chietanen Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Did you guys realize that BOS had a liquid equivalent of 1.05" for 24.4" of snow? That's a 23:1 ratio. I'm pretty sure just about every model had them at 2" or more of QPF. Could you imagine if those forecasts verified! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Did you guys realize that BOS had a liquid equivalent of 1.05" for 24.4" of snow? That's a 23:1 ratio. I'm pretty sure just about every model had them at 2" or more of QPF. Could you imagine if those forecasts verified!Wow! Going back to earlier, there's going to be serious compaction of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Did you guys realize that BOS had a liquid equivalent of 1.05" for 24.4" of snow? That's a 23:1 ratio. I'm pretty sure just about every model had them at 2" or more of QPF. Could you imagine if those forecasts verified! In those intense bands ratios can skyrocket.. Impressive for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Pretty nippy out there tonight.. Currently 9f 0z GFS was pretty decent for tomorrow nights clipper up here.. MGJ -- .25" SWF -- .22" POU -- .21" 2-3" areawide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Sitting at 6 below zero now at 6:25am, still could drop lower in the next hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WIN Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 3 below here as of 7am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I'm down to -7, probably the bottom here for today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Man that cold air hit a wall at the orange/rockland line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Down to -4 here.. Chilly one for sure.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycemt123 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I'm currently in Florida for a few days. 9° in Peekskill and 44° at Lake Buena Vista Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 -7 will do it, up to -5 now. There's quite the inversion this morning, especially up in New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keith O Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 bottomed at -2 here. Hoping for 2-3" tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Ideal radiational cooling conditions overnight. Sussex County Low Temps KFWN (Sussex, Elevation 410) -6 K12N (Andover, Elevation 584) -3 Me (Sparta, Elevation 900) +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Pretty large range in temps here as well. Looks like an inversion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Up to 5 above zero now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 Low was positive 6f on the ridge line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Did you guys realize that BOS had a liquid equivalent of 1.05" for 24.4" of snow? That's a 23:1 ratio. I'm pretty sure just about every model had them at 2" or more of QPF. Could you imagine if those forecasts verified! The euro got the qpf wrong as well as the ratios it only got lucky with the storm totals because of the high ratios! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 -7.6F this am. Sweet... better than I expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 12z NAM looks good for 2-3". Sim radar looks pretty scattered throughout the overnight, but then tries to develop a more enhanced area of precipitation tomorrow morning as the low deepens once it reaches the coast. Not sure if that's likely to happen, but we'll see what the rest of the 12z suite shows. It does look like temps will plummet once the low gets going and starts to pull down some cold air. Temperatures dropping from 35 tomorrow afternoon to possibly near zero Saturday morning. Checked out some stats and KPOU got down to -5 last night, my low was 2 above. My coldest night of the year (-2 in early January), the airport had a low of 5 above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 12z NAM looks good for 2-3". Sim radar looks pretty scattered throughout the overnight, but then tries to develop a more enhanced area of precipitation tomorrow morning as the low deepens once it reaches the coast. Not sure if that's likely to happen, but we'll see what the rest of the 12z suite shows. It does look like temps will plummet once the low gets going and starts to pull down some cold air. Temperatures dropping from 35 tomorrow afternoon to possibly near zero Saturday morning. Checked out some stats and KPOU got down to -5 last night, my low was 2 above. My coldest night of the year (-2 in early January), the airport had a low of 5 above. I will never consider the NAM again for any event until the models gets a significant upgrade. The 18 Z NAM fiasco on Monday was my last dance with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I will never consider the NAM again for any event until the models gets a significant upgrade. The 18 Z NAM fiasco on Monday was my last dance with it. I don't disagree, but I don't think you ignore it completely. Just use it as another piece of guidance. If all the models show 2-4" for this particular event and the NAM shows the same, it can be helpful to justify a forecast. Plus it still is a mesoscale model that might pick up on things that the globals might not. The 12z RGEM, btw, shows a very similar scenario to the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I will never consider the NAM again for any event until the models gets a significant upgrade. The 18 Z NAM fiasco on Monday was my last dance with it. I'm not sure what people expected to come of a dissenting 18z NAM run, honestly. I don't think it's any more or less valid now than it was last weekend... it is what it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 12z GFS is NOT liking Super Bowl storm for our area and it seems to be the trend, atleast with the GFS and euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 12z GFS is NOT liking Super Bowl storm for our area and it seems to be the trend, atleast with the GFS and euro I am more interested in the clipper at this point. looks like 2 to max 4 inches in the area. Super Bowl storm has ear markings for around the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I am more interested in the clipper at this point. looks like 2 to max 4 inches in the area. Super Bowl storm has ear markings for around the same GGEM is gonna cave to GFS solution.. Looks like the best bet we have at the moment is this clippe and mid week next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 GGEM is gonna cave to GFS solution.. Looks like the best bet we have at the moment is this clippe and mid week next week Enjoy the winter for what it is! There's been, and will continue to be, sustained cold, tonight will be our third accumulating snowfall within a week, and there are several storm chances in the long range. I think any of us would have taken that if asked in December or early January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Enjoy the winter for what it is! There's been, and will continue to be, sustained cold, tonight will be our third accumulating snowfall within a week, and there are several storm chances in the long range. I think any of us would have taken that if asked in December or early January. I agree 100%, I hate how if you say anything now in that storm thread that doesn't imply a major storm on the horizon 10 people attack you and think your being sour and biased from this past storm.. Lmao, if more people questioned the blizzard and lack of short term model support the day before and day of instead of hugging the biggest snow model we woulda had alt less let down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I agree 100%, I hate how if you say anything now in that storm thread that doesn't imply a major storm on the horizon 10 people attack you and think your being sour and biased from this past storm.. Lmao, if more people questioned the blizzard and lack of short term model support the day before and day of instead of hugging the biggest snow model we woulda had alt less let down There seems to be this perception in the main forum that this region is bitter about not getting much snow from the last storm. I don't see that one bit. I think many of us are aware that all it takes is to look out the window between late December and mid March and realize that, by and large, there's a fairly significant difference in winter climate up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 -2 for the low here this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 There seems to be this perception in the main forum that this region is bitter about not getting much snow from the last storm. I don't see that one bit. I think many of us are aware that all it takes is to look out the window between late December and mid March and realize that, by and large, there's a fairly significant difference in winter climate up here. Too funny. We are bitter. I really don't care if snows or does not snow. Just a hobby and interst for me personally. I wish was in the 70's now. The cold this morning was a little too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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