rsteff Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 The record snowfall for Central park on St Pats day is 3 inches in 1967 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 The 12z GGEM out 120h big storm for the Mid-Atlantic and SNE at least. More northern stream interaction. Out to 132hr, it actually in two waves. But still a major snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 The 12z GGEM out 120h big storm for the Mid-Atlantic and SNE at least. More northern stream interaction. For all the grief we've given the GGEM this year at times its done pretty damn well lately, especially with last mondays storm nailing it days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Interesting that the # 1 analog from CIPS for a neutral enso is the time period right around the March 8 -9th, 1984 storm which delivered close to 6 inches in the NYC metro http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/stats.php?reg=EC&model=GFS212&fhr=F120&flg= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 The 12z GGEM out 120h big storm for the Mid-Atlantic and SNE at least. More northern stream interaction. Out to 132hr, it actually in two waves. But still a major snowfall. Where do you see the GGEM out this early? I'm on 3 sites and none of them updated yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 NVM, Just saw it. Big snowfall for D.C - NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Where do you see the GGEM out this early? I'm on 3 sites and none of them updated yet. I have it on SV out to hour 87. It looks like the NAM so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 After seeing the GGEM I'm pretty convinced that the GFS is out to lunch here. How many times have we seen energy digging to Mexico City in March? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 NVM, Just saw it. Big snowfall for D.C - NYC. What 6" , 12"+? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 The Canadian is similar to the Euro ensembles with the progression and track of the system aloft and at the surface respectfully. On the northern envelope of those solutions but the Euro Ens were signaling this at 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 The great thing about the GGEM is that we get the big phase but the trough doesn't go negative tilt too early. This prevents a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Im assuming that even if this does fully phase and goes negative tilt at the right time with no blocking or very little its likely to be a fast mover no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 The great thing about the GGEM is that we get the big phase but the trough doesn't go negative tilt too early. This prevents a cutter. Will be hard to get a cutter with a 504dm PV lobe sitting over Southeast Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Will be hard to get a cutter with a 504dm PV lobe sitting over Southeast Canada. Well we would get a miller B in that case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 The 12z GEFS mean has come further north as well. Similar to the 0z Euro Ens mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Im assuming that even if this does fully phase and goes negative tilt at the right time with no blocking or very little its likely to be a fast mover no? As is tradition. VW FTW btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Hour 112 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 The 12z GEFS mean has come further north as well. Similar to the 0z Euro Ens mean. That's encouraging, I think the OP Euro may be a nice event for most. I know it's early but QPF on GGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 The GGEM ends up taking the surface low just north of where the Euro ensembles took it..also has a secondary wave behind the primary moisture slug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 By hour 115 pure bliss, crushing hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Nice hit on the CMC with the more robust vort energy cutting underneath without too much energy hanging back. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/CMC_12z/cmcloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Ends up being an broad upper level trough with tons of moisture and a strung out surface low along the baroclinic zone. Perfect setup for snow here if it's right. If it's right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 996mb off the Delmarva Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Ends up being an broad upper level trough with tons of moisture and a strung out surface low along the baroclinic zone. Perfect setup for snow here if it's right. If it's right. PDII ring a bell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 T minus 90 seconds until YanksFan compares this system to Presidents Day Edit: I was a little slow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 T minus 90 seconds until YanksFan compares this system to Presidents Day Edit: I was a little slow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 T minus 90 seconds until YanksFan compares this system to Presidents Day Edit: I was a little slow. Too late.....its already here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Wow, that's picture perfect for snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Hour 120, just keeps on going and going, feet of snow verbatim area wide. I'd pay a lot of money to have this play out as shown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 T minus 90 seconds until YanksFan compares this system to Presidents Day Edit: I was a little slow. I couldn't resist, yeah I know the GGEM is the only model showing this. What an epic hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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