jburns Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 What are thoughts on road conditions in the morning? Slushy in the morning or mostly wet, except elevated surfaces of course. A lot depends on how liberal the DOT can be with salt spreading. Tonight on the news they said supplies are very low and suppliers are rationing what they have left. Early in the morning could be a problem assuming temps remain where they are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Just took a walk outside... There's definitely a lot of ZR mixed in with the sleet. It's coming down relatively heavily. EDIT: Thanks for the sounding, Grit. Looks like we're done with the snow threat, then. Hopefully, we can keep the warm nose at bay enough to give us more sleet than ZR... It's quite cold from 900 mb on down to the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 I think this is turning into a major storm. All we need is .25 of glaze to warrant a winter storm and I'm at least half way there now. Very surprised the triad doesn't have a WSW. Going to be ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 901 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2014 NCZ007>011-021>027-038>041-180615- PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE- ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR... HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS... WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM... CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON... NASHVILLE...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...LEXINGTON... THOMASVILLE...ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY...SILER CITY... PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY 901 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2014 ...LIGHT SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BRIEFLY INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGH 2 AM...THEN DIMINISH TO PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. AT 855 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED AN AREA OF MIXED FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT AND NORTHERN COASTAL PLAIN OF NC. HOURLY PRECIPITATION RATES OF UP TO SEVERAL HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH HAVE BEEN COMMON WITH THIS EXPANDING AREA OF PRECIPITATION. THESE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS THROUGH 2 AM WILL SUPPORT AN ADDITIONAL SLEET ACCUMULATION OF UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH...AND FREEZING RAIN ACCRUAL GENERALLY AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH...TO PERHAPS AS MUCH AS TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH IN ISOLATED SPOTS. NUMEROUS TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED... PARTICULARLY THROUGHOUT THE TRIAD. THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY TAPER TO VERY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE AFTER 2 AM...WITH LITTLE ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION AFTER THAT TIME. TEMPERATURES WILL HOLD IN THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30 DEGREES...HOWEVER...SO ICY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN LIKELY...PARTICULARLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS TREES...CAR TOPS...AND BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL RESULT. $$ MWS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 The saving grace for yall worried about alot of zr. Which since my last post has transitioned to all sleet with some big raindrops or wet snow So what warm layer that strenghten durring the lull is starting to be erroded. So my guess would be a transition to sleet and zr limiting ice accural. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Who was it on here that said they had a feeling that people would get caught off guard? Was it superjames ? I think that was me. We all were caught off guard with that batch of sleet that setup over the triad for most of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 How far are you from Denton? About 10 to 12 miles as the crow flys. Need to go fill up the gas can. Used it up in the mower this past weekend believe it or not. Man I don't want to get back out in this mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 I think that was me. We all were caught off guard with that batch of sleet that setup over the triad for most of the day. Yeah, I thought we were done after the morning batch. This batch caught me off-guard (until I saw some of the short-range models this afternoon). It's fairly potent. I guess it caught the NWS and all the local news stations off-guard, too, considering we had nothing by freezing drizzle in the forecast. This whole day has busted in the cold/wet side. This afternoon wasn't supposed to feature as much precip as it did and we were supposed to top out in the mid to upper 30s when, in fact, we never got above 30 (at GSO). Having freezing rain and sleet during the middle of the afternoon in mid-March was an interesting experience. I'm not sure about RAH calling this precipitation mainly light. I'd say it's moderate, personally. It's coming down pretty decently at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 down to 30 here. glaze keeps increasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
10below Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 snowing in Asheboro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aquawind Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Temp up 31.1 and rain here. There is a glaze on elevated surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Another view of the damming wedge... http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/overlay=temp/orthographic=-79.90,37.21,2289 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 For what it's worth we are right at the threshold of meeting winter storm warning criteria. . 25 ice accrual . WIth raleigh saying possibly 2 tenths more between now and 2 a.m. It's a slam dunk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Fox8 has a great live blog on their website (and app) reporting on road conditions and closings. It's a disaster out there! Wrecks everywhere. Many interstates are shutdown. Assume every bridge is completely iced over. Stay off the roads folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broken024 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Will this make it to Charlotte? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Will this make it to Charlotte? It just did.....180134 SPECI 180133Z 04010KT 3SM -FZDZ BKN009 OVC040 00 /M01 A2992 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 10 FZDZB31 P0000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 The Duke Energy website shows things under control for now, but that will likely change some if the precip keeps coming down as ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Too much ice accretion again in Chapel Hill tonight! Hope the power doesn't go out again. Down to 30.1 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Just had a few substantial brown outs. around .15" zr accrual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
10below Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Ugh with this freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Will this make it to Charlotte? Precip should be winding down in a few hours here. Don't think it will be a major deal. Temps probably bottoming out at 32 with minor icing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WFFaithful Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 I've been at 31 with lots of rain for 5 hours. Luckily there has not been much accretion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Ugh with this freezing rain. "With freezing so predominant in the weather lately, it is well to remember the words of Confucius: 'If freezing rain is inevitable, lie back and enjoy it'." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Unless my eyes are playing trix. Predom type is sleet with some half way decent flakes mixing in. To put it nicely its trying. Those between GSO,WS,Lex in that deepest band what is falling and try to monitor. http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=rax&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Power outages in Randolph County up to 1800. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Power outages in Randolph County up to 1800. Was just going to post that it's gone from 390 to 2200 across the grid in the last 30 minutes. Still just a nasty cold 33° drizzle down here in Clayton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Unfortunately its down to 33.3 on my back deck and the DP is down to 30 now, up the road a few miles a reliable weather station is showing 32.7 our forecasted low was 35....might be a little ice in the trees in the morning even way down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Unless my eyes are playing trix. Predom type is sleet with some half way decent flakes mixing in. To put it nicely its trying. Those between GSO,WS,Lex in that deepest band what is falling and try to monitor. http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=rax&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no IP/ZR mix. More IP right now but it changes frequently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 My aunt and cousin are stranded at PTI airport. My cousins flight came in at 9:05 (2 hours late) and now his luggage is lost. They are advising her not to leave. She's from Florida, in a rental car and has NO experience driving in this kind of weather (not that anyone can really have "experience" driving on ice). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 My aunt and cousin are stranded at PTI airport. My cousins flight came in at 9:05 (2 hours late) and now his luggage is lost. They are advising her not to leave. She's from Florida, in a rental car and has NO experience driving in this kind of weather (not that anyone can really have "experience" driving on ice). The actual roads aren't terrible but overpasses are just pure ice. There's a Marriott adjacent to the airport, she should just go there probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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