Doorman Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 OPC 96hr surface cast Highlighted for Clarity Original http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/A_96hrbw.gif Canadian High 1032mb and creeping back north a bit -extrap- Atlantic High --Slides East First Wave ---dissipation marker (yellow) Second Wave at 996mb>>> on its way to the Benchmark (or very near it) Old School 1020mb line--- blue arrows aside from the slide east ....with the Atlantic High (Southeast Ridge) this looks like a very sweet set-up for the snow bunnies round here----IMHO---- qpf is not my game dm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 OPC 96hr surface cast Highlighted for Clarity Original http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/A_96hrbw.gif Canadian High 1032mb and creeping back north a bit -extrap- Atlantic High --Slides East First Wave ---dissipation marker (yellow) Second Wave at 996mb>>> on its way to the Benchmark (or very near it) Old School 1020mb line--- blue arrows aside from the slide east ....with the Atlantic High (Southeast Ridge) this looks like a very sweet set-up for the snow bunnies round here----IMHO---- qpf is not my game dm Hey. you got something against models? Great post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Is this true? It was my understanding that this is not the case. Look at the verification scores in the link I posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 SREFS still north. With a huge spread as well. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=087ℑ=data%2Fsref%2F21%2Fsref_namer_087_mslp.gif&model=sref&area=namer¶m=mslp&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20140313+21+UTC&imageSize=&ps=area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grandpaboy Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 OPC 96hr surface cast Highlighted for Clarity Original http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/A_96hrbw.gif Canadian High 1032mb and creeping back north a bit -extrap- Atlantic High --Slides East First Wave ---dissipation marker (yellow) Second Wave at 996mb>>> on its way to the Benchmark (or very near it) Old School 1020mb line--- blue arrows aside from the slide east ....with the Atlantic High (Southeast Ridge) this looks like a very sweet set-up for the snow bunnies round here----IMHO---- qpf is not my game dm Posted the very same thing.......................on the other side....... Love OPC maps...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 PV on the nam is a little further north through 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Good news? SLP driving north? p="1394763171"]PV on the nam is a little further north through 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/d3500wbg.gif Cosmites may mix in!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 lol the surface precip @ 60 is a perfect circle.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 PV still slightly north through 60, heights are a little higher too and more of a neutral tilt vs positive @ 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Looks like a major snowstorm for the Tri-State on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 The NAM 500 mb field looks spectacular to me through hour 60. Am I missing something? I would have expected more jubilation from the weenies in here, but I guess folks have learned their lesson wrt the NAM. Clean, robust phase and it doesn't look like much energy will be left behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 NAM so far looks great. The energy over the lower Plains looks to be about to phase by hr 60 and the PV looks to be lifting out somewhat as the precip organizes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 The NAM 500 mb field looks spectacular to me through hour 60. Am I missing something? I would have expected more jubilation from the weenies in here, but I guess folks have learned their lesson wrt the NAM. Clean, robust phase and it doesn't look like much energy will be left behind. The nam looks pretty sick at h5 but I never comment on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 The nam at the surface is just epic looking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 The nam at the surface is just epic looking the NAM at h5 looks epic.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Looks to be not holding as much energy back, compared to 18z. PV is a little more north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Good Lord this thing is juiced verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Yes, it looks absolutely incredible but yes, it is the NAM....so we must control ourselves Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Closed off at H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 The NAM at H5 is a MECS atleast from DC-NYC. Almost a perfectly timed full phase and surface reflection that looks amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 The NAM 500 mb field looks spectacular to me through hour 60. Am I missing something? I would have expected more jubilation from the weenies in here, but I guess folks have learned their lesson wrt the NAM. Clean, robust phase and it doesn't look like much energy will be left behind. NAM IS A MAJOR HIT SEVERAL INCHES EVERYWHERE OMG SNOW !!!! CREATING MY FIRST SNOW MAP AS WE SPEAK. HECS MASSIVE SNOW DRIFTS!!! ALERT!!! There? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 http://climate.cod.edu/data/forecast/NAM/00/US/namUS_500_avort_060.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Ya, the NAM is going to show a MECS or a HECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 NAM IS A MAJOR HIT SEVERAL INCHES EVERYWHERE OMG SNOW !!!! CREATING MY FIRST SNOW MAP AS WE SPEAK. HECS MASSIVE SNOW DRIFTS!!! ALERT!!! There? Joke ? Your first snowman based on the first amazing run of the NAM? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 The 60 hr panel is very interesting, it is increasing the odds for significant snow on the Lepruchan. I will wait for the 12 Z runs but I do think this one might happen. The upper level pattern looks much more promising and it is March with arctic air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 NAM IS A MAJOR HIT SEVERAL INCHES EVERYWHERE OMG SNOW !!!! CREATING MY FIRST SNOW MAP AS WE SPEAK. HECS MASSIVE SNOW DRIFTS!!! ALERT!!! There? Oh my. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 WOW lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Wish the NAM was the GFS because this is an AMAZING run, the 500mb ULL would still come north too and probably bury us....Good start to 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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