Animal Posted December 10, 2014 Author Share Posted December 10, 2014 How in the world can U still have ice on trees with temp above freezing all day. I'm not saying u are lying but ice melts rather quickly on trees once above 32 and especially since u are way above at. 35 That is what I was wondering. If you are outside you can hear that crackling noise in the trees. Ice still on deck, driveway, grass is frozen too with ice. Spare car was still coated in ice that was outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Upton latest map.. 2-4" for many up here Only exception looks to be the low-lying areas where 1-2" fall. The 2-4" swaths are basically the Hudson Highlands and the Gunks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 The 2-4" swaths are basically the Hudson Highlands and the Gunks. Exactly.. What lies in between are the low lands surrounding the Walkill river Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 You think we will get snow accums tomorrow? I wouldn't be surprised with some in the hills, but I think any snow in the valley would not be enough to accumulate. Tomorrow night into Thursday may be the period, if any, that we get an inch or possibly two. But as sny said, fickle setup and it will probably come down to nowcasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 How in the world can U still have ice on trees with temp above freezing all day. I'm not saying u are lying but ice melts rather quickly on trees once above 32 and especially since u are way above at. 35I got home in Harriman just before dark and all the trees were cased in ice as well as my deck and to some et_ent my driveway. It was 33 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Skies have cleared out here lol... Moon is out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Skies have cleared out here lol... Moon is out! dry slotted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 21z Sref Mean POU: 3.04" MSV: 5.45" HPN: 1.76" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 dry slotted? We all have been dry slotted for the past few hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Rather easy to find the COC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
itsdnice Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 From FB.. US National Weather Service Binghamton NY The snowstorm is NOT over yet. The initial shot of heavy snow that we anticipated earlier today developed farther north and east of central NY and northeast PA and hence snow lovers are disappointed and many are questioning the forecasts, w...hich is expected. But looking at the 2 images below, there is an upper level low developing over the Carolinas this evening. This upper level low will move north up the coast and re-energize the snowstorm and finally bring heavier snows to central NY and much of northeast PA later tonight, Wednesday and Wednesday night. So we urge folks to be prepared and not write this storm off just yet. See images below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 10, 2014 Author Share Posted December 10, 2014 Maybe I reviewed the wrong 0 z nam run. Looked like a shut out for snow for most people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Maybe I reviewed the wrong 0 z nam run. Looked like a shut out for snow for most people. Not really... It gives us roughly 24-36 hrs of flurries/lgt snow This is officially a nowcast event, especially with how poorly all models have done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 fwiw 0z rgem looks ok for areas north of the NY/NJ border. Gives us an extended period of lgt/mod snow starting in the morning.. Maybe 1-3, 2-4" event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 fwiw 0z rgem looks ok for areas north of the NY/NJ border. Gives us an extended period of lgt/mod snow starting in the morning.. Maybe 1-3, 2-4" event OKX thoughts AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 811 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2014 .SYNOPSIS... LOW PRESSURE JUST EAST OF LONG ISLAND WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY DRIFT INTO NEW ENGLAND THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN SLOWLY FOR THE WEEKEND. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/... LOW PRESSURE...JUST E OF MONTAUK EARLY THIS EVE...WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVERNIGHT. LINGERING LIGHT RAIN DRYING UP OVER THE AREA AND THINK IT WILL REMAIN MOSTLY DRY UNTIL SHORTWAVE PIVOTS AROUND THE UPPER LOW LATE TONIGHT. HAVE DECREASED POPS DOWN TO LOW CHC/SCHC RANGE UNTIL THEN AND THEN RAMP THEM BACK UP TO LIKELY/CAT AROUND 9Z. ACTIVITY IS POINTING TOWARDS DEVELOPING SOMEWHERE IN THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA SO THESE LOCATIONS HAVE THE HIGHEST POPS. IN TERMS OF WINTRY PRECIP...LATEST HRRR/RUC SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT IT MAY TAKE UNTIL AFT MIDNIGHT FOR COLUMN TO COOL ENOUGH FOR A CHANGEOVER BACK TO SNOW. BUT EVEN THEN BOUNDARY LAYER MAY BE A BIT WARM. UNCERTAINTY EXISTS WITH TIMING AND QPF AMOUNTS...DUE TO DYNAMIC COOLING POTENTIAL UNDER UPPER LOW AND BACKSIDE DEFORMATION BANDING. THINKING THAT MOST LIKELY IS LESS THAN AN INCH OF WET SNOW ACCUM OVERNIGHT...WITH LOW END POTENTIAL FOR 2 TO 3 INCHES. WILL HOLD OFF ON WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY DUE TO THIS UNCERTAINTY...BUT WILL BE WATCHED. WINDS HAVE DECREASED WITH LLJ WEAKENING SO WIND ADVSY WAS CANCELLED. FLOOD WATCH ALSO CANCELLED WITH HEAVY RAIN OUT OF THE REGION. SEE HYDRO SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. WIDESPREAD MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD THREAT HAS COME TO AN END. SEE TIDES AND COASTAL FLOOD SECTIONS FOR LOCALIZED MINOR THREAT WITH TONIGHT AND TOMORROW HIGH TIDE CYCLE. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... THE SURFACE LOW DRIFTS INTO SE NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH UPPER LOW DRIFTS NORTH UP THE HUDSON RIVER VALLEY. COLD POOL INSTABILITY AND CYCLONIC FLOW UNDER THE STACKING LOW WILL RESULT IN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE BANDS OF PRECIP ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW WED THROUGH WED NIGHT. HAVE LEANED TOWARDS THE CONSENSUS ECMWF/GFS THERMO PROFILES...WHICH SUPPORT CONTINUED COLUMN COOLING ON THE BACKSIDE OF SURFACE LOW AND UNDER UPPER LOW DURING THE DAY WED ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. THIS SHOULD TRANSITION PRECIP FROM RAIN/SNOW TO SNOW THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO EVENING...CONTINUING INTO OVERNIGHT. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME PERIOD...BUT CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO ISSUE AN ADVISORY FOR LATE SECOND PERIOD/THIRD PERIOD EVENT. TRANSITION CLOSER TO THE COASTAL PLAIN WILL BE SLOWER...BUT EVEN THE COAST COULD SE A DUSTING OF SNOW WED NIGHT. OTHERWISE...CLOUDY...BREEEZY AND COOL CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD...WITH HIGHS SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW SEASONABLE. LOWS WED NIGHT GENERALLY UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 NWS..NY metropolitan enhanced aviation weather support: Detailed information...including hourly taf wind component forecasts canbe found at: http:/www.Erh.NOAA.Gov/zny/n90 (lower case)Kjfk fcster comments: rain could mix with or change to snow soonerthan forecast Wednesday afternoon.Klga fcster comments: rain could mix with or change to snow soonerthan forecast Wednesday afternoon.Kewr fcster comments: rain could mix with or change to snow soonerthan forecast Wednesday afternoon.Kteb fcster comments: rain could mix with or change to snow soonerthan forecast Wednesday afternoon.Khpn fcster comments: rain could mix with or change to snow soonerthan forecast Wednesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 The 4km NAM and the HRRR (though not necessarily in it's range) show some accumulating snow developing across the morning/early afternoon as well. Maybe we'll have some positive busts for some of you guys to help even things out a little! fwiw 0z rgem looks ok for areas north of the NY/NJ border. Gives us an extended period of lgt/mod snow starting in the morning.. Maybe 1-3, 2-4" event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 0z RGEM Snowmap... 3-6" widespread for the HV.. Loving the snow hole in Kingston though lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sn0w Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 0z RGEM Snowmap... 3-6" widespread for the HV.. Loving the snow hole in Kingston though lol Do you know when it shows the main period of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 As of 5z both 850mb temps & 925mb temps are below 0c.. Anything that falls now should be snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Albany: THE 03Z 3KM HRRR AND OUR HIRES WRF...ALONG WITH OTHER GUIDANCESUCH AS THE NAM12 AND GFS40...ALL SUGGEST THAT ADDITIONAL AREAS OFPRECIP WILL BLOSSOM OVER OUR AREA LATER IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.THIS MAKES SENSE CONSIDERING THE NEARBY LARGE SCALE FORCING...ANDTHE DEEPER CLOUD COVER EXPECTED TO TWIRL INTO OUR REGION AROUNDTHE UPPER LEVEL LOW. AS A RESULT...WILL KEEP POPS HIGH THROUGH THEENTIRE REGION OVERNIGHT...WITH HIGHEST POPS FOR NORTHERN/WESTERNAREAS BASED ON CURRENT RADAR. PTYPE IS STARTING TO TREND MORETOWARDS SNOW...BUT IN AREAS WHERE THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS STILLABOVE FREEZING...SOME RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED. CANNOT TOTALLY RULEOUT SOME SLEET ACROSS WESTERN NEW ENGLAND AS WELL...AS MODELSOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO SHOW A WARM NOSE. HOWEVER...THIS WARM AIRALOFT WILL BE DIMINISHING TOWARDS DAYBREAK...AS THE COLD AIRSTARTS TO DEEPEN OVERHEAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WIN Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Flurries at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Radar looks anemic so far. Hope that changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Even the rain was underwhelming with .89" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 10, 2014 Author Share Posted December 10, 2014 Let's see what Rd 2 can do today if anyhting. Mt Holly NWS & Upton NWS seem to feel that 1-3 inches is possible in certain areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 10, 2014 Author Share Posted December 10, 2014 Radar looks anemic so far. Hope that changes. Apparently there is going to be some sort of upper level low that moves through the area. In the past I have seen some epic snow bands form in small areas over the years with these set ups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Apparently there is going to be some sort of upper level low that moves through the area. In the past I have seen some epic snow bands form in small areas over the years with these set ups. Remember that big noreaster that we had yesterday? The left over mid-level centers are nearbye. That's our source of lift. You can see the 700mb frontogenisis fairly close to where the strongest bands are currently forming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Let's see what Rd 2 can do today if anyhting. Mt Holly NWS & Upton NWS seem to feel that 1-3 inches is possible in certain areas. I counted 17 flakes just now, the most I've seen so far...I'm hoping for at least some mood flakes this afternoon into the evening. If anything begins to stick after dark I'll consider that a bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Let's see what Rd 2 can do today if anyhting. Mt Holly NWS & Upton NWS seem to feel that 1-3 inches is possible in certain areas. The short term models have precip filling in over the next 2-3 hours and persisting off and on throughout the day, looks like a coating to 2" or 1-3" type deal for most of us. The 6z RGEM develops a bit heavier batch of snow later this evening and gives many of us a bit more. At the least, should be fun to see what happens today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 10, 2014 Author Share Posted December 10, 2014 Wife informs me light snow at the house currently in Highland Lakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.