snywx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 How did the euro ensemble look? Members were east or west? What is the mean precip looking like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I guess I'm more referring to the areas where Upton is forecasting widespread 24-36". It just seems high to me based off what I'm seeing. But it will be a dynamic storm, no doubt, and I suspect they are forecasting off of the dynamics and not just the modeled QPF. Btw, Albany going with 14:1 or 15:1 snow ratios. I wouldn't be surprised if some of us up here, especially higher elevations, saw 20:1 in the overnight Monday and early morning Tuesday hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 How did the euro ensemble look? Members were east or west? What is the mean precip looking like? Most members were in line with op, a tick west I believe but nothing significant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 1.50" of LE with ratios of 15:1 would still yield close to 2'.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 We are so close to a blizzard warning we might as well call it a blizzard for the entire mid Hudson Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 We are so close to a blizzard warning we might as well call it a blizzard for the entire mid Hudson Valley. I was actually surprised when I found out orange was in one before, didnt think those winds would make it up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Who mods this page? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 25, 2015 Author Share Posted January 25, 2015 lol, 18z GFS is even worse than 12z. Kingston gets almost nothing, around .5" for KPOU. We ride the Euro into battle. We will find out what model is right. Euro/UK vs. every other model. No matter how you size it, this is going to be a big storm. Afternoon euro was just pure weather porn again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 We will find out what model is right. Euro/UK vs. every other model. No matter how you size it, this is going to be a big storm. Afternoon euro was just pure weather porn again. Euro, ukie. Nam, srefs, and almost all ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 The oz nam run tonight , I am really pumped up for it. Not sure if it will deflate the balloon in my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I am excited but also very curious to see how all this is going to play out! Amazing turn of events the last few days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmyB Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 When was the last time there was a blizzard here? I'm not trying to be a jerk, I'm genuinely curious..I know it doesn't snow in feet here very often, I'd like to hear some history, your stories, etc..Last year was my first winter in Rockland and this is my first blizzard here (I was in Massachusetts for the 2013 blizzard.)If this is the wrong thread for this, I apologize.. and thanks in advance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 My call for 5 specific locations... MGJ-- 19" SWF-- 21" POU-- 22" FWN--18" HPN-- 25" My location -- 18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Who mods this page? I've been dropping by here this evening....is there something I can help you with? When was the last time there was a blizzard here? I'm not trying to be a jerk, I'm genuinely curious.. I know it doesn't snow in feet here very often, I'd like to hear some history, your stories, etc.. Last year was my first winter in Rockland and this is my first blizzard here (I was in Massachusetts for the 2013 blizzard.) If this is the wrong thread for this, I apologize.. and thanks in advance Enjoy your blizzard Aimz I'm sooooo jealous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 You guys probably saw it, but an NWS Upton forecaster just commented in the storm thread about their totals. Interesting read. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45501-hecs-january-26-27-2015-12z-and-18z-suites-and-discussions/?p=3295581 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 When was the last time there was a blizzard here? I'm not trying to be a jerk, I'm genuinely curious.. I know it doesn't snow in feet here very often, I'd like to hear some history, your stories, etc.. Last year was my first winter in Rockland and this is my first blizzard here (I was in Massachusetts for the 2013 blizzard.) If this is the wrong thread for this, I apologize.. and thanks in advance It's ok.. No need to apologize. Actually the lower to mid Hudson valley recieves storms that deliver 1-2' quite often. Within the last 15 yrs we have averaged 1-2 a yr. not sure if you know but areas just to your north in the Hudson highlands average 50-55" a season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I've been dropping by here this evening....is there something I can help you with? Enjoy your blizzard Aimz I'm sooooo jealous I was just curious cause I had a post on here earlier that got deleted but u explained yourself in the other forum, my apologies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I was just curious cause I had a post on here earlier that got deleted but u explained yourself in the other forum, my apologies No problem Enjoy your blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmyB Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I've been dropping by here this evening....is there something I can help you with? Enjoy your blizzard Aimz I'm sooooo jealous Thanks, Shellz! Sorry you couldn't be here, but maybe next time around I'll have sleeping quarters set up and ready! It's ok.. No need to apologize. Actually the lower to mid Hudson valley recieves storms that deliver 1-2' quite often. Within the last 15 yrs we have averaged 1-2 a yr. not sure if you know but areas just to your north in the Hudson highlands average 50-55" a season. Ok, so this is not as rare as I thought! The way folks around here are talking is like this happens once every 50 years or something! I knew Rockland averaged 30-35" a season. Last year we had quite a bit of snow, and I think once storm I measured 15" (I don't remember, just know if was in February.) I knew north of here got lots of snow.. I wasn't sure how often it happened down this way. This is cool though, it's definitely a treat to have two blizzards in 2 years time.. I was way too young to remember and appreciate 1978 (was about 1.5 years old then) and really remember 2013 well. Thank you much! I appreciate this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Those comment threads on the "Hudson Valley Weather" page on facebook are unreadable... scores of people moaning and complaining about the snow. I'll never understand how someone can live at 40N their whole life and still b**ch about winter weather every single year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Those comment threads on the "Hudson Valley Weather" page on facebook are unreadable... scores of people moaning and complaining about the snow. I'll never understand how someone can live at 40N their whole life and still b**ch about winter weather every single year! Hudson valley weather has been very accurate and down to earth with this forcast however, informing people of the "potential" as soon as it became obvious, instead of downplaying till its was lock like the rest of the mediologist..(misspell intended) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Thanks, Shellz! Sorry you couldn't be here, but maybe next time around I'll have sleeping quarters set up and ready! Ok, so this is not as rare as I thought! The way folks around here are talking is like this happens once every 50 years or something! I knew Rockland averaged 30-35" a season. Last year we had quite a bit of snow, and I think once storm I measured 15" (I don't remember, just know if was in February.) I knew north of here got lots of snow.. I wasn't sure how often it happened down this way. This is cool though, it's definitely a treat to have two blizzards in 2 years time.. I was way too young to remember and appreciate 1978 (was about 1.5 years old then) and really remember 2013 well. Thank you much! I appreciate this! Well a storm of this magnitude is rare period but we do cash in on 12"+ storms quite often. There are a few towns located in SE Orange County that we consider the snow belt of the tri-state. Elevation as well as proximity tend to favor that area trenendously. We have plenty of ppl in this sub forum who are knowledgeable with our local climate. Don't be afraid to ask! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I want to camp out on the ridge overlooking woodbury commons for this storm. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I want to camp out on the ridge overlooking woodbury commons for this storm. Lol That's exactly where my firehouse is!!! When I say West Point that's my location lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 alright. what's everyone think the nam will do? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 alright. what's everyone think the nam will do? I call a bomb... Just saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 My call for 5 specific locations... MGJ-- 19" SWF-- 21" POU-- 22" FWN--18" HPN-- 25" My location -- 18" White Plains over to Danbury always seems to do well in these setups. Probably a good call for a local jackpot zone. SREF mean came down to earth some on this run. 1.2" for Poughkeepsie (from 1.6"). A little bit less consensus too. I think we are going to see the Euro follow suit and shift a bit east tonight. I wish the storm would just start, this model watching stresses me out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 alright. what's everyone think the nam will do? Annihilate the entire eastern seaboard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmyB Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Well a storm of this magnitude is rare period but we do cash in on 12"+ storms quite often. There are a few towns located in SE Orange County that we consider the snow belt of the tri-state. Elevation as well as proximity tend to favor that area trenendously. We have plenty of ppl in this sub forum who are knowledgeable with our local climate. Don't be afraid to ask! my in-laws were talking about 287 Friday night and how one side was dry and the other was completely snow covered.. they said it seemed that the highway was a dividing line.. They are from the city and moved to Spring Valley in the late 60's.. it was cool hearing them talk about snow and weather and getting their perspective, though they were pretty short on details! From what I'm gathering is Orange County is like the Worcester hills.. no matter how much we all got, Worcester cashes in a little more! I want to camp out on the ridge overlooking woodbury commons for this storm. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 That's exactly where my firehouse is!!! When I say West Point that's my location lol That's the one on 293? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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