96blizz Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 haha awesome... we are just leaving the jake and neverland pirates behind. The euro is beautiful - I realize this is only falling a few days before december, but I would somehow feel better if the calendar said December instead of November. Obviously going against climo is the new norm, but something doesn't feel right about this one. Either we shouldn't be talking about a serious coastal snowstorm in November, or we shouldn't be talking about a possible miss to the south and east. Most likely I'm just another weenie - I don't know enough to be truly excited or truly skeptical.Yeah. Looking at and studying everything I see a BM storm and we get fringed with a few more powdery inches. Not the worst outcome but that's where my thoughts are... Think this has a better chance to escape more East than tuck in. I'm cool with pleasant surprised though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 36 ... my youngest are 3.....twin boys. just hitting the monster truck phase. every day is fun. snow just makes it funner. how's that for a word. 37 with 2 boys ages 8 & 3.. Cant wait to put their butts to work!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 If the Euro is still hitting the storm hard tomorrow 12z then ill start biting. Other than that its business as usual for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 If the Euro is still hitting the storm hard tomorrow 12z then ill start biting. Other than that its business as usual for me The 00Z GFS is starting to come around to the euros thoughts from 12z today. I agree with you, after tomorrows 12z runs we will have a better idea and see if we can "pull the trigger" on the snowier outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Yeah. Looking at and studying everything I see a BM storm and we get fringed with a few more powdery inches. Not the worst outcome but that's where my thoughts are... Think this has a better chance to escape more East than tuck in. I'm cool with pleasant surprised though... One thing I have noticed early on this season is the absence of the tight precip gradient & the abundance of coastals already. May have to do with the ENSO & active southern stream.. I mean look at the tropical connection of this potential bomb on the euro. It has a nice moisture fetch all the way to Central America. Haven't seen much of that the last few yrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 The 00z GFS actually took half a step back, I'd say. Less robust shortwave phasing at 500 mb and more of a meridionally oriented trough yield a rather weaksauce cyclone... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 You guys are old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 36 ... my youngest are 3.....twin boys. just hitting the monster truck phase. every day is fun. snow just makes it funner. how's that for a word. 43 with two daughters . 15 and 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 You guys are old.Screw you, ya bastard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Screw you, ya bastard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 33 w a 5 and 2 year old lol. And im an FSU fan Yea, so we may hafta fight...meet you outside the Newburgh Brewing Company then we share a few pints? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Yea, so we may hafta fight...meet you outside the Newburgh Brewing Company then we share a few pints? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Looks like the interior might actually clean up with this one... Probably north and west of me... But I'm hoping for you guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Sounds like fun! Hmm...may not be a bad spot for a gtg lolIt's s great place to hangout if you've never been there, good beer too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Man, some people are fired up this morning. Why do people take the weather so personally? What's gonna happen is gonna happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 strongly agree. i got fried at another board for discussing how rational the mt. holly forecast looks for the area....life's just a little too short to get worked up.... haha Man, some people are fired up this morning. Why do people take the weather so personally? What's gonna happen is gonna happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Man, some people are fired up this morning. Why do people take the weather so personally? What's gonna happen is gonna happen. its too damn early in the season for that main thread to have gone to sh*t like that...completely unreadable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 its too damn early in the season for that main thread to have gone to sh*t like that...completely unreadable.Put a tent over that freaking circus, it looks like Sickman is cleaning it up thankfully, including my two posts which is perfectly fine with me since they didn't belong there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 its too damn early in the season for that main thread to have gone to sh*t like that...completely unreadable. It's been like this for years now, I rarely even look. They claim we're biased yet the main thread open for this week is labeled as NYC snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Albany's account of the 00z Euro is rather tasty: THE ECMWF HAS CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN ITS TRACK AND INTENSITY AS IT LIFTS A COASTALLOW (MILLER TYPE A) ACROSS THE EASTERN TIP OF LONG ISLAND. THE ECMWFALSO HAS EXTREME FGEN AT H7 WHICH OSCILLATES ACRS FA AS WE GOFORWARD IN TIME FROM 12Z WED THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY. IT HAS THE LOWGETTING CAPTURED BY THE UPPER TROUGH THUS KEEPING THE LOW HUGGINGTHE COAST AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST FROM THE EASTERN TIP OF LONG ISLANDAT 06Z THURSDAY TO DOWNEAST MAINE BY 12Z THURSDAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Albany's account of the 00z Euro is rather tasty: Congrats on what currently looks like your first big snow of the season julian! Its november so its early for me but regardless nice to see a beautiful Miller A this early in the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Everyone wants the setup that is going to give them the most snow. Unless you are dealing with an historic storm, there will be winners and there will be losers. It's crazy to think that we actually root against a particular area getting snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Congrats on what currently looks like your first big snow of the season julian! Its november so its early for me but regardless nice to see a beautiful Miller A this early in the season Thanks, but there's no way I'm locking it in yet. I'm still leaning toward an easterly solution, despite the Euro's perseverance. We'll see what happens ( ) but the coastal hugger solution just seems too precarious for me to bank on atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted November 23, 2014 Author Share Posted November 23, 2014 Good day all, Temp has just hit 50 F, heat wave outside. Feels nice for once. Some big model runs this afternoon. Got to believe most people if this thread, will do well with the Wedneday/Thursday storm. Best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Everyone wants the setup that is going to give them the most snow. Unless you are dealing with an historic storm, there will be winners and there will be losers. It's crazy to think that we actually root against a particular area getting snow. Its not that we root for other areas not to get snow its that what we need will usually end or limit the snow potential for the coast & vice versa for the coast to the interior. I live 65 miles NW of the coast... I say bring on the coastal huggers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Thanks, but there's no way I'm locking it in yet. I'm still leaning toward an easterly solution, despite the Euro's perseverance. We'll see what happens ( ) but the coastal hugger solution just seems too precarious for me to bank on atm. Well played with the () Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Its not that we root for other areas not to get snow its that what we need will usually end or limit the snow potential for the coast & vice versa for the coast to the interior. I live 65 miles NW of the coast... I say bring on the coastal huggers! yeah, as I said yesterday, I'd love for everyone to cash in. There's nothing like coming inside from an epic jebwalk and seeing absolute euphoria across the forums from DC to Halifax... unfortunately, it doesn't usually work like that, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Its not that we root for other areas not to get snow its that what we need will usually end or limit the snow potential for the coast & vice versa for the coast to the interior. I live 65 miles NW of the coast... I say bring on the coastal huggers! Agree. I don't see how discussing a track that jackpots this area is rooting one way or the other but it seems some of the folks closer to the coast see it that way. None of us have any control over it anyway. And I'll also add that I'm not spiking any footballs yet and I believe that when you do get to the endzone you act like you've been there before and plan on being back there again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 yeah, as I said yesterday, I'd love for everyone to cash in. There's nothing like coming inside from an epic jebwalk and seeing absolute euphoria across the forums from DC to Halifax... unfortunately, it doesn't usually work like that, lol. Your ideal track of 40/73 looks to be a reality for this upcoming storm. Would be nice if we can lock in this track for the winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 0z Euro Hr96 & 108 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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