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St. Paddy's Day Storm Obs


nj2va

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in case some don't have this link, this is a great obs site because you can zoom in and if you want more stations, add by increasing the "density" near the top...roll over mouse option makes it quick too

get in real close and it has elevation contours

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/gmap.php?zoom=7&extents=36.922526,-80.150879,41.972097,-79.732227&density=1

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and just when the radar was beginning to have a "dry slot" from he!!, that u/l low is doing its job and pulling up more moisture that you can see on the water vapor loop....radar confirms precip breaking out south of the u/l

http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/displaySat.php?region=US&itype=wv&size=large&endDate=20140316&endTime=-1&duration=6

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My current temperature (46) is ~5 degrees warmer than what the 12 UT NAM predicted for 3:00 PM. Assuming this bias continues (yes I know ...) the surface temperature should fall to 32i between 03 and 04 UT and remain there for the duration of the event (yes I'm ignoring sun angle). The pre-3:30 UT QPF on the NAM is 0.16" and the post-3:30 UT QPF is 0.76" (yes I'm ignoring the well-known high-bias for precip amounts from the NAM).  Assuming an 8:1 ratio --> 6"

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