UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 18z nam paints a pretty picture up here guys... Looks like it's locking in around the euros current solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 18z nam paints a pretty picture up here guys... Looks like it's locking in around the euros current solution The 12z NAM had 6.8 for KSWF. I don't see the 18z output yet. Has it gone up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 I'm at 66 right now! 67 for a high up here.. Shorts & tshirt today , Northface w/ my new 2 stage plowing 15" of snow in 48 hrs. Priceless! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 67 for a high up here.. Shorts & tshirt today , Northface w/ my new 2 stage plowing 15" of snow in 48 hrs. Priceless! 70 here. Can't wait to fire up the new snow blower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 70 here. Can't wait to fire up the new snow blower. I had her running for about 10 mins yesterday. Primed and ready to roll. 12z NAM MGJ -- .58" SWF -- .59" POU -- .59" FWN -- .61" Lets see what 18z has in store for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 18z NAM bumped up precip to the .75" range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Uptons latest map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 mt holly latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 mt holly latest For the interior they match up quite well. As of right now we all should expect 8-12" with pockets of up to 15" in areas with banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Uptons latest mapHarriman snow magnet in business early this yr. with close to 3" in the books already, another foot or so is not too shabby pre-Thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 New (ish?) Albany map: Looks like they pulled the gradient southeast a bit but kept a large area of 10-14", which is a bit surprising... they always seem to scale back as the event approaches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 I had her running for about 10 mins yesterday. Primed and ready to roll. 12z NAM MGJ -- .58" SWF -- .59" POU -- .59" FWN -- .61" Lets see what 18z has in store for us. I'll fire up mine tomorrow. NAM bumped up the QPF. Looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Gee... what's the GFS? .4" QPF or something for KPOU? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 yeah - let's hope we're not looking at another dreaded SE correction ... or I will move back to NENJ. Gee... what's the GFS? .4" QPF or something for KPOU? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Gee... what's the GFS? .4" QPF or something for KPOU?Yeah man. I posted in the main forum. About 1/2 to 1/3 of the Euro across the board. Not sure whether to be concerned or ride the Euro. SnowGoose posted about the lack of qpf field early on when the low is near OBX and that lows like this with marginal airmasses and no blocking typically have a far more expansive precip field (a la the Euro). Still, it's disconcerting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 I'd so much rather worry about p-type than QPF... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Didn't the same thing happen with the storm in mid-February? Euro kept giving us high amounts and the GFS said no until the last 24 hours or so? Maybe I'm confusing events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 Yeah man. I posted in the main forum. About 1/2 to 1/3 of the Euro across the board. Not sure whether to be concerned or ride the Euro. SnowGoose posted about the lack of qpf field early on when the low is near OBX and that lows like this with marginal airmasses and no blocking typically have a far more expansive precip field (a la the Euro). Still, it's disconcerting. Let's see what it shows tonight. No concerns on my end yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 I'd so much rather worry about p-type than QPF...QPF has been our issue around here for months now...until that changes ride the under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 If the Euro/UK/RGEM come in drier tonight then it might be time to worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 QPF has been our issue around here for months now...until that changes ride the under. which is why safe call would be 4-8 right now . those 10-14 inch amounts are going to be tough to verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 which is why safe call would be 4-8 right now . those 10-14 inch amounts are going to be tough to verifyAnd that may even be high. Trust me, I'd love a good dumping but I'm not believing it under Im shoveling it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 If the Euro/UK/RGEM come in drier tonight then it might be time to worry. Personally, I see no reason to worry. We are virtually guaranteed a white Thanksgiving when we almost always have to worry about a white Christmas even. Whether we get 4" or 12" is another story, but given the weather in the days following the storm, I'm choosing not to display my QPF fetish so early in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 You guys are fine. Things would really need to shift to start getting concerned. Classic over correction East today is my feeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Personally, I see no reason to worry. We are virtually guaranteed a white Thanksgiving when we almost always have to worry about a white Christmas even. Whether we get 4" or 12" is another story, but given the weather in the days following the storm, I'm choosing not to display my QPF fetish so early in the season.Great post, agree 100% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Experiemental feature from Upton.. You can select the county from the drop down box. Here is Orange County http://www.weather.gov/okx/winter?selected=Orange,%20NY#table Upton is giving 28-33% chance for most of the county to receive 12-18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Experiemental feature from Upton.. You can select the county from the drop down box. Here is Orange County http://www.weather.gov/okx/winter?selected=Orange,%20NY#table Upton is giving 28-33% chance for most of the county to receive 12-18" I'll take those odds for November lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 For those that were wondering about noaas totals forcast here's the whole area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeinzGuy Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 For those that were wondering about noaas totals forcast here's the whole area 8-10 for Albany to Poughkeepsie? I wonder what model they went with on that one...none seem to have that much anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 8-10 for Albany to Poughkeepsie? I wonder what model they went with on that one...none seem to have that much anymoreCombination I'm sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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