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Saint Patrick's Day Snow Event II


stormtracker

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Well I've been a lurker for a while now and decided it was time.

 

Sfc temps seem to be holding above predicted in the DC area (I call Falls Church home) so I can see why you guys are getting nervous on wasted qpf.  But out here in Harrisonburg it is dropping fast.

 

Falls Church - 48 F

Hburg - 33 F

 

That seems like a huge difference to me.  We are supposed to still be above 40 here according to forecasts,  but we hit the predicted low an hour ago maybe more. 

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For reference, the 00z Euro says I should be at 40 degrees right now...I'm at 46.  Euro has us at 36 at 8pm tomorrow and 30 and 2am.  I'm a bit worried about surface temps running warmer even after 11 or midnight if the Euro is running too cold.  

Thats interesting, because temps in the valley are currently about 5-6 degrees below forecast.  Supposed to be 40 here in Harrisonburg as well and its currently 34.  

 

Anyone got an explanation for this?

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For reference, the 00z Euro says I should be at 40 degrees right now...I'm at 46.  Euro has us at 36 at 8pm tomorrow and 30 and 2am.  I'm a bit worried about surface temps running warmer even after 11 or midnight if the Euro is running too cold.  

I dont think the EURO runs too cold very often...its usually on the warmer end of guidance.

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For reference, the 00z Euro says I should be at 40 degrees right now...I'm at 46.  Euro has us at 36 at 8pm tomorrow and 30 and 2am.  I'm a bit worried about surface temps running warmer even after 11 or midnight if the Euro is running too cold.  

 

yeah...we definitely need to keep expectations in check......

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