cae Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 The northern shortwave didn't dig as far south and west in this run. It stays further north, phasing with the coastal low up near the mid-Atlantic. Closer to what the Euro and GGEM have been showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Good phase, now just to back it up east. I think we're sitting good for this time range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 GEFS east of Op and not very good (true fish storm). Hopefully, Euro holds its ground or even improves over its last run. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 GGEM is an absolute crushing from Philly to Boston. DC to Philly is a a hit, but more as you go NE. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 21, 2014 Author Share Posted March 21, 2014 Close to a dc hecs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 GGEM is an absolute crushing from Philly to Boston. DC to Philly is a a hit, but more as you go NE. 00_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_120.jpg 00_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_132.jpg MDstorm Which makes sense with the H5 pattern on most of the models. Its still a good ways off though. Still plenty of time to get a coastal hugger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swvirginiawx Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Canadian is Marshawn Lynch... running out of bounds right before the goal line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Close to a dc hecs I'm a little uncomfortable with the precip pattern as outlined. A little later/north with the phase and this will start to look like the Boxing Day storm from a couple of years ago (heavier precip to the SE of us than a loop around us just in time to bury Philly and north). This thing has to not trend any later with the phase. We are treading a fine line here. I would love to see Euro with a little more southwestern precip max. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Very close to being in. I have the money ready to be put down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swvirginiawx Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 GFS might have the right idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 The southern stream doesn't get captured until it is too far SE to have any major impact on the mid Atlantic. However it only brushes the far eastern NE area so it must be correct. Mostly a fish storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Time for the bronadoes then j/k I BELIEVE. This storm will demolish us with snow, even if I have to drag it up along the right track. I'm using The Force and we WILL get annihilated with tremendous amts of snow Mark. My. Words. We are going to get shellacked by snow. We will get smacked down so hard by snow that Ginxy and weathafella are going to be outright jealous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 its rather interesting that, in a video made by JB on weatherbell, he points out two distinct ideas, both of which yield a storm in the east, First idea, a trough in Japan yields a storm 6-10 days later, second a big , 28 point, drop in the SOI leads to a big storm in the east, Both ideas in play at this juncture.He also thinks the track for the Euro will come west in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 its rather interesting that, in a video made by JB on weatherbell, he points out two distinct ideas, both of which yield a storm in the east, First idea, a trough in Japan yields a storm 6-10 days later, second a big , 28 point, drop in the SOI leads to a big storm in the east, Both ideas in play at this juncture.He also thinks the track for the Euro will come west in time. Why do people keep quoting/posting what JB says? He is a whackjob with really no credibility anymore. Did you think there was any chance he would say the Euro was correct with its offshore track, or that it may track further east? Always predictable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 And right on cue...0z Euro missing, 12z Euro better....repeat.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 21, 2014 Author Share Posted March 21, 2014 And right on cue...0z Euro missing, 12z Euro better....repeat.. Makes me so angry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Anyone have the 0z Euro ensembles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Snowdude, these are only the pressure graphics, but they were posted over at the NY regional forum: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/43240-march-25-26-storm-potential/?p=2896483 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Anyone have the 0z Euro ensembles? Someone posted them in the NYC subforum. A few good hits, most are offshore. Nothing like 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 6z GFS still brushes but moved west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 6z GFS looks decent. Last few GFS runs are pretty close to something good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 6z isn't quite a nice as the 0z was, but it's still showing a strong system. Unfortunately it still doesn't get us (more of a NY/NE hit). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Nice. Any chance this storm can disrupt the pattern? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 I think the biggest take from the model runs I'm seeing: It doesn't matter who gets the snow, there is going to be a lot of beach erosion from the mid-atlantic through New England as this looks to be a monster of a nor'easter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Nice. Any chance this storm can disrupt the pattern? You mean teh pattern that has been giving lots of snow? Are some kind of commie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 You mean teh pattern that has been giving lots of snow? Are some kind of commie?. I'm a Rain Bro Warmista looking for nice weather!!Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Why do people keep quoting/posting what JB says? He is a whackjob with really no credibility anymore. Did you think there was any chance he would say the Euro was correct with its offshore track, or that it may track further east? Always predictable. I listen to everyone before drawing a conclusion, guess being old has its advantages!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Gfs back to a miller b Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
attml Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 It is still early but if the pattern I am seeing holds this will be a coastal storm that is going to be spot on in the mid atlantic (not too east or west as some of the models are showing at the moment). Mark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Gfs back to a miller b nah http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fgfs%2F06%2Fgfs_namer_099_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer&storm=&cycle=06¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&fhr=099&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&ps=model&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20140321+06+UTC&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=105ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F06%2Fgfs_namer_105_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20140321+06+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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