snywx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 2 hour school delay for my kids here School closed here for mine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
itsdnice Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Rt 17 is closed up by me exit 109 .. Multiple car accidents , tractor trailer flipped over .. its a like a scene from a movie just looking at it all.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEC Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Rt 17 is closed up by me exit 109 .. Multiple car accidents , tractor trailer flipped over .. its a like a scene from a movie just looking at it all.. I heard there was a fatality in that accident. Some reports of even police cars ending up in ditches on the side of the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Looks pretty good...with the 6z NAM trying to cancel the snowstorm Id take 2-4" and run...although Ive got a feeling it will be a little higher than that. 29/24 here...holding the cold air pretty well. He has me getting 4-8" with the 8" line nearby.. No way in hell lol. Many of us will be lucky to see 1-2" let alone 8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
itsdnice Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 I heard there was a fatality in that accident. Some reports of even police cars ending up in ditches on the side of the road. I can believe it ..there was a small red car that looked like it was crushed from the tractor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEC Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 I can believe it ..there was a small red car that looked like it was crushed from the tractor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Ice is the pits. Luckily it's inching above 32F and the water seems to be having a harder time freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...THE STRONG COASTAL LOW BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY AROUND LI THISEVENING INTO WED...WITH THE LOW BECOMING OCCLUDED AND STACKED ONWED. THERE WILL LIKELY BE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF LIGHT TOOCCASIONALLY MODERATE PCPN ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW THROUGH THU.THERMO PROFILES SUPPORT A TRANSITION OVER TO A SNOW OR A RAIN/SNOWMIX IN THE INTERIOR TONIGHT WITH POSSIBILITY OF MINOR SNOWACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY....SPECIFICALLYWESTERN ORANGE COUNTY. BOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS LOOK WARM ENOUGHON WED FOR A TRANSITION BACK TO RAIN OR A MIX NORTH AND WEST OFNYC. ELSEWHERE...IT LOOKS TO BE MAINLY RAIN WITH A TRANSITION TOSNOW WED NIGHT. THE 00Z ECMWF IS A BIT COLDER WITH ITS THERMOPROFILES...BUT ONCE AGAIN THIS APPEARS TO MORE OF BOUNDARY LAYERISSUE THAN ANYTHING. THERE IS ALWAYS A CAVEAT AND THAT IS BEINGUNDER THE UPPER LOW WITH ENHANCED LIFT AND VERTICAL COOLING. THISWILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY IN SUBSEQUENT MODEL CYCLES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Ice is the pits. Luckily it's inching above 32F and the water seems to be having a harder time freezing. Ice wasn't much of an issue in my neck of the woods. There was a solid coating on everything but I reached 32 around 8am so its been plain rain for a couple of hours now. Roads were slushy on the ride in but some untreated surfaces were a bit slick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Ice wasn't much of an issue in my neck of the woods. There was a solid coating on eveything but I reached 32 around 8am so its been plain rain for a couple of hours now. Roads were slushy on the ride in but some untreated surfaces were a bit slick. Confined primarily to areas of elevation. My kids school district ( Minisink Valley) is closed while city of Middletown schools are open. Temp still 32.0f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Confined primarily to areas of elevation. My kids school district ( Minisink Valley) is closed while city of Middletown schools are open. Temp still 32.0f "Do you even know where Hunter Mountain is?" LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 "Do you even know where Hunter Mountain is?" LOL He's probably 14. He's been a member for almost a year and only has 33 posts, but for some reason feels the need to post mindless banter and rapidly increase his average posts per day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 "Do you even know where Hunter Mountain is?" LOL He mentioned it as if it was in SNE. He obviously didn't have a clue lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 He mentioned it as if it was in SNE. He obviously didn't have a clue lol.. There are way too many of those on this board these days... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 12z RGEM.. 5pm tomorrow Does this image bring back any memories? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 12z RGEM.. 5pm tomorrow Does this image bring back any memories? That would be fun. The 12z NAM is still spitting out about 2" of snow for overnight wed into thurs am at KSWF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Man if this rain was snow...... Hoping for some white tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 9, 2014 Author Share Posted December 9, 2014 Man if this rain was snow...... Hoping for some white tomorrow. Freezing rain up to Albany, NY and out Mt. Pocono. Where is the big snow that was forecasted..... Check out DT's map. Storms not over yet but not looking very prominsing for the heavy, heavy snows. Hopefully most people can still scrape together a few inches late tonight into tomorrow. Not sure if that even occurs at this point. Best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 BL and available moisture is going to be critical tomorrow. Today saw mid and upper thermals warmer than progged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Freezing rain up to Albany, NY and out Mt. Pocono. Where is the big snow that was forecasted..... Check out DT's map. Storms not over yet but not looking very prominsing for the heavy, heavy snows. Hopefully most people can still scrape together a few inches late tonight into tomorrow. Not sure if that even occurs at this point. Best I'm at my house near Lake George and its mostly liquid unless it gets intense and flips over for a few minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 32.7F and pouring... this was very close to being a crippling ice storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 32.7F and pouring... this was very close to being a crippling ice storm Perhaps but I think the heavier rainfall rates would have limited ice accretion, at least on trees and powerlines but the ground would have been a different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 I can only imagine what a board like this would have been like during the lull of the 80's when what we have today was basically winter for a number of years. How many melt downs will occur in the main thread by this time tomorrow if there aren't any flakes in the air... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 I can only imagine what a board like this would have been like during the lull of the 80's when what we have today was basically winter for a number of years. How many melt downs will occur in the main thread by this time tomorrow if there aren't any flakes in the air... Its amazing how spoiled some of these kids are now. They actually expect at least 1 major event a season lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NepaJames8602 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Binghamton 1 pm update, OUCH.. .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...1 PM UPDATE...SFC LOPRES HAS DROPPED DOWN TO NR 1000MB AS IT SPINS OFF THE JERSEYSHORE. MODERATE TO HVY PCPN IS ONGOING ACRS ERN HALF OF CWA ASEXPECTED BUT THERMAL PROFILES ARE TOO WARM FOR SNOW. SOME HIGHERELEVATION SITES ARE STILL RIGHT AT OR BLO FRZG AS OF 17Z WITH -FZRAFALLING AT THESE LOCATIONS AND HEARING ABOUT NUMEROUS MOTOR VEHICLEACCIDENTS.PCPN HAS ESSENTIALLY HIT A BRICK WALL AT THE I-81 CORRIDOR AND NOTEXPECTING THIS TO MV MUCH FURTHER EAST THAN WHERE IT CURRENTLY ISNOW UNTIL AFT 00Z. DEFORMATION BAND THAT THE MODELS WERE INSISTENTWUD ROTATE WEST THRU THE EVNG HRS IS NOW LOOKING TO BE A FRACTUREDBAND OF MIXED PCPN.H9 TEMPS PER LATEST RUC MODEL INDICATING BLYR TEMPS RMNG ISOTHERMALTHRU 21Z THIS AFTN AND VRY SLOWLY DROPPING BYND THIS TIME. EXPECT AMIXED BAG THRU BULK OF THE OVRNGT FOR SXNS EAST OF I-81 WITH CLD AIRBEING PULLED IN FM THE WEST. ANOTHER WV FCST TO MV THRU NRN ZONESAFT 06Z TONIGHT AND WITH MOISTURE FM LK ADDED IN EXPECT SVRL INCHESOF SNOW TO FALL ACRS THE FINGER LKS BY 12Z. STORM TOTAL SNOWFALLTHRU THE OVRNGT IS NOW LOOKING TO BE MEAGER WITH A GNRL INCH OR TWOACRS THE BULK OF THE AREA AND POSSIBLY 2-4 INCHES IN HIGHERELEVATIONS OF SUSQUEHANNA REGION. WL DRASTICALLY BE REDUCING SNOWTOTALS FOR THIS EVENT AND WL ALLOW LATER SHIFTS TO MAKE DECISION ONWHETHER TO CANCEL OR DROP WARNINGS DOWN TO ADVISORY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Binghamton 1 pm update, OUCH.. .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... 1 PM UPDATE... SFC LOPRES HAS DROPPED DOWN TO NR 1000MB AS IT SPINS OFF THE JERSEY SHORE. MODERATE TO HVY PCPN IS ONGOING ACRS ERN HALF OF CWA AS EXPECTED BUT THERMAL PROFILES ARE TOO WARM FOR SNOW. SOME HIGHER ELEVATION SITES ARE STILL RIGHT AT OR BLO FRZG AS OF 17Z WITH -FZRA FALLING AT THESE LOCATIONS AND HEARING ABOUT NUMEROUS MOTOR VEHICLE ACCIDENTS. PCPN HAS ESSENTIALLY HIT A BRICK WALL AT THE I-81 CORRIDOR AND NOT EXPECTING THIS TO MV MUCH FURTHER EAST THAN WHERE IT CURRENTLY IS NOW UNTIL AFT 00Z. DEFORMATION BAND THAT THE MODELS WERE INSISTENT WUD ROTATE WEST THRU THE EVNG HRS IS NOW LOOKING TO BE A FRACTURED BAND OF MIXED PCPN. H9 TEMPS PER LATEST RUC MODEL INDICATING BLYR TEMPS RMNG ISOTHERMAL THRU 21Z THIS AFTN AND VRY SLOWLY DROPPING BYND THIS TIME. EXPECT A MIXED BAG THRU BULK OF THE OVRNGT FOR SXNS EAST OF I-81 WITH CLD AIR BEING PULLED IN FM THE WEST. ANOTHER WV FCST TO MV THRU NRN ZONES AFT 06Z TONIGHT AND WITH MOISTURE FM LK ADDED IN EXPECT SVRL INCHES OF SNOW TO FALL ACRS THE FINGER LKS BY 12Z. STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THRU THE OVRNGT IS NOW LOOKING TO BE MEAGER WITH A GNRL INCH OR TWO ACRS THE BULK OF THE AREA AND POSSIBLY 2-4 INCHES IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SUSQUEHANNA REGION. WL DRASTICALLY BE REDUCING SNOW TOTALS FOR THIS EVENT AND WL ALLOW LATER SHIFTS TO MAKE DECISION ON WHETHER TO CANCEL OR DROP WARNINGS DOWN TO ADVISORY. Wow.. I think most of us saw this coming this morning. Its tough to find any report of snow throughout the northeast lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 9, 2014 Author Share Posted December 9, 2014 Wow.. I think most of us saw this coming this morning. Its tough to find any report of snow throughout the northeast lol What a kick in the nutz. Makes me feel some what better. I assume it was okay to type that too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 What a kick in the nutz. Makes me feel some what better. I assume it was okay to type that too. Supposedly as per SV maps ( which are very conservative) give some parts of the area anywhere from 2-6".. Considering how bad it has performed with this storm I'm gonna assume it won't happen lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 What makes me chuckle too that in light of the fact of what has happened thus far with this storm there are people are trying to analyze the weather for Christmas week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NepaJames8602 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 It's still a kick in the balls. I had high hopes that my area would still make out well, I felt I was just far enough west to get into that deformation banding overnight into tomorrow. It sucks to go from a winter storm warning for 6-12, to possibly an inch or two. However, vast majority of models were far to erratic with this setup. It was hard to put stock into anything, it was a high bust potential event from the start, and far too warm to boot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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