy snow for a time and a few inches? Possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 It's crazy. It will be your year again soon. Good lord, it was their year this year. Sent from my iPhone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 24, 2014 Author Share Posted March 24, 2014 boston just got NAMED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Significant Ocean City snow this late is just nuts... Keeping a close eye on things this run and next for SBY. Yeah I'm keeping a close eye on it too for SBY. My dusting to an inch may be in trouble IF these latest snowier runs are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 boston just got NAMED it did? between .25-.5" qpf http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=045ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F18%2Fnam_namer_045_precip_ptot.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=precip_ptot&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20140324+18+UTC&imageSize=L&ps=model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 it did? between .25-.5" qpf http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=045ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F18%2Fnam_namer_045_precip_ptot.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=precip_ptot&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20140324+18+UTC&imageSize=L&ps=model The cape got NAM'd if you include the winds. BOS, not as much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow angel 38 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Wonder if the various DOTs will bother treating the roads in advance of this storm, given their blown budgets and marginal temps. There's so much sand and whatnot on the roads already that they shouldn't need to. 695 between Baltimore and Glen Burnie has been brined already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 0.2" something qpf on the NAM. Setting the model temps aside for a minute, the dew points hang around or just below freezing most of the day. Should be enough to whiten the grass and mulch. Ocean City, 6"+. Some might say that's impossible! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Some might say that's impossible! LOL...and we all know how right they were with the last storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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