A-L-E-K Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Call from a few days back is locked and loaded...DAB for ORD. yep....razor gradient advertised by the HRRR materializing...going to be about 10 miles too far north here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 10" lollipop on the latest NAM for the Detroit/Wyandotte snow magnet. About the same on the SREF plumes (a little over 11") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Call from a few days back is locked and loaded...DAB for ORD. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 yep....razor gradient advertised by the HRRR materializing...going to be about 10 miles too far north here as well. LOT having none of it. 9 pm update calls 5-7 in these parts. Going to be some winners and losers in very close proximity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 My 4-8" call from Pontiac IL to Adrian MI looking solid. Definitely busted on my call for here, but didn't expect as sharp of a cutoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterStorm294 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 That's great, but I'm about half dead from shoveling this year. Yeah, I feel your pain. Shoveling sucks, but it'll all be over soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 yep....razor gradient advertised by the HRRR materializing...going to be about 10 miles too far north here as well. Impossible to call that even at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 LOT having none of it. 9 pm update calls 5-7 in these parts. Going to be some winners and losers in very close proximity. IMO storm movement just doesn't look good for ORD...Joliet to Gary could do some work here if they flip to all snow quick enough. fun side note, radar estimated precip already contaminated by hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 yep....razor gradient advertised by the HRRR materializing...going to be about 10 miles too far north here as well. Wth? Seems impossible to make that call, based on one model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Wth? Seems impossible to make that call, based on one model? settle down cowboy, you don't live at the airport and will do better it doesn't take a model to look at the radar and see that northern Cook Co and points north are in trouble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Some heavy pingers now, huge wet flakes making their way to the ground as well. Temp has fallen from 39 to 36 in the last 25 min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Some heavy pingers now, huge wet flakes making their way to the ground as well. Temp has fallen from 39 to 36 in the last 25 min. returns look good for your area...should put up a good number in the next hour or two when you flip to all SN getting some flashes and booms here with intermittent showers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 I remember Alek saying the radar looked terrible during the last storm and ended up with like 4-5 etc It's too early yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boogieman Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Yeah, I feel your pain. Shoveling sucks, but it'll all be over soon. I figure it'll warm up good around June 21st or so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL931 PM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014.DISCUSSION...905 PM CDTNO CHANGES PLANNED WITH THE CURRENT HEADLINES. THE LOW PRESSUREHAS PUSHED EAST INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUESTO SLOWLY SLIDE EAST TO NORTHEAST. PRECIPITATION HAS TAKEN JUST ALITTLE LONGER TO DEVELOP...HOWEVER LOCAL RADAR INDICATES SEVERALAREAS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP. IN ADDITION SOME CONVECTION HASDEVELOPED THIS EVENING AS WELL ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...MAINLYSOUTH OF I-88 IN NORTHERN IL. DUE TO THE LOW TOPPED NATURE OFTHESE THUNDERSTORMS...REPORTS OF PEA SIZE HAIL. TEMPERATURES WILLBEGIN TO FALL...WHICH WILL LIKELY ALLOW A TRANSITION TOWARDS SNOWLATER THIS EVENING. ONE ITEM THAT HAS BEEN UPDATED FOR TONIGHT WASTO INCLUDE THE MENTION OF SLT CHC THUNDER FOR AREAS ALONG ANDSOUTH OF I-80 IN NORTHERN IL/NORTHWEST IN. IT IS POSSIBLE THATONCE THE STEADY HEAVY SNOW GETS GOING...THAT GIVEN HOW UNSTABLETHE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS...THAT THUNDERSNOW MAY OCCUR IN A FEWLOCATIONS ACROSS NORTHEAST IL/NORTHWEST IN...JUST SOUTH OFCHICAGO.BEACHLER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 cell pushing into downtown just pulsed up nicely...should be a good hailer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 returns look good for your area...should put up a good number in the next hour or two when you flip to all SN getting some flashes and booms here with intermittent showers I might be just a tad too far north of the good stuff but still liking my location. 5-10" in the pc. Thinking it will be more around 2-4 still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Skilling saying 4-8" for the warning area and only 0.5-1.5" to the north and northwest suburbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 returns look good for your area...should put up a good number in the next hour or two when you flip to all SN getting some flashes and booms here with intermittent showers I could care less where I live. In fact I hope it rains. Talk about a cowboy...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 I might be just a tad too far north of the good stuff but still liking my location. agree, good luck down there...enjoy the thunderstorm moving in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Skilling's trusted RPM model has this thing booking it high tail outta here before rush hour tomorrow morning. Seems a little quick, but maybe not. Heavy rain/sleet/snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Skilling saying 4-8" for the warning area and only 0.5-1.5" to the north and northwest suburbs. Yup. Unchanged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 21z SREF for DTW...mean 11.3". lowest is 5.1", highest is 18.6", all but 6 are clustered in the 8.4-15.3" range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Skilling's trusted RPM model has this thing booking it high tail outta here before rush hour tomorrow morning. Seems a little quick, but maybe not. Heavy rain/sleet/snow I always like to hear about the "in house" RPM model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Cell overhead right now really pulling the cold air down. Alek will enjoy if it holds it's intensity on its way in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Sucks to be Geos Nothing worse then being on the edge of no precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 12, 2014 Author Share Posted March 12, 2014 Skilling's trusted RPM model has this thing booking it high tail outta here before rush hour tomorrow morning. Seems a little quick, but maybe not. Other short-term guidance is in agreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Sucks to be Geos Nothing worse then being on the edge of no precip. A little something is moving in here, but it's still above freezing. But yeah I'm pretty much cut out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Sucks to be Geos Nothing worse then being on the edge of no precip. But I thought Geos was sick of snow period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 But I thought Geos was sick of snow period. Oh yea that's right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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