clueless Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 12:17 AM, Ian said: Still a cool storm. Wonder if it'll really get sub 960mb. Yeah. That is the only thing that is left. An interesting end to this late winter pattern for the weather hobbyist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 We were really in the game until 2 days ago when modeled atmospheric conditions pushed this storm well to the east. Even if things do shift west over the next 48 hours, it probably wouldn't be enough for us. Any one have the phone number for the spirit of Jan 2000? We could use the help. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 12:17 AM, Ian said: Still a cool storm. Wonder if it'll really get sub 960mb. That would be intense if it...gusts 60kts along the Coast ... KACK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 12:22 AM, wxmeddler said: Very True. Watching Jim Cantore get blown over on Cape Cod will be worth it. Um, this is a family forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Looks like the Nam is going with a double barrel low off the coast. Wasn't this solution of some runs a couple days ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 2:46 AM, varinacav said: Looks like the Nam is going with a double barrel low off the coast. Wasn't this solution of some runs a couple days ago? looks like a Norlun type feature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 It's cute how people still look at the nam at range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 2:54 AM, Ian said: It's cute how people still look at the nam at range. I love it when you and a few others here always feel the need to act bigger and better...have you ever tried a Teddy Bear for security? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 2:57 AM, mitchnick said: I love it when you and a few others here always feel the need to act bigger and better...have you ever tried a Teddy Bear for security?I'm more a blankey guy, ***hole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Data is data...it's still good to look at. Do I have to remind Ian how he swung and missed on the March 17th storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 3:00 AM, PraetorianGuard said: Data is data...it's still good to look at. Do I have to remind Ian how he swung and missed on the March 17th storm? I love when people who never put out a forecast go after others who forecast everything and miss once in a blue moon so by all means go for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 21z SREFs had some Norlun kinda thing going on too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 3:02 AM, Ian said: I love when people who never put out a forecast go after others who forecast everything and miss once in a blue moon so by all means go for it. I was being snarky dude, calm down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Meh, it's a model to discuss on a weather board. Why not look at new data? We're all data driven pre storm or storm possibility. that being said...nam lol. Only the NAM could pull a stunt like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 More model data is good. All serves a purpose. Remember, the SREFs were born 1 year after the Jan 2000 surprise snowstorm. Retrospective analysis has shown that had the SREFs been available at that time, they would have had at least a 40% chance of snow for this area, giving a heads up and a not so surprise storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 3:05 AM, stormtracker said: Meh, it's a model to discuss on a weather board. Why not look at new data? We're all data driven pre storm or storm possibility. that being said...nam lol. Only the NAM could pull a stunt like that and the heavy stuff falls as snow verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 I will say that the 00z Nam does have a decent amount of QPF for the DC metro and surrounding burbs on Tuesday though it looks overdone on the wraparound. Wraparound snows hardly work out like the models suggest for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 3:19 AM, ers-wxman1 said: I will say that the 00z Nam does have a decent amount of QPF for the DC metro and surrounding burbs on Tuesday though it looks overdone on the wraparound. Wraparound snows hardly work out like the models suggest for this area.I can't recall any Norlun troughs in the area like shown on the nam. Maybe further northeast. Nonetheless it looks nothing like the globals so it's only worth talking about because this is a weather board and that's what we do. Or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 RGEM has no hint of a surface low at 48 hrs that could come up the coast....the one in FLA is history, on its way east http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/520_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 hurry...somebody wake up JI and let him know BWI's getting 5.2" of snow lol http://68.226.77.253/text/NAMSFC/NAM_Kbwi.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Cobb gives IAD 9 inches on 0z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 DCA 6.6" double lol http://68.226.77.253/text/NAMSFC/NAM_Kdca.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 3:37 AM, needbiggerboat said: Cobb gives IAD 9 inches on 0z NAM sorry, only 7" http://68.226.77.253/text/NAMSFC/NAM_Kiad.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 3:38 AM, mitchnick said: sorry, only 7" http://68.226.77.253/text/NAMSFC/NAM_Kiad.txt 140326/1200Z 84 32020KT 23.1F SNOW 10:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.006 14:1| 9.2 Guess it varies by source. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 I just hope Ian appreciates all the hard work I've done compiling the NAM stats this evening I'm hoping he notices what a conscientious worker I am worthy of Moderator position Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Gfs concurs with snow falling from the sky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 3:43 AM, mitchnick said: I just hope Ian appreciates all the hard work I've done compiling the NAM stats this evening I'm hoping he notices what a conscientious worker I am worthy of Moderator position I don't really care if people talk about it. I just don't always get it. But I'm kind of dense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 3:44 AM, Bob Chill said: Gfs concurs with snow falling from the sky Some gets in before sunrise. Cartopper! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On 3/23/2014 at 3:44 AM, Bob Chill said: Gfs concurs with snow falling from the sky it's a brave new model world out there tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 seriously, if you compare the 18z at 60 hrs w/0Z at 54, the trough is deeper and further west idk what it looks like beyond that, but Bob's post doesn't surprise me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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