tornadojay Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Good vibes.. my fellow N&W suburb peeps :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Zip 10952 (Rockland county), elevation 550ft, what do your think totals looking at? Hi neighbor. I live in Nanuet. If the EURO, NAM and SREFs are correct, I think 18 inches or so is a distinct possibility. It's close, because the cutoff on precip will be sharp, but we are not very far north and west of the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Zip 10952 (Rockland county), elevation 550ft, what do your think totals looking at? Rockland is gonna do very well with this. 20-24" possibly. Sit back and enjoy the show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Wut up jay! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycemt123 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Awesome, thank you tornado and sny for the info. Hidy-ho neighbor tornado! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Rockland is gonna do very well with this. 20-24" possibly. Sit back and enjoy the show Stop trying to jinx my damn snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Stop trying to jinx my damn snow Someone has to do it lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Wut up jay! hey.. what's going on... everyone pumped for this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Awesome, thank you tornado and sny for the info. Hidy-ho neighbor tornado! Lol no problem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Rockland is gonna do very well with this. 20-24" possibly. Sit back and enjoy the show Stop trying to jinx my damn snow I'll jinx it for you, I agree with the 20-24" call down there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 We need to stop watching models like its 2 days out, ITS SNOWING ENJOY! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Really can't believe the GFS crapped the bed. Final call is 4-5 inches at my house. NYC - 15 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rygar Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 That is not your final call Animal. That is a reverse jinx attempt! I'm all in for the idea though, 4-5 for me too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nick5892 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 What the hell... 4-5 inches here too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 That is not your final call Animal. That is a reverse jinx attempt! I'm all in for the idea though, 4-5 for me too. That is my final call. Tossing the extreme euro solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
christhesnowman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 That is my final call. Tossing the extreme euro solutions. the gfs is garbagio in general but especially within 36 hours, the two most reliable within 24 hours are euro and nam, and coincidently they offer the best solutions for most...also the trough is already tilting negative which the gfs modeling was a good 2 hours behind in its latest run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Enjoy the storm for what it is. If it doesn't work out, there will be another "historic" storm in a year or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
christhesnowman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Enjoy the storm for what it is. If it doesn't work out, there will be another "historic" storm in a year or two. me likes the way that looksa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Now lets see how close to the coast she tracks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Now lets see how close to the coast she tracks It is closing off a bit sooner. That might pull it in a bit tighter . We'll see. Looks like they are leaning towards a NAM/euro solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 It is closing off a bit sooner. That might pull it in a bit tighter . We'll see. Looks like they are leaning towards a NAM/euro solution. Yeah I noticed that as well.. We need this b**ch to get captured directly underneath LI.. Anything E of MTP will result in huge totals for CT & LI and alot of disappointment for those W of the Hudson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Will take down in a few Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Consensus pretty much developing that the good dynamics make it as far as NYC and possibly the eastern side of the Hudson Valley, though this is debatable looking at the guidance as a whole. Also, every model shows a deformation band in either western (or some cases central) CT. Given the fickle nature of banding, I would say that we are all still in the game for decent totals out of this. Thankfully, I don't think any of us expected 2-3 feet to begin with, so that should help ease the sting of 10"+ of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Consensus pretty much developing that the good dynamics make it as far as NYC and possibly the eastern side of the Hudson Valley, though this is debatable looking at the guidance as a whole. Also, every model shows a deformation band in either western (or some cases central) CT. Given the fickle nature of banding, I would say that we are all still in the game for decent totals out of this. Thankfully, I don't think any of us expected 2-3 feet to begin with, so that should help ease the sting of 10"+ of snow. The euro has cut my Qpf total is half in 24 hours. Amazing.(king euro) Hopefully I clean up with snow ratios. Best guess now if 5-8 inches of snow in my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Not thrilled to see another eastward shift with the QPF contours but at this point I'm just going to watch the storm take shape and see where the band of doom sets up. I still wouldn't count out some 24" totals between the Hudson and the CT border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Consensus pretty much developing that the good dynamics make it as far as NYC and possibly the eastern side of the Hudson Valley, though this is debatable looking at the guidance as a whole. Also, every model shows a deformation band in either western (or some cases central) CT. Given the fickle nature of banding, I would say that we are all still in the game for decent totals out of this. Thankfully, I don't think any of us expected 2-3 feet to begin with, so that should help ease the sting of 10"+ of snow. Anyone who was expecting 2-3 feet really needs to take a step back and work on their expectations IMO but I know its easy to get carried away in these 'virtual snowstorms'. I'm just looking for a double digit snowfall, of course the higher the better though ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 My totals drop between this euro and the 00z are only .4"qpf.. Granted that could be 6+" in still in the 18-24" snowfall range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 What were you 24 hours ago. I went from around 2.2 inches of QPF to around 1.1. ast nights 00z I'm around 1.7-1.9"Today I'm between 1.4-1.5" qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I labeled the above post wrong... Top pic is today bottom is last nights 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 What were you 24 hours ago. I went from around 2.2 inches of QPF to around 1.1. 24 hours ago I was over 2 but that was yesterday's 12z that ha slower Hudson valley and Manhattan in the sweet spot, I never expected that to verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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