Allsnow Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 hr 87 1000 over OBX…light snow in the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 OMG. LOL WOW! HECS right there if Ive seen one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 HR 90 1004 heading ene from OBX….further se then 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 WOW! HECS right there if Ive seen one It has been consistent lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 That southern energy looks to be slower this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 It sucked dude. We were getting blasted with snow that night (had to be 3-4" hour rates) only to wake up in the AM with heavy, HEAVY sleet. All day, must have accumulated to over 12". About 60 mi north it was mostly snow, where they got 30"+. Are you sure you're not thinking of the March 1993 Superstorm, where a ton of sleet fell, holding accumulations in most of the immediate NYC area down to 10-14" vs. 24"+ where it was all snow? I live 30 miles SW of NYC and don't recall much if any sleet on 2/17/03 - thought the sleet was confined to Monmouth and south of there, as per Ray's archive... http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2003/17-Feb-03.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Hour 96 light to moderate snow continues. Light activity making it up to Boston and Binghamton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 The southern trailing energy should be booted OTS. Strong S/W dropping down through Idaho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 leaves a ton of energy behind which leads to light over running snows 1004 se of the bm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 The only real noticeable differences are that all the players appear to be a tad weaker. That, and the secondary energy is not nearly as amplified due to the kicker on the west coast and in some essence the front end energy dragging the baraclonic zone too far northeast. We need the southern energy to speed up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 The only real noticeable differences are that all the players appear to be a tad weaker. That, and the secondary energy is not nearly as amplified due to the kicker on the west coast and in some essence the front end energy dragging the baraclonic zone too far northeast. We need the southern energy to speed up. you should look again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 The only real noticeable differences are that all the players appear to be a tad weaker. That, and the secondary energy is not nearly as amplified due to the kicker on the west coast and in some essence the front end energy dragging the baraclonic zone too far northeast. We need the southern energy to speed up. everything was actually stronger, more amplified. Thats why there was an earlier phase and more digging @ H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 you should look again What do you mean? Second storm is beautiful, and OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 It looks like ~18 Euro ensemble members give NYC 6" or more from this event... 15 members for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 everything was actually stronger, more amplified. Thats why there was an earlier phase and more digging @ H5. I didn't see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Qpf actually not all that much less. Let's see if the ensembles are still good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 The QPF associated with the second low that misses us is 5"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 The QPF associated with the second low that misses us is 5"+. So what's total north to south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 The QPF associated with the second low that misses us is 5"+. What an absolute behemoth. That's going to hurt if it plays out that way. That midwestern low barreling down can kindly stuff it. Oh well... that second offshore (primary?) low is at our latitude at 132 hours, lots of time for changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Thanks Irish. I knew the EPO had a substantial influence on this winters cold air dump from the Arctic, but I thought as we approached the spring equinox it's influence would have been moderated slightly to permit southern stream storms more room for amplification. Cheers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 The QPF associated with the second low that misses us is 5"+.yes... in convection over the gulf stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 A SpongeBob Special on the 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 man if that secondary rounded the bend it would be a HUGE snowstorm for all and being mid march be that much more historic. some pretty good times coming up for 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 It would be nice if the other guidance moved to the UKMET solution of a more consolidated southern stream and deeper low moving further up the coast instead the energy hanging back with two waves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 It would be nice if the other guidance moved to the UKMET solution of a more consolidated southern stream and deeper low moving further up the coast instead the energy hanging back with two waves. Many (and by many I mean most) of the SREF members have a solution similar to this. Interesting to see the different ideas that the models are trying to key in on today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Most the Euro ensemble members favor the two low solution. But are also pretty robust with the first low. Some bring the second low further north too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Many (and by many I mean most) of the SREF members have a solution similar to this. Interesting to see the different ideas that the models are trying to key in on today. great trends regardless, but a more consolidated and powerful LP would really deliver the goods over a widespread area especially with the amount of energy this system "COULD" potentially tap into john. IMO it would really be a story book ending to a great and historic winter season for most of the area, for that reason im rooting this to really deliver the goods. couple things that worries me is what happens on the west coast. some of our big systems that were forecasted on the EC were screwed by a storm crashing into the west coast. also the shortwave through Idaho on the 18z as the storm is taking shape down south. to say this is a complex setup would be putting it extremely lightly and to this end this is why you can see how getting a CAT 4/5 NESIS where almost if not everything has to work in tandem in the atlantic and the pacific up into Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Many (and by many I mean most) of the SREF members have a solution similar to this. Interesting to see the different ideas that the models are trying to key in on today. On the srefs, what do the dark blue, orange and red colors represent on the sea level pressure maps? On the 15Z panel they are north of the low pressure area. edit: This is on the 72 hr. NCEP model guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Many (and by many I mean most) of the SREF members have a solution similar to this. Interesting to see the different ideas that the models are trying to key in on today. Do the SREFs have any value in this time frame? I keep reading theyre not used this far out... or shouldnt be... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 I think this will be suppressed. PV will overwhelm it it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.