dutch Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 have had several squalls blow thru today, blustery and cold outside the office: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Pretty cold squally and snowy out in Batavia today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 I wonder if Sat. night, we could see some higher elevation love over the Finger lakes/Souther Tier regions. Looks like slop/rain for most lower elevations of W/C NY. yeah there's some potential there. More annoying than anything lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 yeah there's some potential there. More annoying than anything lol. I want sunny and 80 so freakin' bad! I love winter and all, but my body is freakin' craving some vitamin D!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRLady Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 lake effect! I am with you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 lake effect! I am with you! LOL, usually by now I have snuck in a few days of tanning on my back porch...sunny and 50 means 70 on my back deck. Two years ago, I had a mid summer tan by April! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 27, 2014 Author Share Posted March 27, 2014 LOL, usually by now I have snuck in a few days of tanning on my back porch...sunny and 50 means 70 on my back deck. Two years ago, I had a mid summer tan by April! Definitely. I am ready for some outdoor activities and driving around with my windows and sunroof open with my sunglasses on. Can't wait! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 Anyone interested in talking about a snowstorm Sat. night? (higher elevations W/C NY with some accums in lower elevations?) Someone is going to be slapped really hard! Wet snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manhattanandcatskills Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 Heading Upstate for the first time since early mid-February when there was about 32" on my deck. I am really hoping for a surprise dumping of heavy wet snow. What is the likelihood at 2/K in DE county over the weekend? I see that the focus fo the heaviest precip seems to be between there and the coast on Sat eve. Hoping for a quicker changover or a long duration event into Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 Heading Upstate for the first time since early mid-February when there was about 32" on my deck. I am really hoping for a surprise dumping of heavy wet snow. What is the likelihood at 2/K in DE county over the weekend? I see that the focus fo the heaviest precip seems to be between there and the coast on Sat eve. Hoping for a quicker changover or a long duration event into Sunday. I think Delaware county maybe just a bit too far east, even at higher elevations. W/C southern tier and Finger Lakes (esp. higher elevations) may get quite the surprise, if people don't hear of changes to the forecast (which certainly will be coming) for Sat eve. through Sun morn. 12z NAM shows quite an accumulation for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manhattanandcatskills Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 I was suspecting that. Thanks for your thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 I think Delaware county maybe just a bit too far east, even at higher elevations. W/C southern tier and Finger Lakes (esp. higher elevations) may get quite the surprise, if people don't hear of changes to the forecast (which certainly will be coming) for Sat eve. through Sun morn. 12z NAM shows quite an accumulation for some. If NAM is to be believed we all go to snow with 4 to 8 for lower elevations and 6 to 12 + for higher ups. Looks like the past storm in a way with more mix east of 81. Wow. Sick of it but I will always take a snowstorm so bring it! Lets see what GFS shows for temps. It looked warmer to me at 850 at 0z and 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 Anyone interested in talking about a snowstorm Sat. night? (higher elevations W/C NY with some accums in lower elevations?) Someone is going to be slapped really hard! Wet snowstorm. Hey LEK, GFS looks warmer to me with more of a mix. Any thought on which model may be performing better? GFS is also very, very wet(even more than NAM!). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 Hey LEK, GFS looks warmer to me with more of a mix. Any thought on which model may be performing better? GFS is also very, very wet(even more than NAM!). This will be a storm where most will get some snow, and 900' and up get near the 10" mark.....of course, we can dream of some dynamical cooling (which should occur early Sun. morn.) NAM is probably overdoing the deepening, but near on target for temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 28, 2014 Author Share Posted March 28, 2014 This will be a storm where most will get some snow, and 900' and up get near the 10" mark.....of course, we can dream of some dynamical cooling (which should occur early Sun. morn.) NAM is probably overdoing the deepening, but near on target for temps. I'm looking more forward to 55-60 and sunny on Monday. Already got my first outdoor run of the season planned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 I'm looking more forward to 55-60 and sunny on Monday. Already got my first outdoor run of the season planned. It'll be nice! But until then: A STORM SYSTEM OVER KENTUCKY ON SATURDAY WILL MOVE TO THE NEW JERSEY COAST BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...THEN WILL INTENSIFY AS IT PUSHES UP THE COAST OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS THE REGION IN THE PROCESS...WITH THE BULK OF THE SNOW COMING SATURDAY NIGHT. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW IS LIKELY...BUT IT IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS COULD TAKE PLACE. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE GREATEST RISK OF SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHERN TIER...WESTERN AND NORTHERN FINGER LAKES...AND EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 Little birdies are telling me potential watches forthcoming.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dutch Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 flood! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 Congrats WNY!: http://wxcaster.com/gis-snow-overlays-5km.php3?BASEHR=12Z&STATIONID=BUF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 If only!!! That tickled my OCD. Look forward to hours of posts from this nut! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 Congrats WNY!: http://wxcaster.com/gis-snow-overlays-5km.php3?BASEHR=12Z&STATIONID=BUF LOL...wouldn't that be somethin'... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 Winter Storm Watches out for some counties of WNY and Lewis, Herkimer, and S. St. Lawrence counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 Nws betting on warming trend w models. Tough to get huge accums at lower elev this time of year. But it is still March!!! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 LOL...wouldn't that be somethin'... Those maps are hilarious! But, they do have value in determining where a model thinks there would be the jackpot totals and roughly the elevation it "sees" as being the threshold for significant accums. The NAM is coldest, but all other guidance suggests h850's will be a bit too warm in most of CNY for a decent amount of time during the event. But really, if those models in future runs cool even a half degree...then things change quite a bit, both further eastward and lower elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 18z NAM holding out on the colder solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 I'm all for the colder solutions...no amount of snow is gonna last very long this time of year so bring it on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 99.9% of the W/CNY population after looking at NAM: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 ....and then the sick snow freaks in this forum: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 28, 2014 Author Share Posted March 28, 2014 If only!!! That tickled my OCD. Look forward to hours of posts from this nut! Sent from my iPhone O god here we go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 28, 2014 Author Share Posted March 28, 2014 ....and then the sick snow freaks in this forum: JK thats me in 40 years. Would have to give 4-5 shots to my wife for her to do that though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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