UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Some guy on the other thread said this looks to be a "North of Albany" snowstorm lmao... Ohhhh boyyy, that's why I stay in here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 What is the timing of this looking like? Wed into Thursday ending early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Some guy on the other thread said this looks to be a "North of Albany" snowstorm lmao... Ohhhh boyyy, that's why I stay in here lol I have a feeling thats the old Noreaster27.. If thats the case then just ignore him. If you are on the west side of the hudson valley the potential is there for a crippling snowstorm per the euro. Factor in a major holiday and thats a recipe for a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 What is the timing of this looking like? Euro gets the northern edge of precip in around 18z with the brunt of the storm in the evening, tapering off by the wee hours on Thursday. GFS is similar, perhaps a couple hours later with the onset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I have a feeling thats the old Noreaster27.. If thats the case then just ignore him. If you are on the west side of the hudson valley the potential is there for a crippling snowstorm per the euro. Factor in a major holiday and thats a recipe for a disaster. I'm very excited to see how the politics of this storm plays out with the travel... Personality meteorologist like tv mets are catious on they're predicitons on a normal day let alone the biggest 48 hour travel period of the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Thanks guys. Working all weekend so haven't really been keeping up with the models. Looks like major travel disruptions upcoming. Thankfully I'll be home on Wednesday as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I have a feeling thats the old Noreaster27.. If thats the case then just ignore him. If you are on the west side of the hudson valley the potential is there for a crippling snowstorm per the euro. Factor in a major holiday and thats a recipe for a disaster. Heh i just posted "sup noreaster" before i saw this lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Heh i just posted "sup noreaster" before i saw this lol I literally lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Heh i just posted "sup noreaster" before i saw this lol lol.. all of us old timers probably knew right away.. It was quite obvious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/StormTotalSnow/stormtotal.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Wednesday's snowstorm notwithstanding, that's one heck of a slug of rain on the national radar right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Wednesday's snowstorm notwithstanding, that's one heck of a slug of rain on the national radar right now...Agreed, let's see if it holds together for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/StormTotalSnow/stormtotal.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 GFS coming in with a more consolidated and negatively tilted trough through Tuesday. Should be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Wow... GFS just brought heavy precip right into our backyards... Very close to euro solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 The only ones who were expecting an eastward shift or for the GFS to hold in place are those on the coast. I think its safe to say the Euro has the right idea. NAM went from partly cloudy skies to advisory level snows in 6 hrs lol.. I guess we know the king is back huh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 The only ones who were expecting an eastward shift or for the GFS to hold in place are those on the coast. I think its safe to say the Euro has the right idea. NAM went from partly cloudy skies to advisory level snows in 6 hrs lol.. I guess we know the king is back huh King euro once again...lol we hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Deformation zone overhead on the GFS—the kind of situation where a mesoscale band sets up and somebody cashes in big-time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Boston's AFD: WITH A PROGRESSIVE FLOW-PATTERN ANDLACK OF A CLOSED LOW ABOVE H7...MUCH OF THE EMPHASIS IS WITH THEANTI-CYCLONIC BRANCH OF THE WCB. NEVERTHELESS A FRONT-END THUMP ISANTICIPATED WITH SLANTWISE ASCENT / FORCING PER FRONTOGENESIS NW OFH85 LOW EXTENDED E...ALONG WITH INDICATIONS OF WEAK TROWALING TOWARDTHE NW-QUADRANT OF THE LOW. BENEATH ENHANCED ASCENT PER MID-LEVELIMPULSE AND RRQ OF THE UPPER-LEVEL-JET...STRONG DEEP-LAYER LIFTTHROUGH MOIST DENDRITIC ZONES SHOULD YIELD A SW-NE BAND SIGNATUREACROSS S NEW ENGLAND...THOUGH WHERE EXACTLY REMAINS UNCERTAIN AS ISTHE EXACT TRACK AS WELL AS THE DEPTH / STRENGTH OF THE STORM. Couldn't have said it better myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 The only ones who were expecting an eastward shift or for the GFS to hold in place are those on the coast. I think its safe to say the Euro has the right idea. NAM went from partly cloudy skies to advisory level snows in 6 hrs lol.. I guess we know the king is back huh The 18z NAM has 6.1" thru 84 hours for KSWF. We'll see what the 00z run shows a little later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 The 18z NAM has 6.1" thru 84 hours for KSWF. We'll see what the 00z run shows a little later. Probably double of 18z lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Probably double of 18z lol.. And has the NAM goes, cut the amount in 1/2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 And has the NAM goes, cut the amount in 1/2. Yea were missing our usual "outrageous" NAM run, it's bound to happen... Showing 2+ feet for the entire area lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Yea were missing our usual "outrageous" NAM run, it's bound to happen... Showing 2+ feet for the entire area lol I'm thinking that it will at 00z or 06z . We have to wait until it gets into its "bad" range. Right now it's in "terrible" range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I'm thinking that it will at 00z or 06z . We have to wait until it gets into its "bad" range. Right now it's in "terrible" range. Yea I say after its huge move at 18z it's gonna be the 00z monster... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Bernie rayno likes most our area at about 6-12... He thinks the euro is still a bit too far west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEC Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Any guess of WHEN the precip will start in the Hudson Valley/Catskills? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Any guess of WHEN the precip will start in the Hudson Valley/Catskills? Probably sometime after 18z Wednesday. In other words terrible timing for travel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 29 pages of banter 3+ days out on that main thread... A lot of people on here could learn a thing or 2 from NYCmetro blog... They're pretty much all city guys but the banter is damn near non existent and usually high quality posts.... I like posting in here cause everyone can relate as we're all in the same area, so bickering is non existent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 I have enough good sense not to hedge the NAM against the Euro, but it is slightly disconcerting to see it so lackluster. With that solution we'd be dealing with a high overcast and plentiful subsidence... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.