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St. Paddy's Day Storm Obs


nj2va

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dendrites

i just looked through temp/omega plots for dca on both the nam and gfs and the omega crosses the DGZ. you'll be good to go for ratios as soon as sfc temps cooperate

http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cgi?region=VA&stn=KDCA&model=gfs&time=current&field=temp

http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cgi?region=VA&stn=KDCA&model=gfs&time=current&field=omeg

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Outright heavy snow, large flakes. Snow is starting to stick to north areas. The only fly in the proverbial ointment is the temp, which is stuck at 34 degrees. We hit 32 its gonna look like mid January out there

32F just arrived at my house...sending him your way

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Well, I'll be dipped in sh*t. I went about my day expecting rain changing to snow and waking up to a sloppy 3 or so inches on non-paved surfaces. I was still putzing around and noticed the horizon disappearing and figured it was raining. Imagine my surprise when I went to close the blinds and saw that IT WAS SNOWING OUT! Hahahaha awesome! And I am one of the COC-eyed Spring wanter to commers.

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i just looked through temp/omega plots for dca on both the nam and gfs and the omega crosses the DGZ. you'll be good to go for ratios as soon as sfc temps cooperate

http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cgi?region=VA&stn=KDCA&model=gfs&time=current&field=temp

http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cgi?region=VA&stn=KDCA&model=gfs&time=current&field=omeg

 

nice...i'm down to 32.6....i'm honestly stunned...I've learned a lot this winter...

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Guess MOS wasn't so reliable this go round

I think people just selectively read. Raw temps were still too cold from range but I think a middle ground was prob better than one or the other. 

 

Like other guidance they tend to close in the short range. MOS often misses on anomalous setups.

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I think people just selectively read. Raw temps were still too cold from range but I think a middle ground was prob better than one or the other. 

 

Like other guidance they tend to close in the short range. MOS often misses on anomalous setups.

Plus remember GFS was showing upper 30s for highs today in raw form. How'd that work out? Not that it matters but still.

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