Guest Patrick Posted November 9, 2014 Share Posted November 9, 2014 Was a nice day... 57... Wind was a little chilly. Hoping it gets colder to keep the press away from my street since the deaths of my neighbors hit the news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Chilly one out there tonight.. 30.9/28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Yesterday was so nice outside. Spent most of the daylight hours doing various yardwork type things and refinishing and plasti dipping a set of winter wheels for the new car. And then it was BBQ time ... Tomorrow maybe a final round of golf and then put the new winter tires on Thursday before the weather gets interesting. See I brought it around to the weather eventually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sn0w Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Tomorrow maybe a final round of golf Putnam County GC? Played there Saturday...greens were in GREAT shape...especially for this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Yesterday was so nice outside. Spent most of the daylight hours doing various yardwork type things and refinishing and plasti dipping a set of winter wheels for the new car. And then it was BBQ time ... Tomorrow maybe a final round of golf and then put the new winter tires on Thursday before the weather gets interesting. See I brought it around to the weather eventually I bought an X3 this past March after 3 long winters of driving a Mazda 6 and having trouble making it up my street anytime it snowed more than 2 inches or so. Of course after I bought it, it never snowed again, so I'm anxiously awaiting snow too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Tomorrow will be my last clean up of the remaining little bit of leaves that have fallen then I'll put in my second snow stake. I have one that is a year round snow stake because it doubles as a post for my manual rain gauge to verify the Davis. Then do I put the snow board out....hmmm, probably too soon but not long for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted November 10, 2014 Author Share Posted November 10, 2014 A few events that may or may not occur during the next few days. From Mt Holly, NJ NWS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...COLDER AIR CONTINUES TO SETTLE IN OVER THEREGION. HOWEVER, THE MUCH BIGGER STORY THROUGH THIS PERIOD WILL BEWHAT WILL BECOME OF THE UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT WILL BEDIGGING ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL LOW. VERY POORMODEL AGREEMENT WITH THIS FEATURE. THE GFS SHOWS A PROGRESSIVEOPEN WAVE TROUGH SLIDING THROUGH BY MID DAY FRIDAY. THE ECMWF,HOWEVER, HAS REMAINED QUITE CONSISTENT IN SHOWING THE EVOLUTION TOA CLOSED LOW BY THURSDAY MORNING OVER WISCONSIN, THEN LIFTING INTOQUEBEC BY FRIDAY MORNING. WHILE THE DIFFERENCE WON/T MEAN TOO MUCHFOR US WITH REGARDS TO TEMPERATURES, THERE IS AN IMPACT ON THECHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION IN OUR REGION. THE ECMWF SOLUTION WOULDSUPPORT A WINDOW, ALBEIT BRIEF, FOR LIGHT PRECIPITATION THURSDAYNIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. WHILE THE GFS SOLUTION WOULD BE MOSTLYDRY FOR US. ECMWF MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW PRECIPITATION TYPE TO BEEITHER RAIN (PRIMARILY OVER MARINE ZONES), RAIN/SNOW (MOSTLY FORTHE COASTAL PLAINS), OR SNOW (PRIMARILY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONSIN NW NJ AND SE PA).EVEN WITH THE SNOW, PRECIPITATION INTENSITYAND AMOUNTS DON/T LOOK TO BE NEAR ENOUGH TO SUPPORT ANYSIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION. HAVE FAVORED THE ECMWF IN THE FORECASTFOR TWO REASONS. FIRST, IT HAS BEEN RATHER CONSISTENT RUN TO RUN.SECOND, GIVEN THE STRONGLY POSITIVELY TILTED ORIENTATION OF THETROUGH EARLY ON THURSDAY, THE CUTOFF SOLUTION SEEMS MORE LIKELY.SATURDAY...HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES OVER THE REGION BRINGING A MOSTLYTRANQUIL, ALBEIT CHILLY, DAY.SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...STILL WATCHING A PAIR OF LOWS, ONE RIDING UPTHE EASTERN SEABOARD, ANOTHER SLIDING OVER THE NORTHERN TIER OFTHE U.S., FOR POTENTIAL IMPACTS OVER THE REGION THROUGH THISPERIOD. AT THIS POINT, IT LOOKS LIKE THE ATLANTIC LOW WILL REMAINCLOSE ENOUGH TO THE COAST TO BRING A WARM FRONT NORTH THROUGH THEREGION LATE SUNDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH MONDAYMORNING. AM A LITTLE HESITANT TO COMPLETELY JUMP ON BOARD WITHTHIS SOLUTION HOWEVER GIVEN THE TRACK OF RECENT ATLANTIC LOWS TO BEA BIT FURTHER OUT TO SEA (INCLUDING THE ONE OFF FL TODAY) AND HOWDEEP THE MAIN LONG WAVE TROUGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL U.S.. FOR NOWHAVE STAYED CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 I'm taking the under on events based on how the last few months have played out IMBY. I'd love to see this trend break in about a month though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted November 11, 2014 Author Share Posted November 11, 2014 I'm taking the under on events based on how the last few months have played out IMBY. I'd love to see this trend break in about a month though If we can scrape together a few inches in November, I consider this a victory in the snow department. Thursday night Friday looks to be much of nothing currently, maybe a few flakes in the air to a coating. Sunday night into Monday is a possible powder keg storm for the interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 This weekends event is starting to look good for at least our first flakes of the yr. Could be more who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 If anyone wants to weenie-out, check out this link if you haven't seen it before. Its an area that is near and dear to my heart but its a good read for any snow lover. http://www.ohcroo.com/winter_of_1969.cfm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted November 13, 2014 Author Share Posted November 13, 2014 Good day, Current temp 26F. Mt Holly NWS is forecasting upto an inch of snow tonight in my backyard. I assume we may get nothing too. Still watching the threat for early next week. Best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Albany allowing for 1-3" tonight in my point-and-click. I'll take that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted November 13, 2014 Author Share Posted November 13, 2014 Latest from Mt Holly NWS . Hoping my elevation = winning for this event NJZ001-PAZ054-055-140300-SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG306 PM EST THU NOV 13 2014AN AREA OF PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA LATE THISAFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING AND MAY CONTINUE INTO THE EARLYMORNING HOURS. PRECIPITATION MAY START OUT AS RAIN, BEFORE MIXINGWITH SNOW, THEN CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW BY EARLY EVENING. SNOWFALLAMOUNTS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT A HALF INCH TO AROUNDAN INCH, WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE AT HIGHERELEVATIONS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 18z NAM: Now gives the NW crew 1-3" (factoring rain & temps) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 18z NAM: Now gives the NW crew 1-3" (factoring rain & temps) Congrats on your first season snows my fellow northern folks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Can feel it in the air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
itsdnice Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Greetings from the lower half of Sullivan County , Flakeage has commenced! Good luck to all this winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted November 13, 2014 Author Share Posted November 13, 2014 33 F - light snow falling. slight coating on grass etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Just flipped here to very wet flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted November 14, 2014 Author Share Posted November 14, 2014 down to 31F. Everything is covered, sticking on the roads. Looks to be around 1/2 to 3/4 of inch of new snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Coming down steady here now. Driveway looking like it wants to slush over soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 35.8F and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 35.8F and rain. ALMOST as bad as 33 and rain . atleast your closer to freezing than where I am! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Yeah we gotta do something to get that cold air to cross the river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Wife states its snowing and driveway slushed over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Switched over in a hurry at about 8:20, and now have like a quarter inch on cartops and grass, etc. It begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted November 14, 2014 Author Share Posted November 14, 2014 9:30 Report Temp 31 F light snow new snow - 2.2 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 9:30 Report Temp 31 F light snow new snow - 2.2 inches How do you post the pics...I forgot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 9:30 Report Temp 31 F light snow new snow - 2.2 inches Whoa... that's insane. Congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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