BuffaloWeather Posted April 27, 2014 Author Share Posted April 27, 2014 Didn't radar pick up some 300 MPH wind speeds within this one? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KX8o2loAMhY#t=336 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 The Tuscaloosa tornado had very pronounced horizontal vortices. Not sure why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 27, 2014 Author Share Posted April 27, 2014 The Tuscaloosa tornado had very pronounced horizontal vortices. Not sure why. The weather channel had a segment on this exact question. They mentioned 3 possibilities of local environments influencing tornadic activity possibly strengthening the circulation. I believe it was gravity waves, elevated terrain, and ground clutter all having effects on the inflow of a tornado. They speculated that these factors might have strengthened some of the tornadoes from the April 2011 outbreak. There was a study done on these factors from a guy with a PHD. (Forget what college) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 27, 2014 Author Share Posted April 27, 2014 NWS not messing around with there wording. ...SEVERE STORMS LIKELY SUNDAY WITH A THREAT OF TORNADOES...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SUNDAY AFTERNOON INEASTERN OKLAHOMA...LIKELY EAST OF A LINE FROM BARTLESVILLE TOMCALESTER TO BOSWELL. THE STORMS MAY INITIALLY BE WIDELY SCATTEREDAS THEY INTENSIFY...BUT WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AFTER 5PM AS THESTORMS MOVE TOWARD WESTERN ARKANSAS. THE STORMS WILL LIKELY REACHTHEIR GREATEST INTENSITY SUNDAY EVENING IN WESTERN ARKANSAS AND FAREASTERN OKLAHOMA. TORNADOES...WIND GUSTS TO 75 MPH AND 3 INCH HAILCOULD OCCUR WITH THE MOST INTENSE CELLS.WHILE THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY RELATING TO THE SPECIFIC AREASTHAT WILL BE AT MOST RISK...PARTS OF ARKANSAS AND PERHAPS EXTREMEEASTERN OKLAHOMA...ARE EXPECTED TO EXPERIENCE LIFE-THREATENINGSTORMS SUNDAY EVENING. THAT THREAT INCLUDES THE POTENTIAL FORSTRONG AND POSSIBLY LONG-TRACK TORNADOES.IF YOU ARE IN ARKANSAS OR EXTREME EASTERN OKLAHOMA YOU SHOULD USETHIS EVENING TO REVIEW YOUR SEVERE ACTIONS PLANS. THIS SHOULD BEDONE NOT ONLY FOR YOUR HOME...BUT ALSO FOR WHERE YOU EXPECT TO BESUNDAY EVENING. THIS IS ALSO A GOOD TIME TO CHECK BATTERY-POWERDEVICES AND ENSURE YOUR FAMILY CAN QUICKLY SEEK SHELTER IFNECESSARY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 27, 2014 Author Share Posted April 27, 2014 Here's the study I was talking about OSU. http://www.weather.com/news/weather-severe/superoutbreak-2011-study-20131007 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 28, 2014 Author Share Posted April 28, 2014 Awesome article done by Tom Niziol on the Great Lake ice this winter. http://www.wunderground.com/blog/tniziol/comment.html?entrynum=5#commenttop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 28, 2014 Author Share Posted April 28, 2014 Wow High Wind Warning didn't know this was coming. I think this is like the 5th or 6th HWW this year. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HIGH WINDWARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY. THISUPGRADES THE HIGH WIND WATCH WHICH WAS PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT.* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES. STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE AND NEAR NORTHWEST FACING SLOPES.* TIMING...EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. STRONGEST WIND GUSTS EXPECTED FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH MID AFTERNOON.* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL RESULT IN A FEW DOWNED TREES AND POWERLINES RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT AT TIMES IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...ESPECIALLY ON THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY WHERE WINDS WILL BE BLOWING DIRECTLY ACROSS THE HIGHWAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
champy Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 6th month in a row with below normal temps in SYR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 30, 2014 Author Share Posted April 30, 2014 Ice Boom being removed, 4 days short of the record. Now Summer can start! Looks like 70s next weekend! http://wivb.com/2014/04/29/corps-begins-removal-of-ice-boom/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 1, 2014 Share Posted May 1, 2014 Here's the study I was talking about OSU. http://www.weather.com/news/weather-severe/superoutbreak-2011-study-20131007 that's very cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 1, 2014 Author Share Posted May 1, 2014 that's very cool Yeah I thought it was as well. I found this cool link about NY Tornado history. I see quite a few of them are missing but still I found it quite crazy how so many Tornadoes occurred so close to the lake in comparison to areas close to Dansville. http://www.tornadohistoryproject.com/tornado/New-York Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 1, 2014 Share Posted May 1, 2014 Yeah I thought it was as well. I found this cool link about NY Tornado history. I see quite a few of them are missing but still I found it quite crazy how so many Tornadoes occurred so close to the lake in comparison to areas close to Dansville. http://www.tornadohistoryproject.com/tornado/New-York some of that is also due to the southern tier tornado hot spot. The Ohio Valley tornado "alley" can extend into the southern tier because of the storms can move in from the west or west-southwest without any influence from the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 2, 2014 Author Share Posted May 2, 2014 some of that is also due to the southern tier tornado hot spot. The Ohio Valley tornado "alley" can extend into the southern tier because of the storms can move in from the west or west-southwest without any influence from the lake. Yeah, the Southern Tier is the best place to live in WNY for weather that's for sure. 200+ inches of snow annually and the best possibility of tornadoes out of all WNY. There seems to be another hot spot across North Buffalo/Cheektowaga and places just to the northeast as well. I wonder what the reason is for that "little hot spot"? Since there is 2/3 recent tornadoes not recorded within that same region as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 2, 2014 Author Share Posted May 2, 2014 Here is the one that hit in 2006. 2006 Thunderstorms developed during the afternoon hours as an upper level trough crossed the region. The storms produced hail up to one inch in diameter. Hail reports spanned from Wheatfield across Cheektowaga, Lancaster, Hamburg and Colden to Varysburg. One thunderstorm spawned a tornado which moved across the Town of Cheektowaga. The tornado initially touched down around 2:55 p.m. on Walden Avenue near Harlem Road and traveled from the northwest to the southeast through the town. On Walden Avenue, a construction trailer was moved several hundred feet. The worker in the trailer suffered minor injuries. As the tornado moved across the New York State Thruway, it lifted a tractor trailer and deposited on its side across the Jersey barrier. The driver of the truck suffered a broken leg. The tornado continued on its southeast trek damaging a 20 by 30 foot section of a wall on a warehouse and then downed trees as it crossed through central Cheektowaga. The tornado touched down several times along its path. Its final touchdown was at the Parkside Village Mobile Home Park around 3:05 p.m. where three mobile homes sustained significant damage and eight others sustained minor damage. The tornado was ranked an F1 with a path length of three miles and a width of 75 yards. Thunderstorms developed during the afternoon hours as an upper level trough crossed the region. The storms produced hail up to one inch in diameter in Jefferson county. In Indian River, Lewis county, the thunderstorm winds downed trees. This is the one I chased back in 2009 that had the EF1 near Darien. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/buf/svrwx/090725/tornadoesJuly25_2009.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 I'd like to find out more about that supposed 84 mile long tracking F3 in the southern tier on June 20th, 1969. An 84 mile long track on a tornado that apparently occurred at 6am? So strange. While there is definitely strong shear on the NCEP reanalysis data for that time, it was cool and the lifted index is above 0. Idk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 2, 2014 Author Share Posted May 2, 2014 I'd like to find out more about that supposed 84 mile long tracking F3 in the southern tier on June 20th, 1969. An 84 mile long track on a tornado that apparently occurred at 6am? So strange. While there is definitely strong shear on the NCEP reanalysis data for that time, it was cool and the lifted index is above 0. Idk. I think the time wasn't the actually time the tornado hit, but the time the data was put in the database on the graph? Quite a few of these tornadoes have strange times for a tornado to hit. The one in 1968 occurred at 3:30 AM across the southern tier. Not sure how accurate this database is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 I think the time wasn't the actually time the tornado hit, but the time the data was put in the database on the graph? Quite a few of these tornadoes have strange times for a tornado to hit. Buffalo's "This date in weather history" mentions it happened in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 2, 2014 Author Share Posted May 2, 2014 This is a really cool website I found. http://www.tornadoproject.com/alltorns/nytorn.htm#Erie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 2, 2014 Author Share Posted May 2, 2014 Quite a few tornadoes in Erie County. 7 Tornadoes in 3 years in Erie County from 91-94. Erie County Tornadoes 246 APR 25, 1957 1 17:15 0 0 1 42.90 -078.70 00.00 0 29 486 JLY 7, 1961 3 14:45 0 0 2 43.00 -078.95 43.00 -078.78 29 266 JUN 9, 1966 1 16:00 0 0 0 42.63 -078.55 00.00 0 29 497 AUG 19, 1970 3 13:45 0 3 3 42.67 -078.88 42.67 -078.82 29 718 AUG 23, 1971 5 0:00 0 0 2 42.92 -078.70 42.93 -078.65 29 211 MAY 2, 1972 1 17:30 0 0 2 42.73 -078.52 42.78 -078.28 29,121 663 JUN 30, 1976 7 14:48 0 0 1 42.97 -078.70 00.00 0 29 502 JLY 30, 1987 6 14:30 0 1 2 42.92 -078.77 00.00 0 29 219 APR 9, 1991 2 14:15 0 0 1 42.50 -078.65 00.00 0 29 402 MAY 1, 1991 5 11:40 0 0 0 42.65 -078.88 00.00 0 29 786 JLY 12, 1992 15 19:10 0 0 1 42.97 -078.52 00.00 0 29 1026 AUG 31, 1993 15 1:15 0 0 1 42.98 -078.58 00.00 0 29 1081 SEP 23, 1993 21 12:30 0 0 0 43.03 -078.90 00.00 0 29 584 JUN 24, 1994 6 14:25 0 0 0 42.63 -079.03 00.00 0 29 951 AUG 28, 1994 13 11:30 0 0 0 43.02 -078.80 00.00 0 29 529 SEP 25, 1997 6 16:00 0 0 0 42.65 -079.03 42.65 -079.03 29 536 APR 28, 2002 1 12:50 0 0 0 42.55 -078.63 42.55 -078.63 29 709 JUN 30, 2006 2 12:55 0 2 1 42.92 -078.77 42.92 -078.77 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 The June 2nd, 1998 Warsaw tornado appears to missing from the main NYS event map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 2, 2014 Author Share Posted May 2, 2014 That F2 back in 1961 traveled from Canada across the Niagara River for quite a distance. That would be an ideal tornado to chase with such a long time on the ground in a relatively flat area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 2, 2014 Author Share Posted May 2, 2014 The June 2nd, 1998 Warsaw tornado appears to missing from the main NYS event map. Chatuaqua is the Tornado Capital of WNY. Seems like that area has the best possibility of a strong tornado hitting. Chautauqua County Tornadoes 369 JUN 12, 1959 1 18:15 0 3 0 42.10 -079.27 00.00 0 13 320 JLY 2, 1963 2 11:20 0 0 1 42.12 -079.42 42.13 -079.37 13 343 MAY 16, 1965 1 19:15 0 3 2 42.10 -079.50 42.10 -079.45 13 791 SEP 9, 1965 5 15:45 0 0 ? 42.27 -079.47 00.00 0 13 490 AUG 6, 1968 1 3:30 0 4 2 42.40 -079.08 42.23 -078.50 13,9 195 MAY 17, 1969 1 17:10 0 1 2 42.27 -079.27 00.00 0 13 278 JUN 20, 1969 3 5:55 0 0 3 42.02 -079.63 42.32 -078.05 13,9,3 439 JLY 15, 1970 2 16:00 0 0 ? 42.17 -079.40 00.00 0 13 221 APR 3, 1974 1 21:00 0 0 1 42.05 -079.17 00.00 0 13 662 JUN 30, 1976 6 14:20 0 0 1 42.55 -079.17 00.00 0 13 846 JLY 28, 1982 1 5:20 0 0 1 42.12 -079.30 42.10 -079.23 13 847 JLY 28, 1982 2 15:15 0 1 0 42.48 -079.23 00.00 0 13 235 MAY 2, 1983 1 15:05 2 0 3 42.15 -079.62 42.32 -079.08 13 339 MAY 31, 1985 2 15:55 0 0 4 42.02 -079.57 42.05 -079.43 13,from PA 49, 123 342 MAY 31, 1985 3 16:25 0 10 3 42.03 -079.23 42.13 -079.15 13 689 JLY 19, 1989 6 14:30 0 0 0 42.17 -079.38 00.00 0 13 993 AUG 28, 1990 9 16:50 0 0 0 42.15 -079.22 42.15 -079.10 13 217 APR 9, 1991 1 13:45 0 0 0 42.47 -079.17 00.00 0 13 785 JLY 12, 1992 14 18:35 0 0 2 42.43 -079.33 42.48 -079.27 13 790 JLY 11, 1993 8 21:35 0 0 1 42.40 -079.23 00.00 0 13 549 JUN 13, 1994 5 15:35 0 1 2 42.22 -079.10 42.22 -079.05 13,9 950 AUG 28, 1994 12 11:30 0 2 1 42.43 -079.33 00.00 0 13 173 MAY 31, 1998 4 15:05 0 2 1 42.38 -079.43 42.38 -079.43 13 950 JLY 24, 2010 4 14:40 0 0 2 42.29 -079.59 42.24 -079.45 13355015 NOV 14, 2011 20 15:54 0 0 2 42.45 -079.42 42.44 -079.34 13355016 NOV 14, 2011 21 16:05 0 0 2 42.30 -079.59 42.31 -079.54 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 2, 2014 Author Share Posted May 2, 2014 Can't find any information on that 1961 anywhere. =/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 2, 2014 Author Share Posted May 2, 2014 Nice little overview of tornado history in WNY. http://www.wkbw.com/news/History-of-Tornadoes-in-WNY-208252031.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 Really far out there, but Thursday might be our best shot of limited severe thunderstorms so far this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 BuffaloWeather, in the Niziol article, notice that 1885 is the spring that potentially could have beaten out this year for ice cover. Do you know why it was so cold that year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 2, 2014 Author Share Posted May 2, 2014 BuffaloWeather, in the Niziol article, notice that 1885 is the spring that potentially could have beaten out this year for ice cover. Do you know why it was so cold that year? Not exactly sure, couldn't find many documents mentioning it. Directly from that article, "On a side note, 1885 must have been an exceptional ice cover year. I found it interesting therefore to learn of a fascinating story about a shipwreck that was a result of ice cover on Lake Michigan. 1885 was the coldest 4 month period (December-March) on record for the combined 6-city set I outlined, only rivaled by 1904 and this past winter. Ice built up quickly that year and in early February a vessel named the Michigan became stranded in the ice. After nearly 40 days the crew had to abandon the ship and head across the ice to a rescue tug that also became stranded in the ice pack. The hardy crew from the Michigan finally hiked to shore and skied the rest of the way back to the comfort of heat and food. The account, reminiscent of the Shackleton Expedition in the Antarctic in 1914 is beautifully retold by Valerie Olson Van Heest in this link IceBoundFound." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 2, 2014 Author Share Posted May 2, 2014 Really far out there, but Thursday might be our best shot of limited severe thunderstorms so far this year. I'll be in Toronto for our anniversary from Friday to Sunday. Hopefully the weather cooperates! A FEW SPOT SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY...BUT WITH THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS CROSSING THE REGION WILL KEEP CHANCES LOW AT THIS POINT. A BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT BEHIND THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND AHEAD OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. INSTABILITY PARAMETERS WILL FAVOR THUNDER BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HIGHS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL CLIMB ABOVE NORMAL WITH THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND ITS ASSOCIATED WARMTH PASSING OVER US. TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL CLIMB INTO THE 70S...POSSIBLY LOWER 80S IN THE GENESEE VALLEY. THERE ALSO MAY BE A SLIGHT HUMID FEEL TO THE AIR FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR ON FRIDAY AS DEWPOINTS CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 50S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 3, 2014 Author Share Posted May 3, 2014 Officially at the #Buffalo #NWS Lake Erie has hit 35F. This is the latest #ice out since 1996! #bufwx The lake needs to get warm fast, I am ready for some beach time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 3, 2014 Share Posted May 3, 2014 Krakatoa erupted in 1884. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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