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Winter Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - 2014


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Sad to say it, but I think my rink is DOA. I was holding out hope that these few days would bring it back to life, but I think the sun angle is just too much. I will give it one more shot in the morning after a cold night tonight.

Anyone think some of us might be in for a little snowy surprise on Sunday? So much for the well advertised warmup!

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10.6F last night, but it's amazing how the temp can rebound 20 degrees in the first couple hours after sunrise this time of year.

 

I just wish we would start making a bit more headway into spring. The occasional warmup has been just enough to turn everything muddy and provoke thoughts of greenery and warmth before we get a few frigid nights to ensure nothing can dry out or start growing. Feels like we take one step up and two steps back with this season, and we don't even have any snow to show for it. meh.

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Good day all,

 

Taking a look at the most recent NAM/GFS runs, it looks as if we get 2-3 inches of rain Saturday into Monday,

Mt Holly NWS & Upton NWS both mention that temps may cool enough to produce a mix late Saturday night into Sunday.

Upton even mentions some snow.

Should be an interesting storm.

 

Best

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Good day all,

 

Taking a look at the most recent NAM/GFS runs, it looks as if we get 2-3 inches of rain Saturday into Monday,

Mt Holly NWS & Upton NWS both mention that temps may cool enough to produce a mix late Saturday night into Sunday.

Upton even mentions some snow.

Should be an interesting storm.

 

Best

06Z NAM comes in with about 0.75 of ZR for KSWF.

 

140331/0300Z 69 01019KT 31.9F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.01|| 0.006 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.01|| 0.11 0| 0|100

140331/0400Z 70 36018KT 31.5F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.03|| 0.026 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.03|| 0.13 0| 0|100

140331/0500Z 71 36018KT 31.4F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.04|| 0.039 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.07|| 0.17 0| 0|100

140331/0600Z 72 36018KT 31.4F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.03|| 0.031 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.11|| 0.20 0| 0|100

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

140331/0700Z 73 36017KT 30.3F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.07|| 0.069 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.18|| 0.27 0| 0|100

140331/0800Z 74 36017KT 30.1F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.05|| 0.052 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.23|| 0.32 0| 0|100

140331/0900Z 75 36016KT 30.6F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.03|| 0.031 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.26|| 0.35 0| 0|100

140331/1000Z 76 36016KT 30.6F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.03|| 0.027 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.29|| 0.38 0| 0|100

140331/1100Z 77 36015KT 30.1F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.08|| 0.072 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.37|| 0.45 0| 0|100

140331/1200Z 78 36015KT 30.8F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.16|| 0.152 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.53|| 0.60 0| 0|100

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

140331/1300Z 79 36015KT 31.0F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.16|| 0.154 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.69|| 0.76 0| 0|100

140331/1400Z 80 36014KT 31.7F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.11|| 0.100 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.79|| 0.86 0| 0|100

140331/1500Z 81 36014KT 32.8F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.060 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.79|| 0.92 0| 0|100

140331/1600Z 82 01013KT 33.7F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.062 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.79|| 0.98 0| 0|100

140331/1700Z 83 36013KT 34.2F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.058 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.79|| 1.04 0| 0|100

140331/1800Z 84 36013KT 35.5F DZ 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.021 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.79|| 1.06 0| 0|100

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Couple tenths of an inch of rain in the gauge, just a raw day out today. This weekend looks to produce a formidable deluge on the order of several inches. Most models have the "wraparound" band of precip on Sunday night as the cutoff upper level low starts to depart to our east, and I buy it. Reminds me a bit of the February 13th event in that regard. The GFS suggests said band does little other than pad our rainfall totals, but the NAM and Euro allow for some snowier potential. Might as well have something to watch if we're going to be holed up inside all weekend! 

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Couple tenths of an inch of rain in the gauge, just a raw day out today. This weekend looks to produce a formidable deluge on the order of several inches. Most models have the "wraparound" band of precip on Sunday night as the cutoff upper level low starts to depart to our east, and I buy it. Reminds me a bit of the February 13th event in that regard. The GFS suggests said band does little other than pad our rainfall totals, but the NAM and Euro allow for some snowier potential. Might as well have something to watch if we're going to be holed up inside all weekend!

It would be nice to end on a bit of a high note after a rather forgettable last 6 weeks (at least from a snow lovers standpoint.)

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Expecting 2.5 to maybe 3 inches of rain over the next three days here in Pompton Lakes. Not expecting too bad of a flooding situation with all the snow melted and the rivers low. If this was the beginning of March instead of the end, we would definitely be looking at much worse situation, similar to the floods of March 2010 and 2011.

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The next couple weeks, if one were to believe the GFS at least, look absolutely abysmal.  Continued cool temperatures and rather wet (maybe even white next weekend?).  This is certainly shaping up to be a spring to forget.  I wonder if we go right from 40's and 50's to 70's and 80's this year.

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Looks to get a bit slick here.

Winter Weather Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 433 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014 NYZ045-046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-302045- /O.CON.KBGM.WW.Y.0009.140331T0000Z-140331T1800Z/ CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD- SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE- SOUTHERN WAYNE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORWICH...ONEONTA...COOPERSTOWN... OWEGO...BINGHAMTON...WALTON...DELHI...MONTICELLO...TOWANDA... SAYRE...MONTROSE...TUNKHANNOCK...SCRANTON...WILKES-BARRE... HAZLETON...MILFORD...HONESDALE 433 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. * HAZARDS...SLEET... AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO .25 INCHES OF ICE. * TIMING...STARTING LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOW 30S. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AND/OR ICE AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT [email protected]. && $$ KAT

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Currently 39°..

 

SULLIVAN-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-
PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTICELLO...MONTROSE...TUNKHANNOCK...
SCRANTON...WILKES-BARRE...HAZLETON...MILFORD...HONESDALE
229 PM EDT SUN MAR 30 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SULLIVAN COUNTY NEW YORK.

* HAZARDS...WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET. A FEW
  HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE.

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.

 

post-436-0-20368100-1396212737_thumb.png

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