NortheastPAWx Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Great winter, see u chaps next winter. Thanks for letting me post in this forum. I'll be hanging out in the phl forum for severe and hurricane season. Peace. From what I heard even that might be lacking this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Great winter, see u chaps next winter. Thanks for letting me post in this forum. I'll be hanging out in the phl forum for severe and hurricane season. Peace. not so fast. at this rate there still may be threats into early april. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nightknights Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 As I said on like page 2 or 3 of this thread. Some of you guys are like bowling pins setting yourself up only to be knocked down again. 10 days out 2 ft then you actually believe it can happen when you only have. 0 to 5% chance of it happening then when reality sets in then it's arguing over models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 not so fast. at this rate there still may be threats into early april.maybe...and I'd be here for every one! :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsplex Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 not so fast. at this rate there still may be threats into early april. How many you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreeRain Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 It's totally Ace! Same negativity... Same posting style... lowercase lowercase then CAPS when he's making his downer point. The name fits, too. Good catch! LOL. Ace --> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 the canadian is really close to being good. (ive edited this 3 times). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 the canadian is really close to being good. (ive edited this 3 times). it gives a pretty nice storm to DC .. 6+ inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 How many you think? long range models have arctic intrusions well into april... fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 it gives a pretty nice storm to DC .. 6+ inches wxbell maps (fwiw) get about 3-4" as far north as staten island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYC Weather Lover Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 just saw that accuweather has updated their forecast to sunshine for monday. I think the 'nothing at all' solution seems likely at this point. Once again, my original gut was wrong. Yeah, we still have the morning runs, but I think the fat lady has almost made it to the stage at this point. On the bright side, I don't have to put the effort in to create a snow map . But I agree with most on this forum, If it's not going to snow, give me 70's and sunshine. Don't give me 20's but dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 wxbell maps (fwiw) get about 3-4" as far north as staten island.Perfect, so it will be even more painful as we watch Philly and south get nailed. I think it's over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 And to think I got beat up yesterday because I said this was going south as did Forky. It's toast. Time for some sudden stratospheric warming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Perfect, so it will be even more painful as we watch Philly and south get nailed. I think it's over. is there a reason your dismissive of the canadian? any shift north of its current depiction is a good hit for at least the city south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 is there a reason your dismissive of the canadian? any shift north of its current depiction is a good hit for at least the city south.I guess it's possible but the energy has to become significantly less sheared out and the PV weaker, to allow snow to make it here. The kicker out west is also a problem. I think too much has to go right for the time we have left. Philly south may be a different story. I'd give NYC a 15 percent chance or less at getting 3", and probably 30 percent chance at 1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 I guess it's possible but the energy has to become significantly less sheared out and the PV weaker, to allow snow to make it here. The kicker out west is also a problem. I think too much has to go right for the time we have left. Philly south may be a different story. I'd give NYC a 15 percent chance or less at getting 3", and probably 30 percent chance at 1". the 0z ggem gave me a glimmer of hope because it's improved over 12z, which as best as i could tell from the crappy map was a virtual wiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 long range models have arctic intrusions well into april... fwiw. There's still potential well into March because the EPO will be tanking and most of our best snow periods this winter have come with a -EPO so again wouldn't be shocked if we saw snow all the way into April. Wouldn't it be something if saw no snow this month but had a significant snow event for early April or something. Has that ever happened before. At least suppression would be less of a problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfer07840 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 There's still potential well into March because the EPO will be tanking and most of our best snow periods this winter have come with a -EPO so again wouldn't be shocked if we saw snow all the way into April. Wouldn't it be something if saw no snow this month but had a significant snow event for early April or something. Has that ever happened before. At least suppression would be less of a problem.As a golfer, I pray this cold air goes away. .Please no snow in April. I appreciate weather as much as the next guy; but enough is enough IMO Sent from my SCH-I545 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Maybe it will be "partly cloudy with a chance of meatballs". If it can't snow, we'll take anything else at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfer07840 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 just saw that accuweather has updated their forecast to sunshine for monday. I think the 'nothing at all' solution seems likely at this point. Once again, my original gut was wrong. Yeah, we still have the morning runs, but I think the fat lady has almost made it to the stage at this point. On the bright side, I don't have to put the effort in to create a snow map . But I agree with most on this forum, If it's not going to snow, give me 70's and sunshine. Don't give me 20's but dry. Interesting that NOAA hasn't backed off yet for NW NJ with a 1 to 3 inch prediction. The only difference from earlier today is they dropped from 90% to 70% Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Euro dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Fwiw, Ukie and Canadian get a couple of inches into NYC so the threat ain't completely dead yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm chaser Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 For a storm threat that is basically non existent and has been since the 12z runs yesterday. LOL The problem was it was less than 3 days before showtime and a couple models were steadfast on a big storm for 4 or 5 days so was a huge shift in wrong direction when12-18 hours before were still showing a big hit. this winter gets a B in my book the last two Tease Suppressed in-between one that went WAAAY far north only a couple days before were all letdowns. This winter could of ended Epic if Even one of those big solutions panned out of the 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 NAM trend south continues... further south than the Euro now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 NAM trend south continues... further south than the Euro now. Precip makes it into SNJ lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Congrats Virginia again lol. Twice in March, unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Congrats Virginia again lol. Twice in March, unreal. Nice snowstorm in the mid Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peregrinator Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 The GFS actually bumped north about 75 miles at 06z. Heh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 The GFS actually bumped north about 75 miles at 06z. Heh. Some pretty significant changes actually, so we may not be completely out of the woods just yet. If the confluence and PV is a bit further north/weaker than this could easily come further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 51 pages. Looked good through yesterday. But now its done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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