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Winter Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - 2014


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Give me a couple of weeks please  :bike:   I need a little bit of time to get used to my new BRZ before winter sets in.  I got thoroughly and completely bored with my other car and went the polar opposite direction.  The salesman and my wife were talking when I went inside for a minute and when I came out he was telling her the color is called mid life crisis white  :lmao:   

 

WP_001002_zpsbf535c73.jpg

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So much for a good soaker today...the drought continues...

Yeah, this is one of my worries for the upcoming winter. The storm track looks to remain active but the theme this year has been dwindling QPF as t-0 approaches, until ultimately we end up a few tenths of an inch of precip. I'm sure it doesn't mean much, but there sure haven't been a lot of high-moisture events as of late.

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Yeah, this is one of my worries for the upcoming winter. The storm track looks to remain active but the theme this year has been dwindling QPF as t-0 approaches, until ultimately we end up a few tenths of an inch of precip. I'm sure it doesn't mean much, but there sure haven't been a lot of high-moisture events as of late.

One of these days I'll crunch the numbers IMBY to see just how much we are behind in the rainfall but it is somewhat concerning.

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Good day weather fans,

 

Current temp is 43F.

 

Fog is out of control tonight. Can't see 5 feet.

Called Mt Holly NWS and spoke with Walt Drag about it.

I was told they are going to put something out about it.

Fog kicks is at around 700 ft elevetion, really bad at around 1000 ft and knarly at my house.

Had to drive around 3 mph to get home

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Maybe but still too early to actually take any threat 7+ days out seriously. Have to wait till monday at the earliest to maybe look at the threat with more in depth analysis

 

Actually its a Day 6 threat..  Regardless you are right.. Its still too early to go into detail. Monday seems to be a good time to start taking this threat seriously if its still on the table

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Something to keep an eye on at the end of the week.

From Mt Holly NWS.

 

IN SPITE OF THE CIRCUITOUS ROUTE, COLDER AIR WILL GET HERE AND BE
ARRIVING IN OUR CWA ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. MIN/MAX TEMPS
WILL BE ABOUT 15F LOWER THAN WEDNESDAY. IN SPITE OF MODELING
DIFFERENCES, THEY ALL SUGGEST A POPLESS PERIOD DURING THIS TIME
FRAME. THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY THE GFS IS EMPHASIZING SOUTHERN
STREAM MOISTURE WHILE MOST OF THE OTHER MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE
TIED TO THE DIGGING TROF. WE ARE SIDING WITH CONSENSUS AND GOING
WITH THE LATTER. THUS THE HIGHEST POPS ARE IN THE NORTHWEST PART
OF OUR CWA. NO CHANGE IN THE THERMAL PROFILE DEPICTED BY THE
MODELS AS ITS COLD (AND DRY FOR EVAP COOLING) ENOUGH FOR SNOW
ALOFT IN MOST OF OUR CWA, BUT BOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS,
ESPECIALLY AT LOCATIONS BELOW 500 FEET ARE RELATIVELY WARM. GIVEN
THAT ANY INTENSITY TO THE PCPN WOULD CHANGE THE RAIN TO SNOW, WE
DID MENTION THE CHANCE FOR SOME SNOW PRETTY MUCH TO THE COAST AND
MAINLY A SNOW CHANCE IN THE NORTHWEST THIRD OF OUR CWA.

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